Greg

The Presidents Day Storm of 1979 isn't that great of an analog given that the High Pressure position and it was stronger 1040MB and pretty much over Northern New York State building into New England. The High we will have would be situated over Southeast Canada and weaker at this time.

Exactly!

A little Surprised their starting to do that when models can change over night. Not to mention the GFS knowing its drier bias.

Yeah, the Weather Department doesn't like that method of measuring, as you can see it in the final ground count that they put on for the public. They usually go, as I alluded to many times, with the COOP Data and first order stations. This is where it's usually done every 12 or 24 hours which it allows it to settle a little more. Especially fluffy snow which tends to sublimate rather quickly after the now truly stops falling. They do put our reports in as long as they are within reason to the surrounding reports / observation area.

It's possible 18" may have fallen, don't remember exactly but I'll just go with at least 17" and call it a day. As you indicated, Very sharp cut off to the north.

16-17" here in Wilmington. 16.2" Maynard, 17" Bedford, 16.5" Reading, 17.5" Middleton, 18.2" Boston. Very fluffy snow. Not in the jack zone but nowhere near a miss. Always was thirsty for more. January 7-8th 1996

The GFS loves to do this to people!

The GFS is trying to hold serve. Keeps the heavy band just off the southern coast of SNE still, never mind just south of the pike peeps.

I think Dr. Dews is as close by as Billerica, MA

The ICON enters SW CT by 00Z Thursday and just about gone in Eastern MA by 18Z Thursday. That's an 18 Hour storm at best probably less.

Make sure you read the Weather Report posted by Henry's Weather and the Weather Service Boston. Even they indicate a taint potential for the Cape and Islands can happen in certain tracks closer to the coast but still be off shore.

ICON gives rain to the Cape and Islands.

I mean seriously guys, if this picture of the NAM at 84 hours was 24 hours out, this place would be absolute gang busters!

Oh, I agree weatheafella. Posted just to make sure all the players are on the board, that's all. Let the model biases commence.

Maybe, but it's still has a 1037mb High but just retreats further north on this model.

Here is your 84 Hour NAM

It think you meant "stage right", but I totally agree. Very sharp turn once it gets close to us, how close is the question.

The 2016 storm was a very disappointing storm here. Pure Pixie dust with very little accumulation.

Need that jet stream to just sharpen up a little more.

As I alluded to earlier. If you take a look at the sounding for let's say Lowell, MA based strictly on the Euro, 0.7" of liquid verbatim would translate to about 11". Not a forecast by any means but just giving people a heads up. Not everybody will have these types of ratios either. The more you get to the far South Coast, Cape and Islands the more normal 10-1 ratios you will find. Obviously, more quantity but less fluff if you will. All this of course pending the exact final track of this potential storm.

Well yes, there's that, and his measuring technique along with some stick slanting involved.

This doesn't look right. Take a closer look at the quantity of liquid for Lowell, MA. Now look at the Snowfall. Generally 0.7" DOES NOT = 7.0" of snow with that old airmass.

I promise you will not hit 24".

That's not a huge hit. Huge is when the min is a double digit. Example: 10"+. Under is not.