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Normandy Ho

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Everything posted by Normandy Ho

  1. That's what I wanted to say but I'm too chickenshit
  2. We are at the point now where I think the question isn't if it's a category 5 anymore....the question is how strong of a Cat 5 it is. On pins and needles waiting for recon now. My guess: 155 knots. 904 mb.
  3. Might be a troichoidal wobble, but in general its westward motion has stopped/stalled for now
  4. One interesting trend I am seeing today is this is diving southward further east. Not sure if it has any implications on future track (perhaps a pro met / knowledgeable poster can chime in)
  5. NHC is behind bigtime on current intensity
  6. I think the long wait for our nuclear carribean hurricane might be over. IR is looking quite vicious right now
  7. My question: What turns it west like that? Its recurving and then it stops on a dime right before it hits Florida
  8. This is one of the craziest recoveries I have ever seen from a cane crossing the Yucatan. This morning it was a naked swirl and now has multiple hot towers/mesos rotating around a closed eye. Wild stuff.
  9. Just observing the convection rotating much faster around the eye now, I think they find some big winds.
  10. Actually has a formative eyewall on radar now.
  11. Making declarations on lower flooding potential for a slow moving / stalling system in the gulf seems odd. Rainfall amounts are not tied to windspeed in any way...unless you are thinking the storm will be a eastern heavy system throughout it's life? Latest tracks are wild for this one. GFS hits corpus and Houston both from the east...so 2020
  12. This is not banter material. Shoot it's tough to tell what's banter material and what's not in the other thread. I feel like you have to post sound analysis In that one (which my post def wasn't).
  13. Latest GFS is one of the most preposterous modeled tc tracks I've seen
  14. And why do you think a New Orleans hit would be a bigger story than a Dauphin Island hit? It couldn't have anything to do with number of people affected could it? But the media...
  15. Because people like to make others feel inhumane for their fascination with severe weather. Makes them feel better about themselves. That post was bait and I shouldn't have took it
  16. Pecos Hank is the best one I've seen. Josh Morgerman as well. Basically ones who talk little and let nature's performance speak for itself Worst one by far is Reed or Jeff P.
  17. Naked swirl incoming. Good thing because Laura is gonna hurt somebody on the gulf coast
  18. Honestly it wouldn't surprise me. From what I have learned so far about tornadoes is that they seem to parallel tropical cyclones in some ways. This one especially because it was wrapped in an envelope of high winds. Wouldn't really surprise me if the center was calm like they eye of a strong hurricane. I was thinking earlier, going through Hurricane Wilma while she was 884 mbs wouldn't be much different than the Joplin tornado. It would only be slightly wider damage swath lol.
  19. What accounts suggest there was a calm in the center of the tornado? From every video I've seen (One on the lawn and gas station), there was no actual calm. There was an initial burst of high wind (like 70 - 100 mph), followed by the tornado which raged continuously until passing. I've only gathered from discussion that the tornado was wrapped in an envelope of high winds.
  20. In Jeff's video you can see how strong the winds were far from the wedge (2:24 or so). Very interesting how it had an intense core surrounded by damaging winds....almost sounds like a tropical cyclone on a super micro-scale.
  21. For me these two videos tell the story of Joplin's terror. First one shows the experience riding it out (audio only though), second one shows what actually happened to the gas station. Incredible that they survived a direct hit from an EF-5 tornado (I'd say this is EF-4 / EF-5 damage, the twisted and mangled steel is beyond incredible).
  22. The Hospital damage is a great case study of what violent tornadoes could do to sturdy and well built structures. Large high-rises will remain standing, but completely gutted and denuded in some spots (like the top where only the steel frame is visible). Does anyone know if the hospital is salvageable?
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