STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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Prince William was pegged 37f
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Snow me the money
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Obs thread . Start it sir
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I think kev does better then Bos
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Finally a beefy system ?
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Euro matches Ukie with the sorta 7-10 split with overnite thump... so that bears watching West central SNE CT/ RI gets a slug and then Vermont over to Central and S NH gets one . Leaves 128/495 meh Worth watching as you can see it hints of this on HRRR
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I don’t take it very seriously at all ..unless the euro agrees with it the SPC HREF model and WPC snow probs are very bullish looking for 8” They did both fail in ASH for Tuesday’s system. We just need that front end to produce
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Seemed primarily related to the thump missing overnite and then sorta cruddy BL temps when precip got going after 7am , seemed flukey relating to first part
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Cmc held serve Ukie ticked north (see the trend ) . QPF map sorta gave Merrimack valley 7-10 split thru 12z but that can easily be noise , but not much falls inside 495 in Essex
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What has run
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Probably watch Bird box and act accordingly
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It’s an extremely low chance unless you got hit by a billy club
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I would love to see the bomb as depicted, there really hasn’t been any big systems in over a month , anywhere ..maybe far N Maine But you know Scott is not going to think positive, that’s not forecasting , he’s not negative either . That comment could have just been messing but if he seriously says he thinks it coming close to coast or tucking you know he has meteorological reasons for this . I just want a big storm , somewhere near here
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you can see the E flow effect on QPF over S monads , N orh hills and E slope . As usual these are you Jack spots in this airmass . This is going to be a fun storm in Nashua . I don’t see more than 6” here at 200’ i’d guess ratios are going to be overdone and lead to higher forecast amounts in CP north of pike than what falls . Maybe we “rip” for a couple hours but that will be the exception more than the norm .
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3k nam stacking up the snow , I don’t buy it at 10:1 outside elevations but looks nice
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ratios maybe rough outside elevations In SNE . CT had a better airmass for Their thump earlier this week
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3k nam maybe juicy
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Ya , no tickle south I didn’t realize the 6z already tickled as much
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Nammy south tickle ?
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“Kids don’t bother daddy later today , it’s gonna rain again and well ..you know ..daddy likes snow and apparently torturing himself “
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Gyx seems to be buying CCB
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6z euro I assume was not better
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Euro was a carbon copy of 12z w track but another QPF cut as ray was warning . Annoying . MSLP was the same or even 1mb Lower at 18z sat
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Ukie was Actually the south outlier Coming in and ticked N and looks almost identical to 0z gfs track . Pretty good consensus forming on global track
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Ahh ok I was looking at COD model page and it actually has different Totals . Interesting , on pivotal my area looks to have bumped from 1.5 to 1.7 in ASH but I’m not buying it
