the_other_guy

I would say 1.5 inches on the driveway in Hastings on Hudson

This is a tough measurement because it’s light and powdery on top of everything that’s already covered in snow.

17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

yep, and most do not verify for the coast.....you need a supply of cold coming into the storm otherwise temps rise to freezing and just above fairly quickly-the other thing is that you need light to maybe moderate ZR.  Heavier precip has a hard time accreting unless it's 1994 style cold.

Another beauty was the Valentine’s Day storm in the mid 2000s. That was sleet for hours.

The reason you and I remember these storms in the five boroughs is they are very unusual (as you said)

7 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

That would the the worst ice storm for this forum in decades 

Bad ice storms arent predictable this far out.

Too many factors have to line up

Just eye candy for now

1 hour ago, Dan76 said:

There was even before that in the 70's on NYE I was a kid then Unc might know.

It was very bad even in Queens. 94 was the best winter ever...That ice storm was a big part of it

4 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

This busted big time for anyone south of 287 (maybe even 84)

This becomes a snow storm about 10 miles south of 84 From personal observation on the Thruway this morning

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

More north than modeled 

Actually I eat my own words. It has gotten quite intense around Newburgh.

41 minutes ago, Wild Turkey said:

The models did not have this dramatic a precip split, right? 

No. But they did have a dramatic drop off

15 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Take a ride 20 minutes north. It's dumping.

It is funny looking at radar.

Snow to north. Rain to south. Nothing in between.

There were two questions regarding fundamentals of this storm for NYC: warmth or QPF

Looks like QPF will be the issue as of now

Snowing in hastings for past 2 hours.

Nothing to show for it

22F

Why would this come in warm for tomorrow?

The low is offshore. Airmass decent.

Rain to 84 seems unlikely

Still snowing lightly, but we are putting a Bow on this.

7 inches in Hastings

6.5 inches, Hastings, 1pm

28 minutes ago, scoobydoo1 said:

I just looked at the radar for the first time since 7.  I'll be damned if that band isn't just training right overhead.......If this keeps up for another few hours we'll have over a foot easily

 

It is just sitting there. Really unexpected.

And the snow almost looks like it does right before it changes to rain big big flakes except it’s fluffy not wet hey

9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The 12z Nam run from yesterday that I posted had the multiple bands.

outlier. til its not

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Down to 32 here in Brooklyn

Did the models have the banding NW of NYC ? There is also a nice band in NJ coming up.

No they didnt. But there it is haha

Back end of heaviest bands is running right thru southern westchester thru the CT coastline.

Lets see if that progresses further north.

My temp shot up 3 degrees in last 2 hours.

Now 33F

Anyone else observe that?

9 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said:

Maybe it’s just the weenie in me, but the radar down by DC doesn’t look so bad

Depends which way it moves...

You read my mind with second post.

10 am start.

Temps in city are still too warm for this marginal event. They are still in mid/upper 30s.

Need some good rates to overcome daylight and 30s

Im at 34F up in Westchester.

Temps in city still in low 40s.

This airmass has been quite a bit warmer than forecast over the last 3 days.

Dont know if that affects things tomorrow for the start...but def marginal temps going into this.

31 minutes ago, lordsnot said:

So DT just cancelled the storm for NY Metro in his final call,  just 2-3 inches.  

He didnt cancel anything.

Run after run has shown 3-6 inches as a safe call.

This just seems to be trending in the wrong direction with each model run

Another day well above normal and well above forecasts.

Mid 40s.

JFK has grass peeking thru today. I imagine chunks of southern queens will have grass out and about where snow wasnt piled by the end of the day.

29 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

craig allen is calling for 4-8 for the city and 6-12 for down the jersey shore and east across long island..

An oldie, but a goodie. One of the best

4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

it's always warmer than modeled in warm ups these days.   43 here but mostly cloudy.  I'd say b/w today and yesterday we've lost half the pack.

Everyone is so busy talking about the next storm, no one is seeing the rapid melting in front of them. 

Kind of a metaphor for life, right?