Hoosier
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Everything posted by Hoosier
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If we can get a vaccine that gives most recipients immunity for 6-12 months, that is better than nothing and should probably be considered a big win. They are trying to do something that has never been done before (vaccine for a coronavirus) and trying to do it in record time. Odds are it won't be quite as effective as we'd like.
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There have been thousands (many thousands) of deaths under age 65 since this began. Your own chart posted on the previous page shows it. You are minimizing it by acting like it's all people in their 80s who are dying.
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The bars are tough to deal with. I think it was the governor of Texas (or maybe someone else) who said they just aren't made for a pandemic. Perfect environment and circumstances to spread a virus. If we had near universal mask usage (especially in areas where cases are high) and people stopped these large gatherings, whether it be bars, birthday parties, grad parties, etc. it would go a long way to getting the cases down.
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Good but sobering story. I know there are some issues with false negatives on tests and what not, but a case where somebody is sick, then tests negative/feels better for a long time and then gets sick again is hard to explain as anything other than getting reinfected with covid.
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I gotta admit that number looks shockingly high. Sadly there will be kids that die when school opens, whether they catch it at school or somewhere else. There seems to be differing risk level even among kids though. Like teenagers seem to be more of a risk than really young kids (but obviously teenagers are at much lower risk of serious illness/death compared to middle age/old adults).
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I am guessing that a lot of those who died in their 50s/60s would have been around for a while. You can live for decades with many of the preexisting conditions that are a problem with covid.
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I remember you being sick because I was sick around the same time. Didn't have the bad headaches but had all of the other symptoms. Fortunately my cough and shortness of breath were of relatively short duration. The biggest oddity to me was the fever that lasted almost a full week. Never had anything like that. I did start getting better the day after taking Z pack so perhaps it was something else or my body was about to kick it anyway.
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I have seen speculation about people being inside more in the south now compared to the Mar-May period. Not sure how much I buy that explanation though. When you have 80-90% mask wearing, it seemingly puts a big dent in the virus' ability to spread.
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If you are sick for a week or two and then return to normal, then sure, it's not that big a deal at the end of the day. The problem is when it doesn't go that way. The longer term phenomenon is a real thing, we just don't know how prevalent that is. And at this point it seems like there really isn't anything that doctors can do if you fall into that group that experiences longer term symptoms. Just give it time and hope for the best.
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15,300 new cases in Florida and I'm guessing the positive percentage isn't good.
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Who knows about timing/details but in general, next week should have decent severe potential in the sub.
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Per request, the heat wave posts have been split into its own thread
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Daily positive % crept up to 10% in Indiana. Had been a long run of mid to upper single digit % on the dailies... like a couple months.
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The thing is it took a while for the increases to really take off in the states that reopened early. It seems like there is some kind of tipping point of too much reopening, too many people getting careless with their behavior, or some combination. It's part art and part science as to how much reopening you can get away with, and some states may be able to push it a little more than others.
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Just remembered Central Park is their official site, right? If so then I'll definitely say Chicago.
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Obviously a lot of attention has been on Florida, Arizona, Texas and California, but Georgia is sneaking up as well... and now there is a bit of a battle between the GA gov and Atlanta mayor.
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Could be headed for about 65k today. Not sure how high the daily number can go as we are going to max out test processing capability at some point. There have already been reports of test results taking longer to come back now compared to a month or so ago. You could certainly make an argument that we actually have over 100k new cases per day right now since significant numbers of asymptomatic people wouldn't have a reason to get tested.
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Wonder who will have the higher gust... Chicago with Cristobal or NYC with Fay. ORD gusted to 60 mph back then
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Covid hospitalizations have been increasing in Indiana, though not at a dramatic rate and there is still plenty of bed availability. Current hospitalizations are the highest they have been since the 3rd week of June. It would largely be too early to see any impact from the 4th of July on the hospitalization numbers because of the typical time lag with this illness so hopefully there isn't a sharper rise on the way.
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Love that video.
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Can see the flattening and upward move starting in the 7 day avg on worldometers. Probably a similar look on the other tracking sites (or will be soon)
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3 days in a row of 900+. Wish we could say it's all because of the weekend lag but I don't think so. It looks like we have reached the point where the increases in several states are outweighing the declines in other states.
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Yeah, could very well get there around October at the rate we're going. Was trying to not be so pessimistic but it's a real possibility. If the schools are going to reopen, you gotta knock the cases way, way down. Some countries overseas have been able to open schools and not have big problems so far. Imagine trying to open school right now in Florida, Texas, Arizona with so much virus floating around.
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Flu death rate isn't 0.6% 0.1%, 0.2%, 0.4%, 0.6%, etc. all sounds pretty similar to each other but is actually fairly significantly different when you are talking about millions of cases. Regardless of what the death rate is, we have like 130k dead and seemingly headed to 200k by winter.
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I think Wednesdays are usually part of the weekend lag, and could be even more in this case because of the holiday weekend. The weekly average will give us a better idea. I do get the sense that the national decline in deaths is ending and it's a question of how big the rise gets.
