Itstrainingtime

That Kuch map is MUCH more aggressive than the 10-1 map. Not complaining.

I jumped you!

Good to know. I came to post that the ICON moved south yet again. Targets DC south over to Delmarva with the heaviest axis of snowfall.

MU worried about suppression: MU Weather Center 1/2 The ingredients are on the table for a #snowstorm Sun night into Mon, but details remain nebulous. An upper-level low over Nova Scotia & "Greenland block" will prevent the system from cutting to our west, & a strong surface high over the Upper Midwest will provide cold air.. 2/2 However, the track and intensity of the system are still quite uncertain, and both will play a large role in how much snow falls across northern MD and the LSV. A suppressed system remains my biggest concern, but a plowable snowfall (2"+) is still a "good bet."

While we anxiously await the next NAM panels, check out Ellinwood's map he just posted in the MA thread. He's a very good, conservative met and his snow map predictions are usually accurate.

Looks like you should be seeing flakes flying pretty soon: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

Both the Ukie and Euro are uhh...south.

I think 3-6" is quite reasonable. I wouldn't hedge any higher until there's evidence of such later Saturday.

So no 15" amounts east of the mountains? LOL Joe B. He once was very, very good. Many, many years ago.

That's a quick 7 of the 21 I'm calling for.

24-23 Georgia.

One of the board's very best (CoastalWx) shared in the MA thread in a few minutes ago that he favors the jackpot to be along the M/D line...

My Kirby being the difference idea isn't looking so smart right now.

"Direct Weather" - You Tube account. All video titles are hyperbole. Just look at 5-6 of the latest video uploads.

Well over a quarter mil in subscribers - laughing straight to the bank.

Facts.

I'm skeptical that anyone east of the mountains sees 15" but what do I know.

I'm hugging it until we find a model that gives us more.

Well...it defined how the year went as far as temperatures. The historical aspect of being the second warmest ever was worth sharing regardless of one's view. Sure thing! There's been a lot of ongoing "dialogue" regarding CC and the validity of said subject. It has become a polarizing topic. I felt like by simply posting the actual numerical data, each reader can discern as much or little from it as they want.

MU also going slightly higher than CTP regarding snow chances: (3 means average confidence in forecast) CTP has me at 60%/50% for same time periods. Sunday night Mostly Cloudy Snow Developing 70% 24 3 Monday Cloudy Periods of Snow 70% 30 3

At the end of the year we ended up fairly close - 42.07" in my bucket.

No commentary on this one from me: MU Weather Center 2024 was the 2nd-warmest year on record at@millersvilleu behind only 1998. The annual temp departure was a remarkable +3.65°F. This also means that 4 of the top 5 warmest years on record have occurred in the last 5 years.

I actually thought about that at the end of the game.

Can't be right. I ended up just .0003" BN for the year.

Final 2024 Climatology numbers from Lancaster (Millersville): MU Weather Center #December2024 ended with 3.12” of liquid equivalent precip at@millersvilleu, bringing the annual total to 36.50” (about 5” below normal). Due in large part to an unusually mild ending, temps were nearly 2 degrees above average, in aggregate. (Temp departure was for December, 2024 as a whole was nearly 5" below normal for QPF)