the_other_guy

Belleayre had an avalanche.

Snow right into the lodge. No injures, lots of damage. They say they had 6.5 inches of rain on their website

Still closed.

Every major ski resort in the Catskills closed. Unprecedented on Xmas Day

Hicksville. 8pm.

Just went for a walk between courses and didn’t get blown away. Actually pleasant outside with a nice moon.

55F.

Complete breakdown this upcoming week of any cold weather.

Transient shots of cold with temps well AN beyond that.

Xmas in the 50s is the new normal sadly

31F. Below Freezing! A novel concept with snow on the ground 

28 minutes ago, uncle W said:

Did I imagine what happened a week ago?...I imagine we will see that again in February...

There is still snow outside your window. Did we already revert back to the winter is over mentality we had the first week of December?

33 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

If the storm Thursday was 12 hours late (unlikely) they may have eked out the technical win with a 7:00am measurement of an inch. Either way this F'n Christmas Eve/Christmas travesty is getting so common the last decade I did half expect it, even right after the last storm finished.

We had a white Christmas just north of city four years ago. The snow fell on Thursday I said well we’re all going to have it this year. The models really under performed on the warmth with this cutter. It wasnt apparent until the weekend that we were going for 60 on xmas...again! 

Heck, the whole week looks above normal now with exception of 26 and 27. Defaulting back to short, transient bouts of BN

43 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

most places should be able to start making snow from late day Xmas day and the weekend though.

You know what I observed? They are being very stingy with their snow making this year. I was there on several 25° days and one or two guns were on. They are all capacity limited and afraid of a shut down.

I digress. Back to eve rainstorm...

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

this is part of our new climate so it's not surprising Chris.....milder winters with more snowfall (and more rainfall) has become the norm now.

Also it wouldn't be a shock for the pattern to break down as we approach February, patterns usually last from 4-8 weeks before they break, but I also wouldn't be surprised if it returned again later, a la 1995-96.  Even in 2010-11 we actually returned to a somewhat snowy pattern again in March.

 

Agreed. If you get within a degree of normal, you have to consider that a cool departure 20 years ago. 

The whole baseline has been reset even if we are still waiting on new averages

19 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Not sure how much snowpack will be left even at the ski resorts by Christmas morning. The Euro has 50° Dewpoints and 2.00”+ heavy rains around the Catskills and Poconos.
 

 

 

 

Yeah a real kick in the teeth for them.

It has been a terrible start to the ski season. Most of the area resorts opened up 2 to 3 weeks late, had minimal trail coverage, then got this burst of snow and opened up a bunch of trails on natural snow alone in anticipation of the holiday. People will be quite shocked when they arrive at a Catskill resort on 12/26 to have 10 trails open.

Temps stubbornly in the mid 40s in the city this evening.

That should do in a lot of the snow cover by morning sadly

12 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:

I’m sorry Chris I’m still learning here. So take my forecast with a grain of salt. 

I’m down to around 4 inches of snow on the ground. Temperatures are going to be above freezing until that rain arrives with the possible exception of tuesday night.

I’m not particularly worried about a rapid melt or clogged sewers. Ground saturation is always an issue.

This isnt a 1/12/96 scenario for the NYC metro or nearby burbs

Solid 33F all night long.

Lots of dripping outside.

1 hour ago, Snowlover11 said:

yeah changed to drizzle.

Stick your hand out the window it’s little ice pellets

2 hours ago, 495weatherguy said:

Even though I was rooting for this to come to fruition, I suspected it was a bit early to declare the month as finished

Hopefully the block disappears as quickly as it appeared

Belleayre and Hunter tripled their trails overnight. Heading up tomorrow

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

Not great post by upton, my parents in Howard beach on the water got more snow than me 30 miles due north in white plains.  They just picked a bad measurement

Absolutely. Queens and Manhattan have way more snow than Westchester per my own eyes.

But we will get the last laugh...we melt a lot slower haha

17F at 7 am

17 minutes ago, KEITH L.I said:

7 days out..I'd be surprised if that was the correct solution.Man you love to show warm maps lol  I don't think I ever seen you post a cold model run

It goes well with this forum. I’ve never seen anything like it. Always onto the next thing. Never enjoy what’s right in front of them. We spent the last four months talking about how warm and awful this winter would be, then we Talked about how bad the storm would be if it missed, Now that we have snow on the ground for an extended period of time we are talking about a warm-up and rain and flooding.

ENJOY IT

BGM isnt in our forum and no one in this area is at threat of a flash melt from the few inches of snow (or nothing) that will remain as we get closer to xmas eve.

Mid 40s Mon thru Wed will meltdown our 6-12 inch snowpack very quickly.

I came down to Queens to shovel.

Definitely more snow in northern Queens then up in Westchester. By 2 inches or so.

Whitestone : 11 inches

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

Actually was more than I thought and I had some 2 foot drifts to blast through this morning near the front gate and car over here in Colonia. I was really surprised how much fell after it flipped back last night. Even had the minivan stuck for a bit. Best snow blower I tried this morning? The little electric toro, blasted through 12 in drifts like nothing.

I would do a commercial for the Toro. Excellent snowblower. Minimal maintenance

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

10" is the break even point as far as predicting a better than average snowfall winter.

 

Yes. As we get inundated with technology and models, time and time again historical trends prove very relevant.

We have 10 inches. That is good for the winter ahead

Still have a consistent band sitting over me.

I stopper shoveling because it keeps falling.

Not quite over yet

1 hour ago, Animal said:

They were supposed to get fringed!

No they werent.

Models had 2 ft depicted as far north as Albany with the Northward trend

Well this was a Bust. A nice bust, but a pretty big bust nonetheless. Culprit wasnt mixing but dry slot

Hastings on Hudson just shy of 8 inches; forecast 12-16

21F at 7 am