snowmagnet
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Everything posted by snowmagnet
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How many times have we seen this? I'm not saying it is going to happen, but remember Jan 3, 2022? That storm was in the long range, disappeared in the mid-range, then Ji brought it back from the dead. I think the GFS saw it first, but I'm not sure. I know that most fantasy storms disappear, but it is not unusual for the Euro to see storms a week or 2 out, lose them, and bring them back 3-4 days before. I'm always optimistic, or just crazy.
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Ensembles.. Better at this range anyway.
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You mean the same as it was at 6z? 20" for all?
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How about "might", or "may" instead of "will"? We can do Goldilocks around here. I know it's been a decade, but....
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That's not bad for this far out. Models are clearly still working it out.
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I love Coastals. It's threading the needle, but they give us the goods if they get it in there.
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But he's got the JMA...
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Y'all are confusing. We are cooked based on the GFS? The CMC had an epic storm this morning. I know Euro wasn't great this afternoon, but it was one run. It's still there on the 18z. Do we get an 18z CMC?
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I wonder what Louis Uccellini would say about this one?
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After yesterday's debacle, it's great to track a legit SNOW storm.
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Justin Berk is a big fan of the Canadian and tracked it this past storm. I kept hoping it was wrong because it was much more sleet than snow, but apparently it was right. Good to get the Canadian on our side. And the Euro, and the Euro AI.
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I told my son this morning that we may get a bigger storm this weekend. He said, "I know. It's on my App".
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Yup. It was before this past storm took center stage. The big ones often make a comeback.
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Models were all about this blizzard for around the 29th-1st before today’s SNAFU got in the way. As usual, it disappeared, but it looks like we may be back. It would be nice if we could get an easy to track foot + storm. Last week was exhausting.
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
snowmagnet replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I heard that the temps out west have been colder than projected. Maybe it will be the same for us. -
I hate this part… waiting for the storm. Back in the 2010’s, the Euro used to back off higher total as we got closer to the event, but the earlier numbers were accurate. That happened several times in 2013-2015. We will see.. They rarely end up as forecasted.
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All Hail the GFS!
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For the following weekend?
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Feb 2014 on steroids?
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I was curious about that. What happed to Jan 29?
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Is this 2016 vibes or 2010? 2016 was more recent, but I think we knew it would be over 24” by this point. I really hate seeing the 2 feet range in Richmond.
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That is my greatest memory of Bob Ryan. I used to “argue” with him on tv and loved watching him increase the forecast.
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They will probably be off all week.
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When it gets up to 50 degrees, people will balk that "it's too warm to snow". Or it won't stick. It was close to 70 a few days before 2016.
