Sciascia
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Everything posted by Sciascia
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RAP as well.
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Newest HRRR has another 5.5 - 6 inches or so for the Rockford/Boone County area thru 3am Saturday. ORD 2 inches.
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Dry slot filling in. The longest drought in the history of…today’s storm is over. Let us continue jumping around like a bunch of delirious 10-year-olds. (That’s a Pat Hughes World Series winning radio call reference for those not in the know.)
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Officially in dry slot. A shame seeing as NWS Chicago’s belief was that this was a prime time for 1in/hr in the Rockford area until 11am or so. Hope it fills in in relatively short order.
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I’ve somehow forgotten: Was that big dry spot forecast on models?
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I have the power to un-crunch & separate.
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P&C total snow forecast is 2-4” overnight, 4-8” tomorrow, and 3-5” tomorrow night. If all of that verifies + the arctic air that follows, I’m pretty sure my husky will never come inside again.
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EURO is telling the dreamers to dream.
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First day?
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The changes these storms make late in the modeling game is unfortunate. Hopefully the NW cheddar curtain areas have a chance for double digits. Don’t think I’ve had that since I moved out here from Chicago in early 2020.
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You forgot option #3: Non Hi-res NAM:
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4:20am LOT graphics:
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06z EURO QPF map. In Januarys gone by, 2+ inches of precip at ORD in early January would be setting records. Sadly not the case anymore. Granted, it would still be like 16-17 inches of snow if it verifies. But wouldn’t break top 3 snowstorms.
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Now I know. And knowing is half the battle.
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Captain Obvious-level statement: Part of the “bad luck” with the ratios is the timing of it being yet another daylight storm. If this would strike overnight, we could probably actually use 10:1 maps.
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This one’s hitting the shore tomorrow?
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After a couple solid hours, light snow currently in Poplar Grove.
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Flakes aren’t large (yet), but definitely the heaviest of the event so far.
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It’s been snowing, but nothing too major. Still seeing some patches of sidewalk. Hoping that 1-5pm period is the high point that it’s advertised to be.
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Most recent LOT thinking:
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Deck is nice & covered. Was selfishly looking for a touch more before the main event arrives, but beggars can’t be choosers.
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That dry zone looks fairly large. Hopefully it fills in as it continues to move.
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So that’s why my P&C went from 5-9 to 2-4 for daytime tomorrow with the removal of the heavy snow terminology.
