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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. DownpourDave
    Wish we had recon certainty looks better than 100 mph.
  2. DownpourDave
    Water Temperatures north of the gulf stream near the NYC area range from 21-24 C. Not sure what the average is but how soon would you expect an increase to 26 C(minimum requirement for TC).
  3. DownpourDave
    Yup it is I clearly see it now. No evidence of a secondary wind maxima.
  4. DownpourDave
    What is this then?
  5. DownpourDave
    I would think pressure data alone supports cat 5 considering they found 145-150 mph winds at 943mb. I think it is reasonable to assume the winds increased with the pressure drop before the wind field started to expand with the ERC causing the winds to decrease as the pressure gradient decreased. Anyways off to bed now already 1 in the morning.
  6. DownpourDave
    Pressure is down to 932mb but winds do not support cat 5 maybe because of eyewall replacement cycle? Can it be inferred it was a cat 5 at one point or not enough data
  7. DownpourDave
    It very well could have been a cat 5 and we might never know, lets see what recon has to say.
  8. DownpourDave
    Averages 77mm of snow. And yes studying abroad. Also, If I can, I will try to be there the whole year. Depends if I can get an internship and extend my visa.
  9. DownpourDave
    It is a shame radarscope does not work in Germany. I am studying there for 4 months and trying to figure out a good radar website lol.
  10. DownpourDave
    Correct me if I am wrong but generally the larger the eye, the more stable the eye is and less susceptible it is to eye-wall replacement cycles. Fun fact btw, the largest eye ever recorded was around 230 miles across.
  11. DownpourDave
    This is really cool, NHC podcast on Ida https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/audio/202108281706.mp3
  12. DownpourDave
    obviously not realistic but..... still funny to look at the same model also shows 200 knot winds or 230 mph at 850mb.
  13. DownpourDave
    maybe this depicts the maximum theoretical strength that the hurricane could get based off of ocean temps but idk...
  14. DownpourDave
    6-8 inches is the forecast and not even an advisory. Has to be a joke right?
  15. DownpourDave
    Lets end the winter with a bang.... why not
  16. DownpourDave
    I was just gonna ask if anyone heard thunder. Thanks for the confirmation!!!!
  17. DownpourDave
    Because why not... this will lock in for sure....
  18. DownpourDave
    I will start next weeks storm thread.... the day of the storm..... no need for any bad luck....
  19. DownpourDave
    Goddammit..... Why did I speak this into existence
  20. DownpourDave
    LMAO thought this was funny.
  21. DownpourDave
    at least the 3 inches of ***** on top of the existing snow pack acts as a protector to preserve our pack.
  22. DownpourDave
    Fixed***
  23. DownpourDave
    Okay just changed to all sleet. 5-6 hours ahead of schedule. My 2-4 inch call is looking great.
  24. DownpourDave
    That observation is inaccurate. I am south of Penn Yan and snow and sleet mixed. 80% snow still. Edit: Ignore I am north of Penn Yan makes sense.
  25. DownpourDave
    CC map says I have but ground observations tell a different tale. hanging on to snow for dear life.
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