Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
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I see that’s what they put but if you plot the coordinates it’s definitely WNW
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Recon says otherwise
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Yep agreed. We just had a flood warning here early this morning. Close to 3 inches just last night in northern end of county.
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6Z GFS just dumps on WNC.
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Man the GFS turns near S.C./GA line and heads to WNC. Wrings the moisture out.
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Sure has. Very concerned with landslides with 3+ inches of rain. Enhanced flow is gonna flex its muscle when Flo makes the turn near WNC
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Yes that enhanced flow would wring out a lot of moisture in the southern and eastern escarpment areas.
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That’s what I said. Nothing north of Wilmington. That appears to be northern extent. No model has any thing north of there.
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So it appears Wilmington may end up being the northern extent of the landfall possibility as most models today have the goal posts at the southern end of Wilmington down to dirty Myrtle.
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GFS finally caved.
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Driving right now and don’t have access on the road to those maps. Can someone else post the Euro ensembles?
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Wow. The Euro ensembles clustered between Myrtle beach and Charleston. Very few into N.C.
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FV3-GFS another large shift SW.
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I think that until I see the next GFS
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I didn’t see the Euro shifting way east. Especially not it’s ensembles.
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It’s actually cape fear not Wilmington. So not that much further north actually.
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It’s the GFS, didn’t get its nickname for no reason
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So we went from WNW to due west movement in he latest advisory. Interesting.
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6Z HWRF a carbon copy of 0Z Euro. Yikes
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If you’re in central or WNC you better beg and plead that the Euro is wrong. That’s Biblical flooding.
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My worst fear for WNC just happened with the Euro run. And then the Euro ensembles cluster from Charleston to Myrtle makes it even worse. With the flow enhancement, some mountain and foothill locations would see 4 feet of rain. Wow.
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All track depending. It’s going to stall, just a matter of where.
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And an ark.
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Curious on your thoughts but this cannot be good for the mountains and foothills with the enhanced flow into this area.
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I would never trust a model in which the ridge is stronger each run and the LP further north and east. The GFS has been horrendous with this storm especially in regards to strength of this storm which is everything. I would not be shocked at all to see a Charleston to Georgetown landfall moving NW from there.
