495weatherguy

I pray that you are wrong But I Suspect you are right

Eyeball somewhere around 3 inches, in Melville LI Intensity has varied for last 90 mins

Moderate snow began about 5:20 am in Melville LI. Road already covered by 5:50 am Glad this is occurring on a Sunday

Snow began about 5:20 am in Melville LI Hoping for a moderate impact. Zero interest in having a layer of ice upon 6 plus inches of snow Thank goodness it’s a Sunday

Absolutely anecdotal. I’ve seen this movie plenty of times. The warm nose or tongue is disregrded 4/5 days out because “the airmass is so cold” only for it to show up inside of 48 hours and dramatically alter the expected outcome. A lot of things have to occur in order for LI to have an all snow event. For context, I’m in Melville LI

LI is always on a razors edge. The warm nose never fails-it has hindered many a storm. Very rarely do we have storms on LI that do not get the warm nose

I believe I received closer to 4 inches in Melville, but I didn’t measure. Going by eyeball, I think your measurement is close to what I received from the entire event

I received at least 3 inches. Melville.

That’s a great story. Makes you appreciate everything you have now

So that breaks down to less than 100 gallons per month annually. There are many ways to break it down, it seems that during the peak winter months you are burning 150 gallons per month, which is about 5 gallons per day. Without knowing the particulars of your house, this seems reasonable for heating a house on Li

That’s not outrageous. How many square feet is the house? 200 or so gallons per month. Seems to be low for those temps if anything

Warm noses always seem to over perform. Or come out of nowhere

Thank you for the explanation. Never surprised by the sleet mixing in

Are you concerned for the inevitable “warm nose” that always seems to catch meteorologists off guard?

Don’t remember the torch. Remember the cold though. It was brutal