janetjanet998

hopefully that blob and precip will help disrupt it

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2206 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1133 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SPECIFICALLY SOUTHERN VERNON COUNTY CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 700... VALID 161733Z - 161800Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 700 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL DATA, A STRONG TO POTENTIALLY INTENSE TORNADO WITH POTENTIAL PEAK WINDS OF 110 TO 155 MPH (EF1-EF3) IS LIKELY ONGOING. DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR SIGNATURES FROM KPOE AND KLCH AS OF 17:31Z REVEAL AN INTENSE SUPERCELL CHARACTERIZED BY A 0.5-0.9 DEGREE ROTATIONAL VELOCITY BETWEEN 61 AND 70 KT. A TORNADIC DEBRIS SIGNATURE HAS ALSO BEEN NOTED ON RECENT RADAR SCANS. THESE SIGNATURES ARE OCCURRING IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STP BETWEEN 4 AND 5. PREVIOUS SIGNATURES WITHIN SIMILAR ENVIRONMENTS PRODUCED TORNADO-DAMAGE-ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS FROM 110 TO 155 MPH AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR LIKELY STRONG TO POTENTIALLY INTENSE TORNADO. A TORNADO IS ONGOING AND MAY CONTINUE BASED ON THE ROTATIONAL VELOCITY CONTINUITY AND THE STORM MOVING WITHIN A FAVORABLE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT.

STILL PDS in MS EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1133 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 MSC021-149-161800- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0095.000000T0000Z-191216T1800Z/ WARREN MS-CLAIBORNE MS- 1133 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN CLAIBORNE COUNTIES... AT 1132 AM CST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR YOKENA, OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF VICKSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES, BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.

MS storm still PDS SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1125 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 MSC021-149-161800- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0095.000000T0000Z-191216T1800Z/ WARREN MS-CLAIBORNE MS- 1125 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN CLAIBORNE COUNTIES... AT 1124 AM CST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR YOKENA, OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF VICKSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2205 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1124 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL LA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 700... VALID 161724Z - 161900Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 700 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A CORRIDOR FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADOES IS DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL LA. DISCUSSION...RECENT VAD DATA FROM KPOE AND KLCH CONTINUES TO SHOW LONG HODOGRAPHS (I.E. 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OVER 50 KT) AND VERTICALLY VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES. SURFACE WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY BUT STILL REMAIN GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KT FROM THE SOUTH. RECENT MESOANALYSIS PLACES A SMALL AREA OF 45 KT 850-MB WINDS OVER CENTRAL LA, MATCHING EXPECTATIONS BASED ON PREVIOUS MODEL GUIDANCE. INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS WELL, WITH MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTING 2000 J/KG MLCAPE NOW STRETCHING INTO SOUTHWEST LA AND 1500 J/KG MLCAPE COVERING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO, RESULTING IN A FAVORABLE OVERLAP BETWEEN THE INCREASED LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR AND BUILDING INSTABILITY. AS A RESULT, A CORRIDOR OF INCREASED TORNADO RISK APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL LA. ADDITIONALLY, STORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED UPSTREAM OF THIS AREA. GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS, STORMS CAPABLE OF STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

looks like a debris ball appears just after it moved on the town

SC021-149-161800- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0095.000000T0000Z-191216T1800Z/ WARREN MS-CLAIBORNE MS- 1116 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN CLAIBORNE COUNTIES... AT 1115 AM CST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF PORT GIBSON, OR 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICKSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 700 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1040 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LOUISIANA WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI FAR EASTERN TEXAS COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1040 AM UNTIL 600 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SABINE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED, WITH THE PEAK TORNADO RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

