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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. I know I'm probably going to be alone on this one, but I think they're handling tomorrow well. They were "aggressive" in forecasting today's ice event that ended up producing a 5 minute period of sleet and zero ice accretion down this way. Now they're being a bit more conservative for tomorrow and people are critical about that. I believe, admittedly without numbers to back this up, that playing things conservatively will work out better more often than being bullish. At least it seems that way to me.
  2. CTP was bullish on their maps more than once last year and really got burned. The 1/20 storm comes to mind. They were calling for 8' - 10" in Harrisburg the morning of the event, I think they ended up with 3" or less.
  3. I'm sorry I wasn't clear...I'm not talking about CTP's maps, I'm talking about snow maps from models. I think @daxx actually kept track of how much snow he was to get based on one of the weather models last year (might have been the Euro) and it was over 300".
  4. I agree with you...I guess I take pretty much any snow map with a grain of salt and nothing more than that. @daxx and I have had a few "discussions" on snow maps.
  5. I think that most of us know not to take ANY map seriously whatsoever, especially in a situation like this. Pick your favorite dart, let 'er rip and see what happens...
  6. That is what is exciting about tomorrow. I have zero expectations (and no one else in our immediate area should) so with that, it will be fun to see if we have a few passing rain/snow showers, a few inches of snow, or something in between.
  7. Was just going to post the same thing. My temp is 32.4 now under the heavier rates.
  8. Might not be a lot of accumulation but it could be a fun little dynamic event for a while.
  9. Thank you very much! What you told me is what I told her. Appreciate your thoughts...
  10. Nice batch of precip moving up into Adams/Franklin...my wife is heading over to 81 and taking it all the way down to 77. Think any of that precip is freezing on contact?
  11. 36 here at 6:45am. Hoping for a non-event so my wife can get out on the roads for North Carolina.
  12. Another factor is rates...seems like the rain might be moderately heavy for a while Sunday. If that's the case at 32 degrees freezing rain won't be an issue on roadways.
  13. I don't think definitive statements can be made in this situation. I can give you a boatload of storms where Harrisburg N&W was locked in ice while I'm 36 and rain. Could it be a mess here? Absolutely. But I wouldn't be shocked if it's mostly wet after sunrise Sunday here.
  14. Agree especially about Monday and the coastal development. I have zero expectations, just was noting that the European model verbatim would be awfully close to something. Problem is...we do close misses really well.
  15. Personally, I thought the winds here around sunrise were worse than during times we're under High Wind Warnings. My house was shaking repeatedly. Happy Thanksgiving all!
  16. I've heard you talk about the 'Horns on here but I've never once heard a mention of Stepen F. Austin. They were like 28 point dogs last night!
  17. I'm actually rooting against this one. Wife and kids are traveling Sunday to the mountains of North Carolina...last year, they were racing a storm that dropped between 18" and 30" across the High Country, and now it's looking like they might have some travel concerns this year as well. I'm rooting for the 12/5 storm.
  18. For a whole lot of us, that map as depicted would be a big-time kick in the groin...
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