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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. WarmNose
    Hug the bullseye models. They can't always be wrong can they? i haven't had a chance to look at models but from what I'm hearing I'm liking the colder trends. Maybe the cold air is more robust than the January storm and we don't have to fight 33 degree rain for the entirety of the event
  2. WarmNose
    That looks amazing. I just don't know where the cold air is coming from for those outside of the higher elevations east of the mountains. Hope I'm wrong
  3. WarmNose
    I'm all in on the Euro. Several hours of mood flakes with possible heavy bursts. Euro still has "accumulating " snow well to my south and east. I can still afford a small tick NW and get in on the wet flake action(per Euro). I'm hopeful rates will overcome to kick this winter off right.
  4. WarmNose
    Blackbirds are going crazy here in the upstate today. I believe they also got NAM'd
  5. WarmNose
    Never thought I'd see the day LaGrange got 4" and I was left with mood rain
  6. WarmNose
    Imo It looks like the NAM caved to the GFS. The GFS has had that snow zone in LaGrange for a couple of days now with everyone else getting zilch. That's exactly what the last NAM run looks like
  7. WarmNose
    When does the German model initialize?
  8. WarmNose
    North of I85 bust
  9. WarmNose
    Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says
  10. WarmNose
    GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now
  11. WarmNose
    Bobby Mac said pingers on the radio
  12. WarmNose
    Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm
  13. WarmNose
    Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC
  14. WarmNose
    NAM looks to be ramping up a little sooner on this run. Looks juicy. Someone is about to get hammered
  15. WarmNose
    I apologize for posting PBP on the old NAM run. Smh carry on
  16. WarmNose
    Hoping this doesn't break any posting rules. Looks like Joe B is riding the NAM..
  17. WarmNose
    Lmao Puerto Rico
  18. WarmNose
    Exactly my thoughts. I85 and points north/west unless we get lucky and somehow don't have to fight rain and 45 degree temperatures at the onset of precipitation
  19. WarmNose
    Euro looks great imo. It's always a huge plus when the Euro jumps on board with wintry precip. And I hope Lookout is right about the warm nose being modeled too strong
  20. WarmNose
    That LP in 87' looks really close to the SC coast. Curious as to how that produced a snow event for areas south and east of I85? Stronger cold air source west of the Apps? Thanks Grit
  21. WarmNose
    Any veterans on here have examples of winter storms where cold air came from west of the Apps where a warm nose wasn't an issue? Thanks
  22. WarmNose
    That was my all time favorite winter storm. Several hours of 28 degree cotton balls followed by .25 inch of sleet and freezing rain
  23. WarmNose
    Without CAD we are set up for failure every time. If our cold air source is west of the apps, it's a no go
  24. WarmNose
    CMC has the warm nose eating right into the southern Greenville county screw zone Climo wins again
  25. WarmNose
    Yep the warm nose is clearly there
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