LibertyBell
-
Posts
44,929 -
Joined
About LibertyBell
- Birthday September 15
Recent Profile Visitors
20,187 profile views
-
Only one 90 degree day in August and even that was a very weak 91, how often has August not had any 90 degree days, Don?
-
Was 1963-64 an el nino summer Chris? If so there are two el nino summers ahead of it, 1963 and 2002. This was an extremely front loaded summer, no really hot days after the middle of July. Summer ended after July 15th. Too much rain for it to be hot. The early part of July was like a less extreme version of 1966 but the pattern didn't hold because the dryness in 1966 lasted until the blockbuster winter of 1966-67 began. What do you think of the idea that a very wet last month of summer leads to a warm less snowy winter?
-
The top 3 in the coldest lows range are all close to me and 1986 is the year our family purchased this property and the year this house was built but back then we only spent the summers here. From Tony's chronology I can see that 1982 also had a cold outbreak around this time. Both strong el ninos. Meanwhile that super heatwave in 1953 was fully underway by now. It seems like back in the 80s and 90s it was both hotter and drier and colder and drier. Back then we could get desert dry air from the southwest which is how August 1980 was so hot and how JFK hit 100 in both July and August in 1983 and how NYC almost hit 100 in September in 1983 and why those 1988 and 1993 heatwaves were so long or polar dry air from the north which is why we got those early fall like airmasses in August 1982 and 1986. Now you need rain and a muggy onshore wind to get cool air. With poor sky conditions too. Chris is Lake Harmony the only coop that reports snowfall around here? I've been trying to find snowfall averages around this area. Can you locate other snowfall reporting sites around here within a 10 mile radius at or above 1500 feet? Thanks!
-
That's excessive for me too. I experienced 116 out in the desert and it was way too much. I think 110 and higher is too much. It feels like being stung with burning needles. When JFK had a heat index of 117 on back to back days in 2019 I think it was although the high was only 99 on both days that was too much. I'm fine with 103 degrees and 30 percent humidity but not 99 degrees and 50 percent humidity. The hottest I've experienced in NY is 103 I dont buy those 106-107 degrew temperatures reported on the south shore of Nassau county the last two summers. The houses are just too close together and there's way too much traffic to accurately report temperature, I learned that after relocating here and having 2 acres of land to properly place weather sensors I'm always within a degree or two of Mount Pocono even though I'm south of there and over 300 feet lower in elevation. I experienced July 1977 in Manhattan when it hit 104 but was too young to remember it, all I remember from that summer is being scared during the big blackout and all the police sirens. Although I have issues with how the heat index is calculated because I hated the 81 degrees with a dew point of 81 in June 1996 during a supposedly cool summer the heat index was only 93 but it felt more like 113 to me. My big problem with this summer are all the stuck fronts and cutoff nonsense that's not normal for us. I'd like either hot and sunny or cool and sunny. If fronts are going to come in they should just keep moving. I love my pristine blue skies just like we had today. Next week looks like a humid disgusting sky nightmare again.
-
First fall like day had a low of 47 here at 7 am this morning and a high of 73 at 4 pm pristine blue skies. First 40s here since June.
-
I think people complain mostly about the humidity not the temperatures per se. I distinctly remember a few people on here who said that they were surprised how enjoyable they found the dry low humidity heat of 2010 even though it was above 100 for July 4th weekend just like it was this year. That was the ideal summer 100 degrees with 20 percent humidity. I'm not surprised they enjoyed that weather either, dry heat is VERY therapeutic to the human body. That was my favorite summer of all time. Followed by the 1993 summer which had the greatest heatwave I've ever experienced.
-
1955 was very similar to 1999 both were very hot summers. Part of the well known 11 year cycle.
-
There are also such things as pools and beaches. I have an inground pool here myself but only used it for a few days this summer because it's rained so much. Today was a really good day though, around 75 here and mostly sunny and a nice cool breeze at 1600 feet. Looks like a clear night coming up, why couldn't we have had this last night for the eclipse instead of those nuisance thunderstorms? It didn't clear out here last night until after 1:30. I really dislike thunder and lightning I'm always worried it will hit me especially up here. I had to hire a logging company to clear all the tall trees within 100 feet of this house back in 2018 when a microburst happened and I had to replace part of the roof and the railing on the bedroom balcony.
-
Yes and I think that drought also caused the record heat in the triple digits for multiple days at coastal locations like JFK. That will likely resume next summer after this el Nino ends. I fully expect 90 degree heat to begin early in April next spring and continue through September. What I don't expect to see are the super heat waves of double digit length we had in years like 1953 and 1993. That did not happen even in 2010. So lots of 90 degree days and multiple 100 degree days next summer even at JFK but probably no 7 day plus heatwaves.
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LibertyBell replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The drought is just a natural cyclical feed back response to the excessively rainy years we have had since 2002. Consider the el nino summers of 1991, 1994 and 2002 to see summer heat during a developing el nino. We are now cycling back to that drier era and after this el Nino is over that will only increase. -
No but they love heat. Just look at where the greatest growth and movement of people is happening, to warmer climates. This can be explained if you look at where humans came from-- Africa. So we are naturally attuned to a hotter climate. Most of the die offs our species has had were associated with ice ages not heat. If you asked people to chose where to live strictly based on weather most people would pick hot summer over cold winter every time. They just don't want to pay excessive heating bills. Look at it this way the warmer the winter is the less the amount of fossil fuels that will be used. This summer was not hot not on the level of the truly historic summers I often reference. Speaking of death traps the highest number of heat related deaths happened in years like 1980 and 1995. We really have not had that kind of widespread coast to coast heat that lasts for months since then. Flooding is far more of a concern now. I think next year we will see that kind of heat though and hopefully not the deaths or the smoke. I hate to say this but the forests need to be trimmed back.
-
I'd like to see what kind of pattern we had in late August 1948 and late August and early September 1953 with the kind of late season heat that hasn't been matched since. Speaking of hot August weather that was some real multi-day triple digit heat! If those patterns happened now what would the temperatures be? As far as el nino heat is concerned how does this summer compare to 1991, 1994 and 2002, those are my benchmark summers for el nino heat. There is some speculation that the type of heat we had between 1944 and 1955 and 1966 which really has not been matched since had to do with nuke testing, specifically hydrogen bomb testing.
-
Let's be honest though 90 percent of the population loves hot summers. People wait for 9 months for hot summers so they can go to the beach. The last thing they want is spring or fall weather in the summer. They drive the economy too. And out of the 10 percent who like cool and rainy summers 90 percent are on here lol.
-
Chris numbers can be made to show anything, the point is this summer doesn't hold a candle to any of the ones I mentioned, not even last summer, let alone 2010, 2005, 2002, 1999, 1995, 1993, 1991, 1988, 1983, 1980 and those are 10 just off the top of my head that were much hotter. Yes we had an extremely hot 4 day period so this summer was like a much lesser version of 1966. 1966 also had a three day 100 plus streak at JFK but each of those days was hotter not to mention heat waves were much longer back then. Our summer ended after July 15th.
-
1948 WOW now THAT was a real summer and if I'm not mistaken JFKs latest 100 degree day and back to back 100 degree days and NYC had three in a row in late August no less!!!
