Hoosier
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Everything posted by Hoosier
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Per request, the heat wave posts have been split into its own thread
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Daily positive % crept up to 10% in Indiana. Had been a long run of mid to upper single digit % on the dailies... like a couple months.
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The thing is it took a while for the increases to really take off in the states that reopened early. It seems like there is some kind of tipping point of too much reopening, too many people getting careless with their behavior, or some combination. It's part art and part science as to how much reopening you can get away with, and some states may be able to push it a little more than others.
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Just remembered Central Park is their official site, right? If so then I'll definitely say Chicago.
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Obviously a lot of attention has been on Florida, Arizona, Texas and California, but Georgia is sneaking up as well... and now there is a bit of a battle between the GA gov and Atlanta mayor.
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Could be headed for about 65k today. Not sure how high the daily number can go as we are going to max out test processing capability at some point. There have already been reports of test results taking longer to come back now compared to a month or so ago. You could certainly make an argument that we actually have over 100k new cases per day right now since significant numbers of asymptomatic people wouldn't have a reason to get tested.
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Wonder who will have the higher gust... Chicago with Cristobal or NYC with Fay. ORD gusted to 60 mph back then
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It probably won't come as a surprise that this will be the warmest opening 10 days of July in Chicago since 2012.
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Covid hospitalizations have been increasing in Indiana, though not at a dramatic rate and there is still plenty of bed availability. Current hospitalizations are the highest they have been since the 3rd week of June. It would largely be too early to see any impact from the 4th of July on the hospitalization numbers because of the typical time lag with this illness so hopefully there isn't a sharper rise on the way.
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Love that video.
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Can see the flattening and upward move starting in the 7 day avg on worldometers. Probably a similar look on the other tracking sites (or will be soon)
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3 days in a row of 900+. Wish we could say it's all because of the weekend lag but I don't think so. It looks like we have reached the point where the increases in several states are outweighing the declines in other states.
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So much rain until a week or two ago and the grass is already starting to get brown. Amazing how little time it takes.
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Yeah, could very well get there around October at the rate we're going. Was trying to not be so pessimistic but it's a real possibility. If the schools are going to reopen, you gotta knock the cases way, way down. Some countries overseas have been able to open schools and not have big problems so far. Imagine trying to open school right now in Florida, Texas, Arizona with so much virus floating around.
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Flu death rate isn't 0.6% 0.1%, 0.2%, 0.4%, 0.6%, etc. all sounds pretty similar to each other but is actually fairly significantly different when you are talking about millions of cases. Regardless of what the death rate is, we have like 130k dead and seemingly headed to 200k by winter.
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I think Wednesdays are usually part of the weekend lag, and could be even more in this case because of the holiday weekend. The weekly average will give us a better idea. I do get the sense that the national decline in deaths is ending and it's a question of how big the rise gets.
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Have not looked at it at all but there's a slight risk from Lake Michigan westward tomorrow.
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Ridge was shunted, so some southward displacement of the heat on this run compared to 00z.
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Looks like another torch run incoming on the 12z Euro... at least so far.
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Indiana has been running less tests per day lately, and the positive percentage has been creeping up. I mentioned that the state was testing all nursing home employees in June, so perhaps that explains the recent drop in number of tests being performed.
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Flirting with 1000 today. Hopefully just a data dump and won't start seeing more days like it in the coming weeks.
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The thing I want to know is what percentage of people have the symptoms for many weeks/months. You hear these stories about people who can't seem to shake it, but it's hard to get a sense of how common that is... like are we talking 5%, 10%, 20%?
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DBQ has actually never recorded a winter that failed to get below zero. Most winters will have at least a dozen nights below zero. Too bad you weren't there for the big cold in Jan 2019. DBQ got to -31 then.
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Do you have the actual number of people hospitalized or just the available beds? Because bed numbers can be increased.
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ORD is running greater than +8 through the first week of the month. The record warmest July was like +7.4. Will be interesting to see where it ends up. I certainly think it will be among the warmest Julys.
