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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. WarmNose
    Imo It looks like the NAM caved to the GFS. The GFS has had that snow zone in LaGrange for a couple of days now with everyone else getting zilch. That's exactly what the last NAM run looks like
  2. WarmNose
    When does the German model initialize?
  3. WarmNose
    North of I85 bust
  4. WarmNose
    Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says
  5. WarmNose
    GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now
  6. WarmNose
    Bobby Mac said pingers on the radio
  7. WarmNose
    Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm
  8. WarmNose
    Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC
  9. WarmNose
    NAM looks to be ramping up a little sooner on this run. Looks juicy. Someone is about to get hammered
  10. WarmNose
    I apologize for posting PBP on the old NAM run. Smh carry on
  11. WarmNose
    Hoping this doesn't break any posting rules. Looks like Joe B is riding the NAM..
  12. WarmNose
    Lmao Puerto Rico
  13. WarmNose
    Exactly my thoughts. I85 and points north/west unless we get lucky and somehow don't have to fight rain and 45 degree temperatures at the onset of precipitation
  14. WarmNose
    Euro looks great imo. It's always a huge plus when the Euro jumps on board with wintry precip. And I hope Lookout is right about the warm nose being modeled too strong
  15. WarmNose
    That LP in 87' looks really close to the SC coast. Curious as to how that produced a snow event for areas south and east of I85? Stronger cold air source west of the Apps? Thanks Grit
  16. WarmNose
    Any veterans on here have examples of winter storms where cold air came from west of the Apps where a warm nose wasn't an issue? Thanks
  17. WarmNose
    That was my all time favorite winter storm. Several hours of 28 degree cotton balls followed by .25 inch of sleet and freezing rain
  18. WarmNose
    Without CAD we are set up for failure every time. If our cold air source is west of the apps, it's a no go
  19. WarmNose
    CMC has the warm nose eating right into the southern Greenville county screw zone Climo wins again
  20. WarmNose
    Yep the warm nose is clearly there
  21. WarmNose
    This storm is starting to look like a "Buncombe County Schools: Closed" special "Greenville County Schools: 2 hour delay"
  22. WarmNose
    Snow south of LaGrange? Toss
  23. WarmNose
    If I'm not mistaken It has a lot to do with the topography. As the low spins it's hard to get cold air in fast enough when the cold air source is coming from the north and western side of the apps as opposed to an eastern cold air source damming event
  24. WarmNose
    NAM looks atrocious. Less amped system with mostly rain. Wouldn't a less amped system equal more blue than green?
  25. WarmNose
    If I remember correctly, last year before our January event the GFS sniffed out our warm nose 24-48 hours in advance. It showed it on the SC GA border sneaking up into the southern part of upstate SC. Edit: it could have been the NAM I don't remember
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