StormchaserChuck!

I think we'll do a combination of 99-00 and 00-01.

El Nino is really nothing to sneeze at

I guess there is a forum/message block. whatever, it's not sophisticated stuff. 

really no point saying anything because the world is so big, and anything negative can only be taken away from. Yet there are like 3 posters on these forums. 

I don't know why I get attacked when PSUhoffman posts? Do you know? It seems innocent. 

(When people bypass my points, I seem to get hit. always been this way , for whatever reason) ???

I MEAN I GET HIT

Nothing remotely close to this since the mid-1970s

Many minus years in 2nd half of satelite period (1948-2020)

nothing remotely close since the mid-1970s. we are like 0.60 #2

Actually, some really nice snow/below average coming to Russia and eastern Europe the next few weeks. On that side of the globe, it's starting ahead of time. 

Again, I'm really watching this as a cold Stratosphere/La Nina

Let's trade for a big WR?

1 carry for 4yds by Jackson in the 1st half? They need to really do something else.. another year of not playing to get hurt when they are 11/32 Super Bowl odds

I bet Pool days were down for people 90% this Summer. 

It felt below average to cool. Not many 90+, 95+ degree days. I bet the Winter will come in above average but it could be a colder Winter. Snow is always interesting because it stands out as a variable. 

Probably some subsurface cooling coming in 10-14 days, making it a Moderate-La Nina again. 

170E subsurface at -200M has been hanging around +2c for 3 years now.. First time in history I think (Seems to connect with the N-C Pacific -PDO warm pool)

LA could probably see a Cat 3 hurricane in the right conditions.

Yeah, snow is hitting early in eastern Russia and eastern Europe too. I wonder if we'll do a 2018-like early cool down before warming early Winter. 

1 hour ago, Terpeast said:

Central pac ssts cooling just south of the aleutians, slight warming trend off the west coast. Still a ways off from a +pdo (sig warming further west), but if trend holds, the pac may not be so hostile this winter. 
 

from https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

Long term PDO phases flush at like 60-80% vs Neutral. We are coming off of 7-8 years of strong -pdo. for example. 89-95 before 95-96 was the most +ENSO time on record, it followed by big +PNA in a weak La Nina (though ENSO subsurface neutral) 95-96 Winter (opposite)

"K" is headed for LA, What does it mean?

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, but the result was that the compression between the -NAO and record RNA sheared all of the storms to shit...that's why we couldn't even a SWFE up here last December.

It was an impacting-NAO, so this Dec will probably be +NAO

It gets really hard to get snow in this condition

19 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

Opposite of last winter would be a neg NAO December....we had the one good shot of neg NAO in Dec, but the month averaged slightly positive. 

We actually kept the -PNA at bay (warmth here) with -NAO.. notice the low pressure over the Azores.

+100dm

This year could be opposite. 

I like how this snowcover is going to land over Russia, with below normal temperatures for the next 15 days.