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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Toss the NAM whenever it's having splotchy precip issues.
  2. GFS is the only OP model that I've seen that is south...and well overdone on amounts as well.
  3. 3-5" reports along the IA/IL border, just north of the QC.
  4. No dust here currently, and there wasn't this morning either...So I find that hard to believe.
  5. Speaking of... Not surprisingly, a lot more ice out there compared to a week ago. .
  6. 15:1 ratio officially at PIA. 1.8" of snow off 0.12" of liquid.
  7. Not surprisingly 0.8" of snow off 0.07" liquid at RFD.
  8. -7 at ORD and -6 at MDW for lows this morning.
  9. Wind chills down to -35 to -45 this morning across NE IA and NW IL, with temps of -10 to -20.
  10. Tonight will likely be the coldest night around here, until the main PV lobe possibly rotates down late week/next weekend.
  11. Looks the same as it has the past few days...A few to a couple of inches for a wide area.
  12. Looks like the best forcing ended up just south of where guidance had placed it, and in a wider corridor as well... Between I-80 and I-72. .
  13. It’s wasn’t really supposed to be snowing down that way yet. The atmosphere is no drier south than it is north... Give it time. .
  14. Snowfall totals under-performing across S IA. Given that and how transient the FGEN forcing will be, looks like most totals across IL will range from a dusting to 2" or so.
  15. That period already has a thread, but it's it's dated a day early.
  16. So far on 0z guidance, common theme is to hone in on the FGEN band expected to move from along the IA/MO border on up into N IL. That corridor looks like likely end up the winner, in the 2-4" range.
  17. 0z HRRR is drier and back to earth. Still targets metro with highest totals though, with 0.10-0.15” liquid. .
  18. 18z Euro much drier, as well as weaker/south. Have to go back to SE IA/NW MO for 0.10" liquid.
  19. Widespread 2-5" across N and C IL. Looking as expected
  20. Keep that one in the short range/meh thread, Phil.
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