Eskimo Joe

1 hour ago, Stormpc said:

Busy morning here.

No one excited about rain anymore I suppose. Looks like today is the last threat of flooding then next week we get back into a sultry period with hit and miss storms. Hopefully the tropics perk up. 

Doubt we even get 1 major hurricane this year in the whole basin.  Cold waters, shear and prolific SAL.

Appears to be subtle little boundaries all across the area.  As storm move across them, there is a propensity to spin...areas south and east of I-95 have destabilized more, as evident with temps closer to 90 degrees.  This would lead me to believe the tornado risk, if any, is higher across Virginia, Southern Maryland and Delmarva.  

Meso:  https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1218.html

Interesting cell near Westminster.

TOR canceled

Should be in range of the DCA and ADW terminal Dopplers soon.

Quote

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1256 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia...
  Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  Eastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  Northern Spotsylvania County in central Virginia...

* Until 130 PM EDT.
    
* At 1256 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located 10 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving
  northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, 
           flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. 
           Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is 
           likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  northwestern Stafford...southeastern Fauquier...eastern Culpeper
  and northern Spotsylvania Counties, including the following
  locations... Heflin, Storck, Ruby and Roseville.

New TOR coming.

Still legit circulation...last frame it's looking to maybe spin back up a bit.

Legit circulation on the TOR

Guidance looks bone dry through the end of the week...maybe some locations get lucky but this is looking like a bust.

9 hours ago, yoda said:

As long as there is no SLP in the Great Lakes, I think we're good 

Shut yo mouth boyo.

Woke up this morning to a doe wrecking my neighbor's peach tree. Our garden was wrapped with netting to stop their attacks and so far it's working.  We've put down some Espoma Vegetable & Tomato Tone™ (https://www.amazon.com/Tomato-tone-Organic-Fertilizer-YOUR-TOMATOES/dp/B0011UEKKE).  It's really helped replenish the soil over the past couple of years since the previous homeowner was not too keen on working the garden properly.

Transplanted about a dozen Hosta plants and fertilized the pumpkins yesterday.  Really could use some rain in Reisterstown to soak everything in.  Eastern Baltimore has gotten more than the I-795 corridor since Saturday.

9 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I’ve had good success with garlic too, but how do you store it?

Everything you need to know a bout garlic:  

1 hour ago, so_whats_happening said:

Yes Millersville is ever expanding their programs now introducing emergency planning and I believe a few others are in prospects down the road.

I would go with your gut. Meteorology is a tough field to get into but dont let that take you down. Network yourself study hard to understand the content and if it is something you truly love to do you will not regret it. As for when you graduate start looking into internships Junior year make yourself known in many of the businesses (in private sector and government) go to conventions (AMS is great) get as much experience as you in different aspects of meteorology without running yourself crazy, again the material can be challenging at times. I personally was unsure what the field would look like my senior year I often looked around at different job prospects, many of which have been in the broadcasting portion of meteorology, which if that is what your interest is in there are quite a few openings. I myself wanted to do forecasting and more along the research/behind the scenes type of job but in order for me to do that in mainly the government I needed to go for masters which is in the near future just not the right time right now for me. The private sector is great but the openings arent quite as open and sometimes can be rigorous, went for an accuweather position did the whole interview out of 50 or so candidates 6 were chosen to come to the HQ to do an interview and get to know them took tests, did interviews, wrote out discussions and of the 6 two were chosen from different schools all around the country. Unfortunately the downside of first time being there was the unsure what to expect and found out after the process the pay rate which is comparable I feel to many other private sector forecasting companies for starting just ended up not working out in my favor but I didnt let that get me down. I spoke with my advisor and he guided me into the job I currently have which is working for the FAA as a weather observer. Could not thank him enough and even though it is not forecasting it gives me the freedom to do some research myself and better fine tune my forecasting skills in different locals of the country. Forecasting will still be a passion of mine as well as storm chasing but this is a more practical thing for me at this point until I am done with a masters degree to better make myself standout in the crowds of folks that go into the application process. It is no guarantee of course, but I love learning more and more about the field and will continue advancing my knowledge whether at this job or the next.

Hope this helps

Agreed.  I started in meteorology but transferred to Geography and then went through the MS, Emergency Management program at Millersville.  It's lead to a decent career.  Big message is that you have to be comfortable with moving a fair distance for your first job.  You might have to move cross country for a 'meh' position to put your time in.  If you're going to stick with meteorology that's great...seriously the field isn't all doom and gloom like some make it out to be.  You just have to find what keeps your interest going and push through hard.  Take internships, do research and don't forget about working started help desk positions for things like Raytheon (they make AWIPS) or Michael Baker.  My RA in college started in the private sector and it boosted his career quickly once he got into NWS.

2 hours ago, canderson said:

Storm forming off the coast might be interesting in these parts come later this weekend/early next week.

Looks like a classic heavy rain threat for anyone in CTP, PHI or BGM service area.  Probably going to see some spot hit 7"+ of rain over the course of next week.  Even with the recent dry spell that will cause flooding concerns.

We are overloaded with cucumbers and shortly will be with tomatoes.  Our garlic was phenomenal once again with over a 95% success rate and 78 heads of garlic harvested.  We are going to dry the garlic and will have a fresh stock for the winter.  Our Long Island Cheese pumpkins are also doing well.

4 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

I don't disagree with the east based point but I don't think that's been missed at all. We have had several posts pointing out how we are rooting for a modoki event. Those are almost always good. East based weak to moderate ninos can go either way. Some are duds. Some have been good. But west based is by far better. Right now the jury is still out. There are some predictions of a west based event. But we won't know for sure how this evolves until the fall. 

If we get a weak to moderate west based El Nino we'll at least have the ingredients in place.  That's half the battle in these parts.  There's nothing worse than wasting 2/3rds of our prime weeks in December and January with nothing but day 15 threats go poof as they draw closer.

How do you place the soap?  In a pantry hose or something?  

I'm psyched big time about this winter.  We're gonna get two nice Miller A storms in January and a nice December cold wave.

Beets and radish are good fall crops.  Collard greens are good too.

21 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

It depends on what your baseline is.  The GFS is wrong, so don't use that.  Otherwise, the forecast isn't really that special (95,97,95 near DCA).  The mitigating factor in the DC area is that we've been so wet.  That hasn't been the case in New England. 

Plus it's not that warm at 850mb.  We typically need widespread +23 degree air and we just don't have it this summer.  We're stuck in this perpetual cool pattern that we can't shake.

20 hours ago, mappy said:

Pool needs too much work

zucchini and squash have blossom rot

rest are doing great tho

Were you able to get it fixed/filled?

13 hours ago, WeatherLovingDoc said:

Rarely post, but do wonder if high temps might not come to fruition in NE, including Mid Atlantic. Any insight americanwx.com? What are mitigating factors?

IMO, clouds and small scale features like bay breezes, terrain, etc.