chris21

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

starting to hear a couple pings. Ready for my ice storm. 

All pingers here in NW DC but temp remains steady around 30.0.

4 minutes ago, ArlingtonWX said:

Snow stopped in Mt. Pleasant DC for a bit. Either graupel/sleet or rain or a mix right now

It’s 30/27. Don’t think there is any plain rain quite yet.

Pouring snow in NW DC, heavily salted road completely caved. Temp has fallen another degree... 30/25.

1 minute ago, real said:

Still seems to be all snow in Downtown DC. -- Officially a car topper event but not sticking to pavement.

Now it’s really coming a couple miles north of you. Pavement starting to cave. 31/25

1 minute ago, Potvinsux said:

Heavy sleet in Snowshoe, unfortunately.  Going to cut down on totals for sure.

One of those situations where the ridges directly to the eats of Cheat Mountain (i.e. North Fork) will prob do better.

31/24. -SN with a heavy dusting in Mt. Pleasant, DC. Temp has dropped a degree since the precip started.

31/18 in NW DC

22 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

40/22, Downtown DC

I’m at 36/18 in Mt. Pleasant. I have about 200 feet of elevation and am right next to rock creek park which may explain the difference?

3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Next (For DC)....If you're west enough it is a pretty sound thumping...better than 6z

Been thinking maybe 1-3 and then slop for a couple days now. Still thinking that way (at least for me in NW).

Not a bad trend...

Just now, PhineasC said:

What an ugly, ugly track on the RGEM. Basically the track from hell for this region.

Don’t you owe Richard Lewis some royalties?

Just now, pazzo83 said:

rock creek park really does have an effect on its immediate surroundings.  even where i live downtown (but close to the park) it is a couple degrees colder at night here than even a few blocks to the east.  we got down to 32.4 here, DCA 33.

Exactly what I was thinking. I’m about a block from the park...

2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

DC proper didn't even drop below freezing.  Lately absent a true arctic outbreak we seem to struggle to get much below freezing at night even in the heart of winter.

Dropped to 30 briefly here in mt pleasant

3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

I wouldn't mind thump --> mix --> rain --> dryslot.  It's better than hours and hours of heavy rain at 35 degrees.  

Yeah, the NAM unfortunately shows more mixing out toward I-81, but it seems to be depicting more sleet than rain in DC with the temp not getting much above 32-33.

1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

Nope

The accumulated snow depth map can be hit or miss. 

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok city folks.  Our goal is 2 to 4.  Just shift your expectations and things will be a lot better going forward.  Accept your climo and reality.   We are going to see snow in the air and we're tracking something in December.   Lemonade lemons etc etc. 

That’s what I’ve been thinking since yesterday. 2-4 with a lot of sleet, maybe 4.5-5 in Tenleytown/Van ness

8 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

This combined with the snow map and placement of low is both hilarious and infuriating. It's literally a perfect position of the low dumping over 2 inches of liquid over Central MD and it's almost all rain. How?

It’s mostly sleet technically I believe

15 minutes ago, catoctin wx said:

We just have no elevation at all for events like this.  My house sits at a paltry 300 ft.

I’m almost that high in DC.

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Lot of hot takes here today.  Got accused of "cliff diving" or whatever because I'm a lifelong residents of these here parts, and I've seen this movie a million times and I know how it works out.   People know I don't just give up easily...shit sometimes I'm the last man standing when everyone bails.  But this one doesn't feel right...I'm talking for us 95/DC folks.   For you...kick back, open up a can of your favorite brew and get ready for the show.    

I still think we at least cover the ground and get a fair amount of sleet. 

3 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said:

CMC running a tight line right down I-95.  Temps in the cities are just below freezing with heavy precip.  Could be a sleet bomb in the making.

Soundings are showing more sleet than rain in the cities. CAA could be enough to at least hold off rain for some time.

1 minute ago, ers-wxman1 said:

Not much left to go on with this one. Euro will come in line with the other guidance. 500 pattern is another clue...a few days ago it showed the H5 low closing off and deepening coming across, now it’s just a progressive vigorous wave that gets going too late, no phasing where we need it then sweeps OTS. Cold high pushes out faster and we are left with screaming E-SE flow aloft which even in a strong CAA setup would make things tough. Marginal setup such as this nails the coffin shut. I-95, cities all rain, few flakes to start. You will have to go well west and north for anything substantial...I-81, 15, 68, north of 70 to the M/D line. Perhaps advisory level to IAD, but mix to rain even there. 
 

 

 

No snow on the backside?

Just now, Fozz said:

I agree. I’ve seen a number of modeled storms where my old home would get 8”+ while Wes got next to nothing.

In reality it almost never happens.

Agreed... I’ve seen it early and late in the year, but def not in late December. 

4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said:

I wouldn't count us out just yet.  We're right on that line.  If we can flip back and get under the CCB, even if not for very long, we might be very pleasantly surprised.

Honestly, it’s a weird situation where the hills of NW DC could see twice as much or more as NE/SE DC, PG County. In 30 years, it’s actually a somewhat common scenario.

59 minutes ago, H2O said:

That says 1-2" for me.  Tops.  Oh well.  Time to look for the next one

Those are six hour snow amounts. Would be a total of 3-6 inches for you.

2 hours ago, MDphotog said:

There are a few readings on there that seem to be very odd.  Can’t believe Hagerstown and Cumberland are warmer than Frederick.

Cumberland is surprisingly warm... it’s very low in elevation.