JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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The timing of the system on the 24-25th is interesting on the GFS. There's a system opening up and lifting out of the SW as energy digs into the backside. If there's a phase, there would be a much larger storm. EDIT: And the 12z Euro must have read my post........
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Definitely going to have to watch N AR and S MO Wed night for a quick burst of wintry weather. Decent 850mb frontogenic forcing is going to try to force some mixed precip and a band of snowfall somewhere in that area.
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Not much model support, I think the 12z GFS individual ensemble members had 1-2 members that had something. Going to be tough for the models to key in on anything with the way the flow is.
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-EPO looks to persist. In time, it may shift more to the NW, which would cause the eastern trough to retrograde back west. Tough to time any individual systems that may form though.
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Not sure, it was all melty and wet but probably like 1-2" on the grassy/elevated areas.
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Temp rise is from the inverted trough. Temps should start falling again.
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Back to a flizzard here. Cold, Snowy, with playoff football on TV. Beautiful day.
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It's snowing lightly and there's a white dusting on everything except the roads which are just wet.
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The 02z is indeed colder here, from about 32 on the 00z to 29 now for much of the morning, but man, that inverted trough is a pain.
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00z 3KM NAM pretty crazy over NW AR as well.
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And from 1.7" to 5.7" 6 hours later on the 00z NAM. Granted only 1-2" of that will probably actually stick, but it'll be nice seeing some snow coming down. From 10.4" to 1.7" to 5.7" in 12 hours.
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N AR just getting hammered on the 00z HRRR.
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Stupid inverted trough.
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Never change NAM, never change. From 10.4" to 1.7" in 6 hours. lol
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lol at that 37 degrees and rain right over 3-4 counties in SW MO on the 18z HRRR. That little bubble of surface warm air sucks.
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Pivotalweather but it's only specific hours that run longer than 21 hours.
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Looks good, lock it in! Must be on the pivot point. Too bad it's the NAM.
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Yeah, I agree that it could end up overperforming. Strange things happen under strong upper lows. We'll have to see.
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Are Monett schools still in session? They closed a bunch around here today and tomorrow.
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Yeah, it's the NAM anyway, not like it's going to be right, lol.
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3KM NAM shifted back west with totals as well.
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00z NAM was a fun run. Bit of a westward shift, NW AR and SW MO made out well. I somehow manage to pickup 7", lol
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00z HRRR nails (central and eastern) southern MO and (central and eastern) Northern AR. On to the 00z NAM.
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06z NAM was improved from the 00z and back farther west with more QPF.
