MUWX
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Personally hoping we get the typical northern shift
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Man, I want to believe, but I can’t help but think these forecasts are a bit premature. How many time in the last 5-10 years have we had a system like looks great 5-7 days out then totally falls apart as we close in?
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Am I crazy for thinking that a miss to the south is the most likely outcome here?
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For central arkansas
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Yes. We are selfish lol
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Where are you seeing the GFS V16 at?
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GFS came back to reality.
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So the mean is showing a large area of 5-7 at 10:1? Ratios should be a good bit amount higher than that, so sign me up.
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GFS is just stupid cold in northern Missouri. Given how poorly the models handled the cold we are experiencing right now, it makes you wonder if models could actually be under doing the cold next weekend. If the potentially snow verifies and a large portion of the state is under a foot or more of snow, could somewhere in northern Mo challenge the all time record?
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I am a little surprised but SGF mentions the possibility of "impactful accumulations" this weekend in this afternoons AFD.
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Temp still 29, but roads are rapidly clearing up. My driveway is almost completely ice free despite continued rain/heavy mist. Sun angle winning out.
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Depending on the exact location of the snow, we could have very different definitions of the word fun. Lol
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HRRR was a degree too warm, but winds here are out of the SE, so I don’t think the HRRR is going to bust here.
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It’s going to be close temp wise here. I would guess we barely get above freezing for a couple hours
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Back to the event at hand.... very heavy mist right now, and roads have gone down hill significantly in the last hour. Tons of crashes in Springfield.
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Personally, I wouldn’t say anything for a while. The GFS is kind of on its own with that solution.
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I mean, on 6 hour intervals I think the GFS has us both below 0 for something near 60 straight hours. That’s absolutely insane.
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Heavy snow falling into sub zero temps? Where do I sign up?
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Pretty much a non event here so far, roads are completely dry this morning.
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The nam is concerning for tomorrow.
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Without at least a couple inches of snow on the ground, there’s no way the GFS verifies. So that means, the GFS is not going to verify.
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Pretty close to over it appears... not that it ever really started.
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The universe where this never verifies lol
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SGF has a good write up in the AFD this afternoon. Trending in the right direction it seems.
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Pretty substantial change on the 18z NAM.