AY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1020 AM CST MON DEC 16 2019 VALID 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST LA TO CENTRAL MS... ..SUMMARY NUMEROUS TO POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THE PEAK TORNADO RISK IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING, CENTERED ON NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. ..LOWER MS VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH PRIMARY CHANGES THIS OUTLOOK ARE TO INCREASE TORNADO AND WIND PROBABILITIES ACROSS PARTS OF LA/MS. IN ADDITION, THE SLGT RISK HAS BEEN EXPANDED NORTH FOR WIND INTO MIDDLE TN NEAR THE EXPECTED SURFACE CYCLONE TRACK. GRADUAL EXPANSION OF SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SABINE AND LOWER MS VALLEYS, ALONG/AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. ACTIVITY SHOULD GROW IN COVERAGE AND MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND MS/AL REGIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SEVERAL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION, BUT WITH GREATEST POTENTIAL IN A CORRIDOR FROM NORTHERN/CENTRAL LA ACROSS CENTRAL MS WHERE SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE MOST PROBABLE, AND SHOULD ACCESS THE MOST FAVORABLE CAPE/SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE. DAMAGING GUSTS SHOULD BE THE MOST COMMON CONVECTIVE EVENT AREA-WIDE. SEVERE HAIL IS MOST PROBABLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA, ESSENTIALLY COLLOCATED WITH GREATEST TORNADO PROBABILITIES. 12Z SOUNDINGS SAMPLED THE PRONOUNCED ELEVATED MIXED LAYER OVERLYING THE RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME (CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS) EMANATING NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN GULF. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVERAGE WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR, BUT MODERATE SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG WILL PERSIST IN THE AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS LA THROUGH PARTS OF MS. RELATIVELY BACKED SURFACE WINDS, BENEATH A 40-60-KT SOUTHWESTERLY LLJ, WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS AND 300+ EFFECTIVE SRH. GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WARM-SECTOR SUPERCELLS, SUCH AS PROGGED BY THE HRRR, HRRR-P AND WRF-ARW, SUCH AN ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR MULTIPLE SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. OTHERWISE, REGARDLESS OF WARM-SECTOR CONVECTIVE DENSITY, A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EVOLVE CLOSE TO THE FRONT AND SHIFT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS ACTIVITY WILL OFFER A RISK FOR NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND EMBEDDED QLCS TORNADOES. IT WILL EVENTUALLY ENCOUNTER GRADUALLY WEAKER LOW-LEVEL AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LESS INFLOW-LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT WITH NORTHEAST/EASTERN EXTENT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A SOMEWHAT LESSER THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES TONIGHT. ..GRAMS/WENDT.. 12/16/2019

Northwoods Mall is off to the right of that picture across the road..Lowpoint is about 15 miles NE of Peoria 0315 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW PEORIA 40.79N 89.66W 09/27/2019 M5.25 INCH PEORIA IL PUBLIC NEAR NORTHWOODS MALL 0415 PM HEAVY RAIN LOW POINT 40.88N 89.32W 09/27/2019 M7.82 INCH WOODFORD IL BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED VIA WEEK-TV

you can tell on the Visible there may be some sort of inversion layer in the "warm"sector...so storms may be elevated .and its late september now....so peak heating over also 5+ inches here in north side of the city so far today

Is COD nexlab down?

ILX special sounding at 20Z there is a 60 kt mid level speed eastern IA now...but models have it moving east.....

and the river at NOLA will be above 15 feet well into August.... they just announced today they are keeping the spillway up north open longer (was going to close this week) and up north isn't exactly dry (not hugely wet) as a front moves from north to south dumping rain in the watershed.. plus once they close the spillway... about 125,000 cfs of extra water will flow downstream ..at 16 feet the flow is 1,250,000 bfs at NOLA so the closing of the spillway will off set some any reduction of flow from up north to sum up: NOLA still at risk from storm surge going up river The Bonnet Carre Spillway will have to remain open longer than officials were hoping for as rainwater from once Hurricane Barry makes it’s way down the Mississippi River. Corps of Engineers spokesperson Ricky Boyett says before they can close the Spillway, the river must drop to 21 feet at the structure, but that’s just not happening… “Right now what we are really waiting on is for the rain to finish. As Barry moves up the valley, it’s putting more rain in the river and ultimately that rain has to come down to us.” 21 feet at the Spillway would put the river around 16 feet in New Orleans. Boyett says they aren’t concerned that the additional water will put any of the levee system in danger. “We’re not seeing a rise, what we’re seeing is an extended fall. It’s going to level out for about a week or so, and then we will start to see a slow fall.” https://kpel965.com/bonnet-carre-to-remain-open/

models drive a front into the gulf....got to watch the tail end this time of year euro shows hints of this

