ldub23

13 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

Nam, the driest  model is shifting west. Now  has 6-8 inches here where  it  had almost  nothing  last  night.

RDPS has Ric 5-6 inches.

Nam, the driest  model is shifting west. Now  has 6-8 inches here where  it  had almost  nothing  last  night.

1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

Can’t see pictures. Unless it’s a WHITEOUT! Lol

It gets the  6 inch line  close to RIC.

Ensemble also got  better totals to RIC.

06 gfs big improvement

RGEM

Maybe the east/weak trend  is ending. 18Z ICON while  not seen as a great  model has reversed its trend and is stronger with more  precip. Not  over  in RIC  yet. The west trend has  begun

Ukie and euro far  better this evening

I can only  hope  a  small better trend starts  soon. And  yea, what  happened to the arctic front  snow?

Snowmobile cancel. If we end  up with a  coating  it will be the best snow  in several years.

I think it will end  up 4-6 for  richmond. This always  happens. We  rarely see the  models  show  big  snow  without  change for  days. The  06Z Euro is  very  similar to the 0Z. 4-6 looks  good  for  RIC.

Whatever ends  up happening this  is the best set-up possible for this area. Arctic front  stalls to our  SE and then we wait to see if a strong enough low  can bring  us a good snow. W e may still whiff but at  least this  is far better than the  last  low.

Allan Huffman likes the  Euro depiction.

Looks to me  like  i was way low  on my snowfall forecast. Couple  more small east adjustments and DC will add a foot  to what they have already.

Nice totals. I will easily win the snow contest this  year.

With DC getting  8-12 with this  one my season forecast totals will be too low.

By the time  01march comes we will be sick of snow and  cold!!

Super cold  is  on the way.

48 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Looks like a standard clipper to me.. don't forget the GFS 65 mile north bias at 384 hours

Thats also 384 hours away so at 12z it  may be dumping  on NC or gone altogether.

43 minutes ago, Stormfly said:

1993-94 winter was a mess!  Using up 3 weeks of leave by March due to impassible roads (ice) was no fun!

This winter will be a snowy mess starting  in January.

I borrowed this from JB.  Dec 1984, 1993, 2013 had had very warm temps and this  is the  January that  followed. Lots  of  big snow  coming.

Plenty  of  big snow ahead, except  for  extreme SE VA.  I should  have  made  my contest  numbers higher.

JB  has announced when the  cold arrives.

JB says the GFS is going to be very wrong

2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB GEFS extended control from last night.   I will take the Royal Flush….

JB has been proven right  once again.

2 hours ago, frd said:

 

 Take this with a grain of salt.  But, in a Nina and with the base state we have I can see this happening. 

 

 

JB is  laughing at that. He has said dec and  Jan will be  cold and snowy.