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the_other_guy

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Posts posted by the_other_guy

  1. 33 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

    If the storm Thursday was 12 hours late (unlikely) they may have eked out the technical win with a 7:00am measurement of an inch. Either way this F'n Christmas Eve/Christmas travesty is getting so common the last decade I did half expect it, even right after the last storm finished.

    We had a white Christmas just north of city four years ago. The snow fell on Thursday I said well we’re all going to have it this year. The models really under performed on the warmth with this cutter. It wasnt apparent until the weekend that we were going for 60 on xmas...again! 

    Heck, the whole week looks above normal now with exception of 26 and 27. Defaulting back to short, transient bouts of BN

  2. 4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

    this is part of our new climate so it's not surprising Chris.....milder winters with more snowfall (and more rainfall) has become the norm now.

    Also it wouldn't be a shock for the pattern to break down as we approach February, patterns usually last from 4-8 weeks before they break, but I also wouldn't be surprised if it returned again later, a la 1995-96.  Even in 2010-11 we actually returned to a somewhat snowy pattern again in March.

     

    Agreed. If you get within a degree of normal, you have to consider that a cool departure 20 years ago. 

    The whole baseline has been reset even if we are still waiting on new averages

    • Like 1
  3. 19 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Not sure how much snowpack will be left even at the ski resorts by Christmas morning. The Euro has 50° Dewpoints and 2.00”+ heavy rains around the Catskills and Poconos.
     

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    Yeah a real kick in the teeth for them.

     

    It has been a terrible start to the ski season. Most of the area resorts opened up 2 to 3 weeks late, had minimal trail coverage, then got this burst of snow and opened up a bunch of trails on natural snow alone in anticipation of the holiday. People will be quite shocked when they arrive at a Catskill resort on 12/26 to have 10 trails open.

    D181F8AB-B027-406B-9E23-8624DE02B1CF.jpeg

    • Like 1
  4. 12 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:

    I’m sorry Chris I’m still learning here. So take my forecast with a grain of salt. 

    I’m down to around 4 inches of snow on the ground. Temperatures are going to be above freezing until that rain arrives with the possible exception of tuesday night.

    I’m not particularly worried about a rapid melt or clogged sewers. Ground saturation is always an issue.

    This isnt a 1/12/96 scenario for the NYC metro or nearby burbs

     

     

     

    • Like 1
  5. 17 minutes ago, KEITH L.I said:

    7 days out..I'd be surprised if that was the correct solution.Man you love to show warm maps lol  I don't think I ever seen you post a cold model run

    It goes well with this forum. I’ve never seen anything like it. Always onto the next thing. Never enjoy what’s right in front of them. We spent the last four months talking about how warm and awful this winter would be, then we Talked about how bad the storm would be if it missed, Now that we have snow on the ground for an extended period of time we are talking about a warm-up and rain and flooding.

    ENJOY IT

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    • Weenie 1
  6. 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

    Actually was more than I thought and I had some 2 foot drifts to blast through this morning near the front gate and car over here in Colonia. I was really surprised how much fell after it flipped back last night. Even had the minivan stuck for a bit. Best snow blower I tried this morning? The little electric toro, blasted through 12 in drifts like nothing.

    I would do a commercial for the Toro. Excellent snowblower. Minimal maintenance

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