MUWX
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Everything posted by MUWX
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The NAM doesn’t have anyone in this area getting ice of significance
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Looks like 33 and rain to me!
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It’s fairly consistent with where it wants to take the low, which may give it some credibility, but it’s normally too cold so I don’t know what to make of it here.
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The GFS isn’t good, but it’s better than 12z imo. With that said, holding out hope that the icon and Canadian are right, probably isn’t the best forecasting technique.
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With temps so marginal, I’m not super concerned about Ice around here yet. Further north and west could be another story. I hope this doesn’t come back to bite me.
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I don’t think all hope is lost, but the trend is certainly concerning. We shall see what happens tonight and tomorrow morning with fully sampled data, but regardless of track we’re going to have to keep an eye on temps.
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Not a great trend over the last couple runs. Warmer and further west. Who is surprised?
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Agreed. There is definitely a lack of cold air that hasn’t really been discussed here.
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Sign me up for that run of the GFS
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I wouldn’t count it as locked in yet. It looks like we may not get fully sampled data until tomorrow (someone correct me if I’m wrong). Still several days out, good to see agreement, but I’m not fully on board yet.
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Canadian about to drop an absolutely nasty ice storm
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Even the GFS isn’t a total disaster
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Yep. Personally I think the chance of severe weather is higher than the chance of measurable snow around here.
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Best snow of the day moved in about 4:30, just enough to turn the grass slightly white. Snowed for about 6 hours and picked up a dusting. Not great, but can’t complain too much. At least now I down have to feel bad for you all down in NWA when I’m rooting for a north shift next time.
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I highly doubt I get any accumulation out of this. Just a few miles too far north for that. Good to see flakes none the less.
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Some of the higher elevations of northern Arkansas could really cash in tomorrow
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Yeah, I don’t think there is much doubt that someone is going to have WSW level snow fall from the sky, the question is how much will accumulate.
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Is this fully sampled data yet, or not?
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I have my doubts lol
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The kc snow hole has absolutely nothing on this area. I haven’t seen a snow of more than 2” since 2013
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I love when snow misses me to the south
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It looks like we still have another 24-36 hours before the system comes ashore. We have several runs to go before it’s fully sampled
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You know how this turns out, right?
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Greene county (Springfield) reported 17 deaths today alone, population is around 300k for reference. I would guess one Mobile morgue may not be enough
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Should I put all my hope in the 0z HRRR?
