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ag3

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Everything posted by ag3

  1. ag3
    Bands now pulling SE and ocean bands pushing west. This should setup a deform band right over the NYC metro.
  2. ag3
    Eye balling here looks like 3” and ripping.
  3. ag3
    You have water influence there. I’m on 147th and 12th Ave. 2”+ and roads blanketed.
  4. ag3
    Im down to 32.2 here in NE Queens.
  5. ag3
    I’m in Whitestone and there is nothing left that’s not covered.
  6. ag3
    2” an hour band about to engulf the NYC metro.
  7. ag3
    Yeah. It’s like these people are being negative just to be annoying. There isn’t a surface left here that isn’t snow covered and we easily have over 2” already.
  8. ag3
    To me, it looks like the city and LI will be in the pivot and deform band. Let it develop. It’s absolutely ripping here right now.
  9. ag3
    Radar looks prime for NYC area. Deform band setting up.
  10. ag3
    Roads are fully covered where I am in Whitestone.
  11. ag3
    Easy 2” here already and pounding snow.
  12. ag3
    Zero white rain here. Full stickage to all surfaces.
  13. ag3
    City itself is a different beast. Here in Whitestone, Queens, we have 1”-2” on the ground and covering everything including roads.
  14. ag3
    I told everyone to not worry about the Euro. It often cuts back on precip before an event.
  15. ag3
    32.5 and snowing. Sticking already everywhere as well.
  16. ag3
    3km NAM is also amazing for the NYC metro and south.
  17. ag3
    NAM is great for NYC/LI and area.
  18. ag3
    NYC is in a great spot for this. We have wiggle room for the inevitable bump north.
  19. ag3
    Looks like a 5-8am change to snow for the coast.
  20. ag3
    I have seen the Euro cut back last minute and be wrong many times. Jan. 27, 2011 was one example. It cut back precip to .50" of precip inside of 24 hours. NYC received close to 20" of snow. There are other examples as well. When you have the GFS showing much more precip with dynamic banding + the Rgem/NAM and others agreeing, I would toss the Euro. I believe this is a 4"-8" snowfall for NYC/LI metro area with a risk for even higher, if the GFS deform band placement ends up right.
  21. ag3
    There's a deform band of 2"-3" an hour. I dont care what the city ground temp is, if it snows that hard, it will accumulate. Wherever the deform ccb sets up, will receive 6"-12"+. Right not, most models place that around NYC. As for the Euro, it has done these types of whacky precip cuts many times in these situations. I wouldn't worry about it.
  22. ag3
    Im not enthused about the 13th. I suspect the GFS will correct north and warmer today or tomorrow. I am however slightly enthused about Feb. 18-22. That's our best shot if confluence doesn't kill it.
  23. ag3
    One lucky storm in 15-16.
  24. ag3
    Euro and all long range modeling looks even worse overnight. Any pattern change looks to be pushed back to after Feb. 15th now, if it even comes. We are getting very close to the fat lady warming up her vocal box.
  25. ag3
    Shut it down:
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