psv88
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Everything posted by psv88
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GFS caved to Euro for the most part -
The GFS is not in the RGEM camp
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GFS/Euro/ukie/NAM V RGEM
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GFS has slowly trended to the euro and now brings the 6” snow line well east and into Suffolk county. RGEM is entirely on its own
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Everyone will see snow from this…relax people. Even the NAM is a lot of snow for the coast. the RGEM is really on it own with the super amped system. it’s coming
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I don’t think elevation is a big factor here at all.
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Not sure why people are tossing the euro. Especially when it has support from Ukie
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Quite the model spread. Given the euros record this winter I have to lean on it. GFS has been horrific. Ukie and euro are similar, so I’m thinking 2-4” area wide, few lucky places sniff 6”
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yikes. Todays runs will be telling
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I’m expecting rain until 3-5 pm Sunday, then transition to snow out here.
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Forecast low Sunday night will be 18 even out here in Suffolk. I really like Upton call for 3”
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Even it rains it will transition to snow everywhere Sunday evening. For coast expect 2-4” of snow even out to the twin forks. North and west 3-6” look good. it’s coming
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Dusting on the road. Looks like pixie dust falling
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Flurries
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Upton has up to an inch for the twin forks with ocean enhancement. I think we get some flurries and that’s it
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Not to split hairs (why not though) but I usually run 1-2 degrees colder than ISP in the winter. For example, month to date ISP average temp for January 2025 is 31.52, I’m at 30.4. So figure my normal is 37-38 (on the new normals)
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+3-4 in the summer is 87-88. Hot but I don’t think anyone here screams torch for 87/88. (Other than Metfan who cries when it’s above 76).
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Yes. Maybe 3-4 degrees below normal which is about normal to me. When it’s 40 out I’m not screaming torch. It’s all about normal.
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14 this morning. Colder than forecast. forecast high today is 32. Nothing crazy. Next week will be cold but not historic. Overall feels like what January should feel like. Cold.
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High today was 33. About normal for mid January.
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Apparently first airport was in 1909…so doubtful
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It’s more so arsonists lighting fires when it’s dry and windy. There’s no way to “manage” that. Many of the areas that burned are suburban areas, not even forests at all.
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What else you want to talk about?
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Most accurate model we have. Lock it in!
