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BornAgain13

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Everything posted by BornAgain13

  1. The NAM was on its way to being a decent storm somewhere... ending the run on a neutral tilt plowing east...
  2. To bad its the long range NAM. It actually looks pretty good. The vort is not flat or strung out, almost neutral tilt... who knows where it would have went...
  3. That would actually be funny to me cause Brad Panovich this morning pretty much Said it just isn't much there.
  4. If it would tilt negatively a little more, that would probably be all the adjustment you need...
  5. GFS is on its own right now unfortunately. Unless things shift today or tomorrow, the Euro will have had the right idea...
  6. It does seem like this winter that we usually have 1 or 2 models show a good hit between 5-7 days out. And then it goes poof... I guess it's to progressive of a pattern and the systems just stay to far south and have no chance to kreep northward.
  7. I guess the GFS isn't the King after all.... the Euro has been showing a suppressed look the whole time....
  8. Most guidance shows a flat and suppressed system. Even the GFS is trending that way..
  9. Saw this on mid Atlantic thread.... 18z Euro control for Sunday Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk
  10. Can someone elaborate on this? Would this turn out good for a Winter Storm with this look?
  11. By my untrained eye, the 18z Euro was setting good for Sunday. Someone else with more experience can elaborate.
  12. Would love for the GFS to be right but I really hate the Euro isn't on board.
  13. 6z GFS still has a major ice storm this morning... 0z euro jumped on board with a little more snow/ice. We will see how this continues to go. UK still has it. The cmc is still not there...
  14. I agree with that, except I would draw the ice line a little further east...
  15. What's encouraging, and the take away from 12z, is most guidance is showing something wintry around Sunday/Monday time frame... 12z CMC is more suppressed but we will see...
  16. 12 Euro FREEZING RAIN Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk
  17. 12z EURO has a similar set up as GFS, just not near the moisture and it's not amped. BUT... their is a signal there
  18. I put a lot more stock in the GFS since the upgrade.... whether it shows winter weather or not... its clearly better than it used to be...
  19. And just like this time, as it gets closer, it probably won't be as warm as modeled.
  20. Yep. 6z gfs is a Major ice storm next Sunday for the piedmont.
  21. Taken verbatim, the 0z ICON is a Major Winter Storm for the Carolinas on up into Virginia. Snow to the north and ICE to the south.
  22. Anybody who has the precip type maps or totals for the icon can show that better.
  23. 0z ICON with another run of a Major Winter Storm next Sunday for the Carolinas and Virginia. Snow on the northern fringe changing to ICE
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