MikeB_01

5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said:

Recon pressure up to 958 on last pass

I stand corrected. There was a 957.2 in there

Recon pressure up to 958 on last pass

3k throws some cat 5 winds in there around landfall

This has to be overdone right?

Another 2" of rain from remnants of Flo when she gets here, if she gets here. 

Maybe someone can help me understand this. I am looking at the steering layers and see a pretty clear path into eastern carolina - seems to be inline with where the majority of the models were yesterday. GFS moved away from there today and close to the Euro. Can anyone maybe point to something that would be driving it further south contrary to what it looks like in the steering layers of the atomosphere?

This might be hunch, but i think the WV tells a little bit better story of where Flo ends up making landfall. Guidance wants to drive her further down the coast towards the NC/SC boarder. IMO the disturbance sitting over florida pushes her a little further north, north of Emerald Isle, NC. 

EPS low positions. Could definitely get some precip from some of these locations.

11 minutes ago, stjbeautifulday said:

Will we say anything from Florence? 

The Euro especially has her drifting in our way and giving us some rain. I don't think it will be anything near what we just got over the weekend, but maybe a little gusty and some showers.

Think we will ever see a snowfall map that looks something like this? Bullseye


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13 minutes ago, north pgh said:

I have 5.76 here. 4.38 of it since midnight. 

Just measured again. Ive added another .35. Brings me to a total of 5.75. Its been really light here for the last several hours. 

just took a reading at 5pm. 5.4in of rain in my gauge since this onslaught began. 

12 z Euro, flo looks like she can make a run close to us. All depends on how quick she can make it inland before the front from the northwest kicks her out. Of course this is the euros idea. Some of the models show a terrible scenario of days and days of battering for the outer banks.

I haven’t checked the gauge this morning, but good Lord it has been coming down for hours.


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So far 1.5 in of rain at my house. 

Some solutions show flo moving over us.

Last nights eps, but still hold true today. Rapid intensification with landfall very uncertain. Its such a strange situation with that steering ridge. I used the histroical storm mapper and Flo  is in uncharted territory. Not a whole lot of storms can be where she is and make it to the coast. 

P.S. i love the amount of activity that is happening in this forum right now. Welcome back!

I don't think this will be much more than a 2-3 ft surge event, but still fun to see the spike on the water levels

Landfall about 30-40 miles east of where the 7 pm CDT track was. Looks like that northern wobble lasted a little longer than they thought

Definitely making landfall

Latest Recon. 9:34 CDT

72 mph gust on Dauphin

2 minutes ago, Calderon said:

Is it just me or has it taken another northerly wobble over the last hour or so?

Definitely a jog to the north.  Wouldnt be surprised to see landfall right at the Alabama/Mississippi border.

Could winter really be this close??


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13 hours ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said:

It’s gonna feel like fall tonight and tomorrow morning!

Already in the low 60's at my house. Im sitting outside in a sweatshirt.