interesting storm report 0134 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNE BIG ROCK 41.79N 88.53W 06/30/2019 KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER VIDEO AND DETAILED DESCRIPTION SHOWING TWO WELL-DEFINED GUSTNADOS AT THE CORNER OF SCOTT AND DAUBERMAN ROADS. DEBRIS WAS BLOWN OVER 3/4 OF A MILE TO THE SOUTH.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 651 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2019 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 555 PM CDT FLIPPING THE CALENDAR BACK EXACTLY FIVE YEARS AGO TODAY PROVIDES A GUIDE FOR HOW THE REST OF THE EVENING COULD EVOLVE, ALTHOUGH MAINLY WEST OF THE I-39 CORRIDOR RATHER THAN ACROSS THE KANKAKEE VALLEY AS IT DID FIVE YEARS AGO. THOUGH HOPEFULLY THINGS WILL NOT GET QUITE AS ACTIVE AS THAT EVENT. THE CONCERN IS THE APPROACHING CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS MOVING IN FROM SOUTHWEST WI. SPC MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS AN AXIS OF LARGE INSTABILITY REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS WESTERN IL WHILE AREAS IN THE WAKE OF TODAY'S FIRST EVENT ARE MORE WORKED OVER. WE DO NOT HOWEVER KNOW WITH CONFIDENCE HOW SHALLOW THE STABLE LAYER MIGHT BE. WE DO KNOW THERE HAS ALREADY BEEN ONE TORNADO WARNING ISSUED UPSTREAM. 0-1KM SRH VALUES ON THE MESOANALYSIS PAGE IN THE 100-200 M2/S2 RANGE ACROSS THAT AREA ARE NOT TERRIBLY HIGH, BUT LIKE FIVE YEARS AGO THESE ARE PROBABLY UNDERDONE BY QUITE A BIT BASED ON THE UNREPRESENTATIVE AND TOO SLOW STORM MOTION AROUND 15 KTS USED TO CALCULATE THESE VALUES. INSTEAD THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE HAS BEEN MOVING CLOSER TO 50 KTS WHICH WOULD GREATLY RAMP UP THE SRH VALUES AND SUPPORT A GREATER TORNADIC THREAT THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED. THIS OF COURSE DEPENDS ON THE STABLE SURFACE LAYER BEING SHALLOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE BASED PARCELS, AND THAT REMAINS THE KEY QUESTION AT THIS TIME. A COUPLE OF AMDAR SOUNDINGS OUT OF MDW AND ORD SUGGEST THE STABLE LAYER IS AROUND 2000' DEEP AT THIS TIME, WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH TO SUPPRESS ACTIVITY AT THE SURFACE, BUT THIS IS FARTHER DOWNSTREAM OF THE APPROACHING CLUSTER AND MORE RECENTLY AFFECTED BY THE FIRST ROUND OF ACTIVITY. THE OTHER HINT OF A LINGERING SURFACE STABLE LAYER IS THE WIDESPREAD AP SEEN ON RADAR TO OUR WEST, THOUGH THIS ALSO WAS PRESENT DURING THE 2014 EVENT UP TO THE TIME THAT TORNADOES STARTED TO DEVELOP. WHAT ISN'T AS EVIDENT THIS EVENING SO FAR IS THE LOCATION OF A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE FIRST EVENT, WHICH WOULD SERVE TO FOCUS THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY. SO FOR NOW THE TORNADO THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE HIGH RELATIVE TO A RENEWED DAMAGING WIND THREAT, BUT IF OUTFLOW FROM THE INITIAL STORMS TODAY MANAGES TO EVOLVE INTO AN EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT ACROSS NW IL THEN THINGS COULD GET MORE ACTIVE. ANOTHER KEY FACTOR THAT IS MISSING RELATIVE TO FIVE YEARS AGO IS SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO ASSIST IN ORGANIZATION AND MAINTENANCE OF THE ACTIVITY THIS EVENING. WINDS AT 500MB ARE ONLY IN THE 25-30KT RANGE. THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME IS THAT THE STRONGEST PART OF THE SYSTEM STAYS WEST OF OUR AREA AND BEGINS TO DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE RELATIVELY MORE STABLE DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS OVER US. BUT WE ARE JUST TRYING TO CONVEY THE FULL RANGE OF POSSIBILITIES. LENNING

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE 301 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... NORTHERN IROQUOIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 345 PM CDT. * AT 300 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOMENCE TO ST. ANNE TO NEAR CLIFTON TO 7 MILES WEST OF ASHKUM, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS.

slight risk nudged south into N IL ..UPPER MS VALLEY A LARGE MCS CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF MN TODAY, WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTION AFFECTING NORTHERN IA AND FAR WESTERN WI. A RESERVOIR OF VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR RESIDES OVER MUCH OF IA/IL, AND SHOULD SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION INTO SOUTHERN WI THIS AFTERNOON. THE LARGE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS, COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND AMPLE CAPE WILL PROMOTE RE-INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL MAINTAIN THE SLGT AND ENH RISK AREAS, BUT WILL EXPAND SOUTHWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR TENDENCY OF CONVECTION TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ALONG THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE MCS.

or maybe later today? or both? ..models not catching on to the south end of that MCS very well.. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1268 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0849 AM CDT THU JUN 27 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL IA...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MN CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 271349Z - 271515Z CORRECTED FOR AREAS AFFECTED PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...AN INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL IA AND A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DOWNSTREAM OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 SOON. DISCUSSION...RADAR SIGNATURE ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LARGER MCS MOVING INTO MN AND NORTHERN IA HAS SHOWN INCREASED ORGANIZATION AND FORWARD PROPAGATION OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR. CURRENT STORM MOTION IS ESTIMATED AS EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 35 KT. AT THIS SPEED, THE LINE WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN/NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE DMX CWA AROUND 15Z. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, BRINGING IT TO THAT REGION EARLIER. ORGANIZING CHARACTER OF THIS LINE AND DOWNSTREAM DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION SUGGEST AN INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL IA. ADDITIONALLY, CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MN MAY REACH EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 BY 15Z. AS A RESULT, ANOTHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DOWNSTREAM OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN MN SOON.

lots of trees down across the PIA area last evening...the soggy ground didn't help

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 434 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT SUN JUN 23 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL.

maybe a surprise with that mid level vortex moving NNE near STL? Sun is partly out here all morning