Greg

Time of year/climo, Water temps, and BL issues.

The GFS still makes me queasy but even Boston Mets seem to think the Euro may have a better grasp of the potential situation. That being said, It overall, as many have already alluded to, once this thing goes off the coast it will hit a "Brick Wall" of cold. Usually I like my high pressure center to the north/northwest of New England Draining cold air in (More Classic) than a high pressure situated north/northeast of here, draining the cold air down. This explains very well the abrupt right hook the storm center takes to the east/northeast instead of just classically northeastward.

Watch now how the model changes again at 6Z.

James, trust me... this is NOT an 18-24 Hour storm. It's pretty progressive in the flow.

We should focus on Mondays situation first then put all our energy into the Thursday potential.

I don't see this storm going over 15 hours for us here in Eastern Southern New England.

I was looking through the "KU" book carefully. One "weak" but potential storm analog is the December 10-13 1960 Northeaster (La Nina Winter). Again a weak analog. However, in the "Near Misses" section, there are a couple that come close. Need to be closer to the potential event before even I can narrow this down to anything similar in this potential set-up.

Rays thoughts are correct. The only question right now since it's 4-5 Days out is how close or how far off shore this main surface low tracks. We all know the drill. Clown maps are fun to look at but we'll all see what the reality is on the ground Thursday in our neck of the woods. However, it is nice to see the heart of our viewing area in the crosshairs for this potential snow event.

Not sure about east being so bad. Here in Wilmington I picked up about 5.0" from the October 30th storm and 2.5" from the December 5th storm. Total so far 7.5. Not bad as far as I'm concerned.

Not sure I totally agree with that statement. The - NAO depending on how far back with weather data you go generally indicates a fairly even percentage on that.

No Ray, we've talked about this. I went to the pumping stations in north Wilmington. The man showed me the book. 32" for storm, 37" on Ground. No 6 hour measurements back then. Hell, both Burlington, Ma and North Andover came in with 30". Again no 6 hour measurements back then. north

IF RAY measures 32" then '78 is in trouble here.

It was a 2 center storm not 1. The one that he talked about was nearly 400 miles out but the closer one was just outside the benchmark.

Oh, I have power my man, hope you do to. Not sure if it's quite 30" but 27-29" maybe the upper bounds. We'll see what the finals are but what a storm. I thought these totals would be around Plymouth, Brockton, Taunton. Not reversed.

Many people don't use a snowboard. They continue like me to do it the old fashioned wasy. They take several readings by sticking a sharp metal ruler into the ground or place without obstruction and report the averge.

I believe that! The Depth was large of course, but the pure storm total was less. Durham, NH is practically your neighbor. You can check what fell yourself. They will give you snowfall and depth on ground.

Weather records show that was snow depth (old and new snow Combined) not pure storm total.

Usually we yell at each other for being a little too low or high but guesss what I have 27" of snow on my deck as of now so we both can't be too wrong. Wow Ray! I never saw this coming!

Possible but I think we fall a little shy of it to be honest.

That's were I am and many of the viewers here. We got the first band that sat for a while and then as that second band weaker but still intact pulls east into the heart of our viewing area, we will see some of those higher amounts.

There is a lot of drifting of course as you can see also, so your 15.5" is probably just as good.

Somebody will pull 20 out of this.

About 15" on the deck. Just heard something about 10.5" of in our town on channel 5. That's an old report.

Do you see the other low that is closer, I can.

That band was moving east a little while ago. I've been snowing steadily ever since.