Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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While I understand that we do not want to have the perfect pattern in November, I'm glad that we do not appear to be staring down the barrel of a wall-to-wall Pacific Puke™ fest. If I recall correctly, @Rainshadow had posted some stats in the past about the implications of mild to torch Novembers vs. average to below average November temperatures. Equally encouraging is to see the CFS and CANSIPS trying for at least climo temps for winter.
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Wow. Is there any plan to fix this?
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How about the week of 12/12?
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Man if we hit climo snow regionwide with a -1 to -2 temp departure, I think that'd be solid.
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I got nothing. Let's go!
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It's time to start fretting over pumpkin pie, Black Friday and first flakes. Let's go!
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Wasn't Ji going on about the winter being dead on Christmas Day during the warm up?
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Several mesonet sites on the central and lower eastern shore have popped above 70 degrees. Meanwhile Bittinger is 49.
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Agreed. Thought I wouldn't kick a 1" - 3" car topper on December 5th out of bed.
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2016-2018 were back to back years of terrible IMBY. But 2017-2018 was the worst of the two. As @psuhoffman said, 2017-2018 had bad dice rolls on game day. So I'd take that pattern again and chance it.
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HRRR is preferred
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2017 was terrible for me, but the other analogs listed here weren't the worst.
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Both Frostburg and Bittinger mesonet sites had a sub-50 degree high today.
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NAM Nest insists on decent surface winds Thursday am commute.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Eskimo Joe replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Looks like we'll finally get a good autumn soaker. Even better, we're inside 60 hrs, so the chance of a last minute fail goes down.
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Just rage engagement farming.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Eskimo Joe replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Welp -
I really like the positioning of the west coast ridge and Alaskan trough as we head into November. That's a decent sign for winter.
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RSTM2 COOP site - had my first sub 60 degree high of the autumn yesterday. Got down to 36 last night, yet somehow our hibiscus on the deck is still pumping out blooms.
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Thank you for the info, IAD seems to be an ice box compared to the other climate sites.
