WesternFringe

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I guess I don't get the science behind it...(or how that could even be a possibility in a setup that ain't exactly classic...but I assume these are computerized algorithms or something?)

From what I surmise, they take the operational model and run it at a lower resolution and call it the control.  Then they tweak the inputs to account for sampling bias/error, and then run the model in many iterations.  Some give us mega snow.  Some are southern sliders.  Am I missing anything?

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

2 feet is still in the envelope? Lol (that is what that color means, right? Is that measuring liquid precipitation?)

As is 0 feet, yes.  They are both within the envelope, and both show up on the ensembles.

The high at 144 (in Wisconsin) on the 12Z GFS is modeled further N than the high at 150 on the 06Z GFS.  Should give it more room to move north....hopefully

4 minutes ago, H2O said:

just raggin a little.  i want a wood stove in a bad way as I grew up with one and nothing is better for a snowy day than a fire crackling.

I know you were just busting b@!$$, but you inspired me....better?

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

Clean up those ashes WesternFringe!!!

I do, all the time.  I use that stove 150+ times a year, so it needs constant maintenance.  I should have done it before the picture, though, so point taken! : )

Sitting right at 32 here with loud sleet.  Must be between an inch or two so far.  Enough to get the whole family off of work since we are teachers and students!

34/22.   

Intellicast radar showing snow in my county, but way too early.  virga?

Perhaps an icy Thursday for out my way and I-81.  0.8" of ice would be devastating if it verifies.