BornAgain13

18z GFS actually moved it up to a Day 9-10 threat and not 10-11. More in line with Euro AI.

18z GFS shows the potential again from the 22nd-23rd.

Yep just saw that. Been some hints around that timeframe. Just something to watch. Sometimes right after warm ups this time of year, all it takes is a southern stream energy meeting with some cold air.

I guess if their is anything to track it will be around the 24th/25th. Euro AI and GFS have both hinted at something around that timeframe. Today's 12z Gfs/GEFS show a storm then. Just something to watch after the big warm up relaxes next week

Cmc and its ensembles still wants to paste Virginia. Its definitely off of its rocker. Nothing else shows that.

Definitely looks that way for the foreseeable future.

What's weird is the EPS still shows snow in VA but the OP says no.

Anyone have the sleet map from the CMC?

CMC/EURO showing ICE and some Snow on the northern edge. Will be interesting to see if this keeps trending colder.

Do not believe the 6z Euro, Do not believe the 6z Euro. Stay away lol

Stronger CAD maybe? Wonder if the CMC is on to something

Euro AI is way south. Not sure if its still to warm for snow and ice? Or is it just rain

12z CMC definitely colder and the GEFS came in better. Unreal swings of these models. They definitely dont have a clue yet

Still plenty of time but this looks like its trending away from Winter Weather.

0z ICON just Rain.