Cobalt

RGEM holds steady

1 hour ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

You guys ever wonder what would be happening if we had global cooling instead of global warming? Imagine if the waste product of industrial civilization happened to make things cooler instead of warmer.  Imagine if summer was getting shorter and the ice caps were growing.  I betcha we’d take it more seriously. 

For a time.. that'd be cool, and we'd be chilling. Eventually though, we'd have to face the cold hard facts.

41 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I just realized since moving up here March is the month most likely to produce a warning level snowfall. Probably why I get annoyed when people start talking about spring in February. 

I recall you saying that you hadn't gone a winter without a warning level snowfall since 01-02 and that you were overdue.. 

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Watch list or…

Wait, I’m retired.

Carry on, Deb. Carry on. 

Reaper watch > winter storm watch

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs changes every run

18z agrees

35 minutes ago, Guest RIC Airport said:

BWI reached freezing before midnight 11/4. The CLI is based on standard time, not daylight savings time.

Meanwhile, RIC should reach it by sunrise as it currently 35 with plenty of time left.

If anyone had BWI for 11/4, they would've.. guest correctly

The Braves winning the World Series for the first time since October 1995 gives us a clear top analog for this upcoming winter #itshappening 

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

We can probably handle the rare case of someone acting out with mute/remove.  But if we want to add an additional layer of security we could create a forum email list and send the code that way to avoid imposters. 

I think anyone who has made significant contributions to our region should be invited.  Just my 2 cents. 

It's all fun and games until DT comes in and gets in an all-out brawl with Ji

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Persistent cloud cover is probably going to sink my chances of a freeze tonight.

The mesos have been pretty bearish about sub-freezing cold at the surface tonight, but suggest tomorrow night might have a better chance

5 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Would be cool. Moderating it could be a huge challenge!

 

Yeah, I'm not too familiar, how would moderation/verification go for those calls? It would be a shame if someone joined pretending to be someone else, only to end up being deliberately disruptful. 

2 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

Generalizing here - but that would all but eliminate having the older folks on the forum join a video call. Discord is weighted so heavily towards the younger gaming crowd. Again...I am generalizing and I know some older people who do use it and game. Discord would be best for the 30 and under crowd. At this point with COVID and such - you'd be hard pressed to find people who have never heard of Zoom. Even the park police volunteers I work with outside of work (most of them are 60+) have been able to join Zoom calls and be totally fine. 

This is entirely true, Zoom does seem like the best option.

Discord is always an option, as it has built in video calls, but it might be a bit tougher to set up/facilitate. 

1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It's hardly going to be a perfect test but the EPS/Euro is almost totally out on the storm existing while the GFS/GEFS is still toying around with the idea -- not necessarily for snow, just for it's literal existence. Curious to see which suite takes the early lead in accuracy. 

the ICON is insistent that we get some cold rain from the #snoreaster 

8 hours ago, CAPE said:

New edition of CanSIPS for December. At least what little cold there is would be close by. That look in the E Pacific might allow for some delivery.

 

CFS politely agrees

13 minutes ago, George BM said:

Let the colder air commence. 

Otherwise known as "average temperatures" if we were still using the 1981-2010 averages.

Bad news for the Siberian snow truthers

First clown maps from our first real clown threat

5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

I just went over to off topic for the first time in forever wtf good God there are some real pieces of work posting there lol yeesh there's so many of them we are ****ed

They're multiplying. It's kind of fun to peer in every once in a while, but man does it get depressing fast. 

I think last year will be the closest I ever get to the crown.. In any case

BWI: 4.3"

DCA: 2.7"

IAD: 6.8"

RIC: 3.4"

Tiebreaker SBY: 2.0"

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

The last time it snowed and felt like winter in Nov/Dec?

November 15 2018 was probably our last "substantial" November winter event. Nov 2014 was close too, but both had substantial gradients SE of DC. 

4 hours ago, MillvilleWx said:

Just creepin. Did I miss anything the past month or so? I already know winter was canceled in July, so I'm caught up there 

There is talk of throwing a member into the currently erupting La Palma Volcano to try to salvage the winter . In all seriousness, not all too much, it's been a traditional extended summer fall for the subforum, with WFT futility to boot. 

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

we good for early winter. 

 

The most recent Euro weeklies backed off a bit on the west coast ridging, but no clear signal for a trough or Alaskan blue ball, so it's pretty ambiguous. Still interesting to see this far out, so far it does seem like we're emulating a bit of Oct/Nov 2017. 

1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Yeah but I guess it just irritates me that people act like winter is already dead in October, I understand it probably won't be a good year but it's not dead yet.

A good rule of thumb is "it will never snow again.. until it does". 

18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Great March snow in 2018…

Only took 80s in mid Feb to get to that point  I'd take a repeat of that if the SSW event was just a month earlier.