psv88
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Everything posted by psv88
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RGEM colder and brings snow out to eastern Suffolk now lol. Welcome to the party! -
That’s not true. It’s a 3-6” event. Northern areas will be 6” maybe highest elevations 8. This is per Euro btw
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Could be a nice little event Thursday night for Long Island and coastal NJ. Outside shot now, but potential for 2-4” of fluff
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Take a break
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Remember when the GFS had the SLP into fire island? Lol. Now has a snowstorm to block island
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Absolutely. Terrible from the Canadians. As most of us said
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What’s a 300 mile shift between friends?
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This.
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8 inches or so
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Beautiful
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Includes all of Suffolk too. Haven’t seen such a broad advisory in a while
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Wonder if William/Pamela is still out there
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Btw you still haven’t explained to @Dark Starhow the warm Great Lakes only impact night time temperatures but not day time temperatures. I was curious about that as well.
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Correct.
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It’s also the only model which has been consistent with snow for the city and the coast. I’ll leave it there. You can spin it however you want, but from a SNOW standpoint it was insistent that the entire area will see snow. I really don’t give a shit if its SLP placement was suppressed. 99.999% of the population could care less.
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Northwest Suffolk looks good for a solid high end advisory event now. Generally 4-6” snowfall looks likely from your area out to Smithtown north of LIE
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Nice cold press during the storm for coastal areas. Love to see it as opposed to the dreaded SWFES where we end with slop
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That was a 7 day forecast! We are talking day 5 or less. Stop. Even 7 days out it showed the potential for a light even area wide, which generally is correct
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Yikes. Lots of weenie suicides by the northwest crew if this verifies
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It’s weird how you keep ignoring that the Canadian models gave the city zero snow until today. Why is that?
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Incorrect to the inch? Sure. But it’s wrong to say models cannot generally predict snow amounts “beyond a day or two” we have known this was a 3-6/4-8” event (for the snowier areas) for 5 days. Nothing has changed. QPF output has generally been between 0.25 and 0.50 for most models. We knew there would be cold air to work with. For areas north and west this was a relatively straightforward forecast. Trickier for areas right on the line
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The euro was lighter in amounts and the Canadians gave the poconos 2 feet. That’s now off the table. Canadians had the city and coast getting zero. That changed in one run lol.
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The western envelope had the city getting zero snow and all rain. Is that your call right now?
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No. Snow amounts are the only thing we care about actually.
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It’s not just about low placement. Models also forecast temperature, wind, dews etc. on this forum do we track low placement or snow? If it’s snow then the Euro schooled the other models. the prosecution rests
