JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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12z Euro did shift the snow band a bit farther east.
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Well, it's primarily falling at night, and powerlines are higher up so it will be colder than that. 850 MB temps are quite toasty though so I'm curious if the rain will actually help warm up the lower atmosphere.
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What a mess. Temps going to be right on the line here it looks like.
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0.62 in of freezing rain here on the 00z NAM. Going to warm up though.
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That's a bit of a SE nudge as well.
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Ice storm nudged a bit closer to me on the 18z GFS again.
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It's been a long drought here as well, until this year.
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UKMET was a degree cooler here so, 32ish on that model with over an inch of QPF.
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It's like a mini lake effect snow band.
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The 12z Euro is a bit cooler and a bit more SE. Gonna be close to the freezing rain here, hopefully it stays just north.
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Road trip!
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Oh, it has been snowing again. Decent sized flakes coming straight down, so serene and beautiful.
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The wavelengths are super short this year. Even on this next prospect, you can see how short it is from one storm to another.
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Just a few flurries here now. Well I get to cross off snow before Christmas, snow during daytime, and big huge flakes from my seasonal wishlist. Just need a storm over 6" and one over 9-12" and I'm good for the season. Accumulation here was about 1/2" or so this morning, now starting to melt now that it isn't snowing. Sun angle is low though so it was able to accumulate when it was coming down pretty hard.
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Huge flakes and decent rate now..... Snowglobe! Probably quarter to 1/2 dollar sized flakes. Edit: Steadier snow now with smaller flakes. Grass almost covered and accumulations happening on roads even.
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Yep. Big flakes, but not a fast rate.
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Just a couple degrees difference in multiple layers of the atmosphere and it's a massive snowstorm for all. So close.
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WSW up for Wichita area: Look for several inches inches
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18z GFS was a bit farther east with the backend precip shield.
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Yeah, it did make a little jump to the SE this run.
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12z GFS wraps it up with yet more snow on the 14th. Looks like a fun period, so don't worry if this storm doesn't pan out for some of us, or is mostly ice vs snow, there will be more chances in the near future. This is bonkers though:
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Congrats Denver, or maybe Bozeman?
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As this one looms on the horizion......
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These poor forecasters. Exact track and a couple degrees is going to be the difference between a crippling ice storm and rain for some areas, and models aren't all agreeing.
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And then there's the 12z GEM/Canadian.... For a model that has a bias of wrapping systems up too much.
