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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Talking about that event, or March 2013, should be insta IP ban.
  2. Poolesville mesonet site gusted to 26 mph.
  3. That is just a silly, clickbait headline.
  4. Last night's Euro dropped that same high in like it was something out of WWE.
  5. We'll have plenty of those this winter.
  6. Both the 12z Euro and GFS op show some decent jet dynamics inland of the landfall for 94L across the Carolinas. Would support a legit flooding threat down there.
  7. Agreed. A Widespread 4" - 9" of rain across North Carolina would be significant.
  8. 12z Euro keeps the bulk of precip south of I-66. Looks like a Hurricane Matthew redux for the Carolinas?
  9. Pouring concrete early next week in Howard County. Hope it doesn't rain too much.
  10. PRE is Predecessor Rainfall Event. Essentially a rain event that is ahead of the main event. Sandy in 2012 had that on the Eastern Shore. The PRE for Helene is what did the Appalachian Mts. dirty. Source: https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2020/10/what-is-a-predecessor-rain-event-pre/
  11. FYSA, starting tonight several east coast WFOs will being launching 06z and 18z soundings until further notice.
  12. FYSA, starting tonight several east coast WFOs will being launching 06z and 18z soundings until further notice.
  13. Uh, is that the HWRF trying to put 94L to near Cat 3 strength by HR 120?
  14. It's the anniversary of Helene, people in the southeast are justifiably on edge.
  15. Spread out over several days. Nothing too heavy. Perfect.
  16. The Euro / ICON would be a nice drought stopper. Not too much rain to flood anything out, but enough to put us back in the right direction.
  17. Prepping us for the winter rug pulls
  18. The HRRR has been insistent on convection initiating around the eastern pan handle region of WV close to 4-5pm. That seems to be the window for things to kick off.
  19. I'm going to be real honest, we're trying to pour concrete for more mesonet sites and we just need some windows of dry weather.
  20. Euro really has the mix line hugging I-95 though
  21. Need Sept 28th - 30th dry. Otherwise it can rain all it wants.
  22. That would be a normal winter anymore.
  23. Looks like a low level wedge of fog south and east of I-95.
  24. Watch us have a week of clouds with only a few winners in the rainfall department. This set up seems rather hit or miss. Would really like one day that's a regionwide soaker.
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