Awesome ice covering trees at Crotched mountain all evening into 11pm. Trails were spring like but interesting the trees above 1800’ were solid shimmering ice . Somewhere over 1/4 inch as many branches hung down .
Was there for midnite madness
Went skiing tonite at Crotched mtn . Was surprised to see the trees shimmering w branches hanging heavy in decent ice
The ice line was approx 1800’ at 2k it looked awesome
I think That was modeled well . We needed rates for first 1/2 of tubs anyway . This thing just never seems to organize well anymore . Many runs had a 6 hour period of .5+ QPF after 0z for areas N of pike into SNH . That appears gone as does the CCB so lol ..we take em down and see if this reverses
Euro is flaccid outside of isothermal WAA thump for S and SW areas of SNE
tracked for days and it craps out on QPF couple days and is basically shreddy and weak over 18 hrs for Ne mass to Ash . Was solid inch for a while now it’s like .7 with no 3 hour period above .20
them are the breaks It appears
Im hoping folks in CT and RI score on WAA thump
12z HREF mean and max show the difference for most if Part 1 blows or blows up
The mean is weak sauce and 1-2 for N CT and 2-4 for Berks and 1-2 N of pike with exception of SE NH as at this point run only goes to 0z Monday
the max shows a big 4-6 stripe for Central CT across center RI and then a bit less north to you get N of Ma pike and basically hits Berks and ORH and W Middlesex hard 6-8 thru late Sunday eve
Doesn’t appear so . 12k nam says not much tongue action in gives front end thump to areas south of pike . That would seem to contrast things . 12k nam would pick up a big tongue , no? Just need big rates bc the airmass is garbage Sunday
Yup
I can’t even imagine having to put out a forecast . Given that I believe there is usually more forgiveness overdoing accumulation (as long as at least advisory falls ) then saying 2-4” and people getting 8” with outages lol . Still the smart lean seems conservative for now given uncertainty’s over both parts
I mean ..there was a ferocious WAA Thump in NW NJ S interior NY and Extreme west CT a couple weeks ago but models always seem to struggle with it . That system sure wasn’t crap .