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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Wrong day.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    12z EPS has dropped all of the far inland coastal lows that we saw on 06z. That's good.
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Really interested to see what the ENS show in a bit.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    NAVGEM and Canadian are the best case scenarios for just about everyone.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    How far north? Got an image?
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Hedge the under would be a safe bet and would give you room in case the transfer to the coastal is late.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    I'd take the CMC in a heartbeat and call it a winter.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    We aren't getting 10:1 snow with the primary running up into Ohio.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Miller Bust. Just jump and get it over with. This isn't out winter.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Even the northern crew struggles to hit warning criteria snowfall on this run of the GFS. We better hope the GEPS and the Euro look better.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    GFS is nothing to write home about south of I-70. Miller Bust.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Folks, if the primary ends up further north then we get more warm air and a later development on the coastal. The ICON is not a good look.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Primary on the ICON goes into Ohio, not the greatest. We want it to die in Kentucky.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Does the GFS sh*t the bed again (I think so) or do we step to the Euro?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    I'm more worried about a strung out whiff, or late transfer that misses up. That's more likely than a wound up inland solution.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Actually I don't think so. Only a handful of the EPS members are doing that. No GEPS, or other operational model is doing that.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Folks the ENS mean surface temps are likely too high because there are some ridiculously wound up interior coastal lows.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    You are incorrect.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Yes.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Wouldn't be worth your time. the 06 and 18z Euro only go out to HR 144 on the ENS and it wouldn't show a picture of the entire storm.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    What's important is that it's a closed 500mb low to so this thing won't be blasting through like a rocket.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I noticed that. The 500 heights were a bit better across Idaho as the energy transversed the midwest. That's big. It the west coast ridge starts washing out then our goose is cooked. So far I don't see that happening.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    If I had to be critical, I'd like to see the western ridge be further displayed to the west and the primary low close off at 500mb a few hours earlier and go a bit more negative.
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