janetjanet998

ILX did indeed issue a late advisory (along with DVN)for Canton, Galesburg and points south .. PIA airport from the first wave per climate data : .1 late WED, 1.5 thru 4pm Thursday so total 1.6 first wave final report for Thursday 3.2 . so another 1.6 up to midnight yesterday from wave 2 Event total so far 3.3 . as of midnight but per hourly obs... another .2 inches of precip falling 12-3am ...so more after that

23HRRR 2-4 inch band from Dekalb to SPI

IDOT cams showing decent snow over western IL including SPI and Jacksonville ...some roads slushy again just started here ...decent sized flakes dynamic cooling killing it ILX and SW parts of LOT areas going to a surprise..may need a quick advisory

18z GFS has a bulls eye of 1.4 inches of precip over IKK..alot of it coming tomorrow night..all liquid basically

nice slug of precip moving north near STL..may get a quick 1-3 this evening on the NW fringe

I have no idea ....it will be a NOWCAST situation...but never underestimate dynamic/convective cooling and a deformation zone later if it stays all snow many people are going to be surprised

Nice burst here now..big flakes under the heavier returns going to be some "uneven" storm reports totals I think ....depending on how often one clears the snowboard to measure before it melts or compacts (every 6 hrs for some longer for others)

Temps so marginal and such a waste of precip (about an inch ) ..if only it was January.....................

Nice deformation band stall over IL on the NAM

but it has frozen precip on the outer edge of the precip shield ..odd

per GFS over IA 33 and rain...for 2 days

back to back to back....3 days in a row ...minor systems for IA, MN AND WI...the first now,,, with an interesting weak LES band moving into MKE from the southeast Northwest WI and central and northern MN has deep snowpack and will be adding to it this week....water equivalent too for possible MS river flooding problems later

yep..after next weekend ...nothing...18z GFS continues to show a system over the northern Gulf and then rides up the east coast... but not really huge amounts of cold air dumping in behind it...no clippers..a north wind for days over the Gulf eats out all of the moisture..will take days of a south wind to recover....IF another SW flow sets up later in the month

If only the 18z GFS was real the next 2 weeks 45-50 inches, alot of it higher ratio fluff.. ORD, MKE, MSN

the start of a 2020 redux? Both the 12z Euro and 18z GFS have huge amounts 8+ inches over TN over the next 360 hours..GFS 14 in a dumping the next 2 days..a decent break but then very active and soil moisture is currently already high (70-80 percentile)

5 inch contours back on 7 day click for this mornings update The MS river at Baton Rouge, without the rain factored in, crest 44 feet .... top 5

Expected Rainfall Amounts Thursday Night through Sunday Afternoon. Total rainfall amounts will generally range from around 2.5 inches to around 3.5 inches. These expected rainfall amounts may have an affect on area rivers. These expected rainfall amounts are preliminary and subject to change.

lake cumberland 749.65 feet down .95 or .04/hr (inflow increased form rain slowed the fall) if the lake falls 1.2 ft per day we will be at 746 at 10z friday near the start of the "wet period" Center hill dam (the other big pool) also still very full and the rains have also slowed its fall its at 670.6 ft , it peaked at 678 or so..the top of the spillway is 785 on Feb 18th it was at 635 so it is still 35 feet higher then 3 weeks ago and only 15 feet from the top of the spillway (or secondary overflow)

Lake Cumberland at this time is back down to the old record high it fell 1.38 ft 24 hours ending at 5am..or .058/hr assuming a 1.5 foot drop per day the lake will be at 744.37 at 11z friday ..near the start of the wet period..the also seem to be SLOWLY backing down the outflow in baby steps..now 57,100 down from 59,800 looks like a general 1/2 to inch over most of TN today heavier south of the TVA watershed

12z NAM shifted south ..still hits E TN go0d but not Cumberland so much at 5am lake cumberland 753.25 down down 1.35 ft or .056/hr past 24 hours odds are the southern solutions will pan out...

yep..nice "dry" spell yesterdays rains missed the cumberland watershed but not TN river........ HSV : HUNTSVILLE AIRPORT : 1.12 MSL : MUSCLE SHOALS ARPT : 0.91 KCHA .48 TVS .25 lake Cumberloand at 5am down 1 foot the past 24 hours or .042/hr 754.6 at 5am

still building a wall near/under that tower...locals are saying truck after truck of rocks still coming in today .I wonder if the are prepping it for even higher releases

Cumberland at 5am 755.61 down .65 feet or .027/hr the past 24 hours some light rain today weekend system may slow/stall fall models continue to hint at more active set up 9-10 days

Tennessee Valley Authority ‏ Verified account @TVAnews 3h3 hours ago More River Update: We are increasing releases out of tributary dams to recover flood storage in preparation for the next rain event, so you can expect to see above normal river flows below those dams. (1-3) Further downstream on Kentucky Lake, we continue to work with the Army Corps of Engineers to control releases out of Kentucky Dam because of flooding on the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers. Water levels on Kentucky Lake could rise as much as eight feet above summer pool. (3-3)