Rockem_sockem_connection

I think this is panning out exactly how models dictated, namely the GFS. Mixing was always going to come right up into Philadelphia, it was so weird that many people and the local news ignored that. Anyways, maybe 3" total one mile from PHL, some sort of sleet precip falling. Some of the crazier numbers of 8-16 were never going to happen here, was kind of weird NWS would say that. Probably still a 4-8 or 5-10 situation which is still significant.

GFS is king. Euro has been garbage this year. As a result I already know most of the precipitation in the Philadelphia region will be rain and there's no chance for all snow. Not even a chance for mostly snow. Do not lose sleep over this storm, it won't be what you want it to be. Don't fall into the trap of other models. I will reply to this comment in one week lol, see ya then.

GFS was the best model on the monster storm that never panned out earlier this winter. Anyone who just chooses to blatantly not listen to the GFS shouldn't be telling anyone what the weather may or may not be. Glenn Schwartz is a joke. Blame everything but yourself, makes sense. These forecasts were never impressive. Generic vague predictions of average snowfall is all they ever were, woop de doo. Way too many people ride runs they like and disregard runs they do not like. It doesn't work that way, and it's why everyone gets burned time and time again. If one kuchera run of some model shows 18" and another standard run of another model shows nothing, you can't just run with the 18" one because you prefer what it shows lol.

Rain storm then southern slider. The big January predictions were false which is yet again why I'll never understand why anyone would make such long range bold claims lol

Every expert told me it would be a non stop blizzard in the second half of the month oh no!

Back from Florida. Pretty easy living down those parts this time of year compared to up here. I do hope to be able to snowbird one day. Wasn't any snow in my yard when I got back, a little across the street but not much. I wouldn't mind a mild January at all, especially if we can get some mild days on the weekend. I might even go out and fish! I'll never forget the brutal two weeks to end/start the year a few years ago when it was like 10 degrees every day with negative wind chills when the sun was down. That was bone chilling cold that I'm not sure even the most diehard winter folks enjoy. Hurts your face!

31/21. Kinda wonder how anyone lives in places like Green Bay when it gets this cold.

God's country. There's no covid on boats and beaches.

Flying out to Florida tomorrow. Sunshine and margaritas on the beach while y'all freeze your buns off in this disappointnent lol.

The Kuchera would show double the regular model and that's the images that were being plastered everywhere simply because they showed more snow. I understand how it's supposed to work but people can't just favor whatever shows the most snow because that's what they want. Wish casting isn't a thing.

There are multiple problems here. First off, certain models always show too much snow like Kuchera and 3K. People should not even look at those. Next, there were always models that suggested this was not a great event for many but people decide to toss those out for no reason. You can't just toss something out because you do not like it lol. Also, we know the NW trend. This being locked in days ago was always bad, it could only trend worse. You do not want to have something locked in 5 days away, it will always change.

Feeling smart might delete later idk.

Kuchera is junk should be banned from being posted

Hello neighbor.

Is there any source for this national park thing or is that just hearsay

Non weenie GFS.

I live like right across the way from Philly, which was in the 18" range days ago when the weenie fest was full blown. As literally always, looks like rain now which works for me. This was an easy one to get right since it literally goes down this way every single time lol

Already starting to fall apart lol. It'll be rain except for the NW by tomorrow morning

It's nice being on the right side of this one for a change at least so I'm pretty happy lol. How many times have you gotten your hopes out 5 days out just to be dissapointed? So it's nice for me knowing I actually won't be dissapointed when this inevitably starts falling apart Sunday night or Monday.

Definitely actively rooting against this and for good reason. Flying out Wednesday to Florida so I don't want this flight messed up. I also have my boat covered up and I've never had snow on that or on my gazebo and am extremely concerned about this much snow on both when I'm not there. Fortunately events that look this perfect five days out do not usually pan out but I have my eyes on this one.

I always hated when summer ended and always wasted my fall, but I kept so busy with projects outside and working on the boat I bought right before labor day. Really don't mind 50-55 degree sunny days now, so hoping for a mild winter and getting some nice days. Going to FL for a week next week to warm up these bones. It's been cold lately!

75 days until real spring

non event in GloCo

I'm far from scientific, but I'm not crazy in saying that this scenario doesn't typically perform well, right? Absolutely nothing going on here. I know for a fact we've been burned plenty of times on this situation and only one time in recent memory can I recall this playing out well.

I don't know why, but models never do well with this set up. Lot of disappointed folks today I guess, and I guess I won't be leaving work early.