leo2000

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

snow might be hard to come by in NS with this storm

Not just this storm but the next few at least. Not looking good. 

Already disgusted with this so-called winter next winter incoming 2019-2020. 

Hopefully some big blizzards come soon. As we are entering the end of the "winter"as the sun angle starts getting stronger. Just a few weeks away. 

Hopefully it goes back to it's original track a few days ago. 

A pretty nice map here 

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

18z para gfs

on Tropical tidbits I ain't getting 12z and 18z only 00z and 6z. 

5 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Para gfs is also further north

What Para gfs? only goes out to 6z lol. 

I would take this in a heartbeat, although very unlikely to happen. 

This outcome would be nice too 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The warmth is on borrowed time...tic, toc...

Not according to this 

Michael Ventrice says

Everytime I look at the Day 15 ECMWF EPS, it just keeps getting worse and worse for Winter lovers in the US. We are entering a period where the cold outlooks for Jaanuary keep getting pushed back in time. A forecaster's nightmare 

Profound sadness here that this nasty ugly cutter took away almost all my snow, trying to ruin any chance I have of a white Christmas.  I want it to leave now. Get out of here!. 

This would be ok if this were to happen. Really need that EPO to turn negative. A very negative NAO is great but need a negative EPO. 

3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

lolz.

I been getting ninja'd a lot lately

Doesn't mean right we can't get some good snow chances before then?.

Just now, dendrite said:

Did he have to go to school in 2ft of snow uphill both ways?

Much more than that. Didn't have school buses back then either had to walk to school. 

3 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Ahh wut? There were lots of rain events in the 90’s. You probably weren’t even alive back then. Go back to watching your storm. Your getting 6-10. Enjoy cause it’s history next week.

Were talking about back further then that. My late father told me that. I have to wonder why we always get rainstorms just before Christmas. I remember 15 years ago we had a major snowstorm on Christmas Eve as well as a major snowstorm on Boxing Day. 

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

lol nice try, pretty sure they have been pretty much all the same since recorded time. People in all realms understand the sine wave, highs and lows. Some emphasize the highs some the lows, some the freezes some the torches, fact is the Earth's climate waxes and wanes like a sine wave. Just how you scale the data is the difference

Climate Change my friend?

Winters are not like they used to be. There was never rain in winter 20 plus years ago. All there was in winter back then was snow. No freezing rain either. 

Seeing signs of some higher heights over Greenland on the 18z GEFS  long range hopefully a starting of a trend. 

2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

None of this is true 

Well something is causing the MJO to be stuck in the warm phases?. Where is the weak El Nino when we need it.  No strong La NIna?

https://snowbrains.com/noaa-la-nina-fading-neutral-conditions-returning/

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

I do think AGW has something to do with the broader forcing. A Nino with a positive SOI in December has never occurred according to Bluewave. 

It's screwing with the models and the average pattern. I think the Nino status quo will eventually win out though it's hard to know for sure. 

I hope the Gfs has a clue about that cutter next week, wouldn't mind seeing a potent system.

I think it's too do with the fact that La Nina never really left. Remember we had a strong La Nina last winter that background state seems to be still there. 

No surprise the models are having a hard time right now because we are at the beginning of a polar vortex weakening. 

1 hour ago, Hazey said:

Sadly this isn't the euro of yore. Not sure why it's struggling.

Lol, I have predicting it would however some mets on here and a few others hold the EURO to too high of a standard. 

34 minutes ago, weathafella said:

And remember-just like the impending relaxation the change back may be too fast on the guidance.

Hmm, the relaxation actually is coming on fast, it don't take long at all for a negative EPO to deliver cold the positive PNA helps too. 

7 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Nice grincher on 12/23 in clown range on GFS.

Looks to change to snow on the backend. My area looks like the same thing happens. I'd take that look. 

58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The cold is pretty useless. Yay for pond ice. 

The cold wasn't useless here lots of snow. 

Looks like the EPS is caving to the GEFS.  Afterall, no one denies the fact that their will be a warm up the duration however has been in question since the get go. It gets better too as the NAO goes sharply negative on December 20th. That would certainly help push the cold air faster out east. 

Hmm what you guys thinks of what these guys opinions on the Mid Atlantic forum lol. They agree with me, Isotherm and others. 

Bob Chill says 

EPS kicking up the -EPO bigly and quicker than the 0z run. Totally different look d13+ in our parts compared to 2+ runs ago. GEFS may win another model war. 

Psuhoffman

EPS seems to have caved again to the gefs timing of the cold. Gets the cold into the east by the 24th. Now we just need a wave on that front!   Love that warmups are brief and cold returns ahead of schedule so far this cold season.