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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. GFS has become progressively more amp'd and has been pushing the precip shield further inland through the past couple of days but has stayed true with it's "no snow for you" line
  2. GFS has to be right. Cold air source filtering down the west side of the Apps is what's putting some areas in the Deep South in play and leaving the areas to the north and east with a cold rain. GFS stuck to its guns. I don't like it but I respect it
  3. If the GFS verifies I'm hitting up the Indian casino this weekend
  4. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017120719&fh=23&xpos=7&ypos=0
  5. HRR looks rainy for my area through hr 17 that warm nose in NE GA and Upstate SC is just atrocious
  6. Hug the bullseye models. They can't always be wrong can they? i haven't had a chance to look at models but from what I'm hearing I'm liking the colder trends. Maybe the cold air is more robust than the January storm and we don't have to fight 33 degree rain for the entirety of the event
  7. That looks amazing. I just don't know where the cold air is coming from for those outside of the higher elevations east of the mountains. Hope I'm wrong
  8. I'm all in on the Euro. Several hours of mood flakes with possible heavy bursts. Euro still has "accumulating " snow well to my south and east. I can still afford a small tick NW and get in on the wet flake action(per Euro). I'm hopeful rates will overcome to kick this winter off right.
  9. Blackbirds are going crazy here in the upstate today. I believe they also got NAM'd
  10. Never thought I'd see the day LaGrange got 4" and I was left with mood rain
  11. Imo It looks like the NAM caved to the GFS. The GFS has had that snow zone in LaGrange for a couple of days now with everyone else getting zilch. That's exactly what the last NAM run looks like
  12. Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says
  13. GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now
  14. Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm
  15. Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC
  16. NAM looks to be ramping up a little sooner on this run. Looks juicy. Someone is about to get hammered
  17. Hoping this doesn't break any posting rules. Looks like Joe B is riding the NAM..
  18. Exactly my thoughts. I85 and points north/west unless we get lucky and somehow don't have to fight rain and 45 degree temperatures at the onset of precipitation
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