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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
In fairness, I likely came off too strong. But it does happen with every winter storm. And the vitriol is all about watches/warnings/advisories. Some seem to live or die with what is or isn't issued. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, this is a good callout. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ehh...there was at least one other... -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm curious as well, honestly. On one panel of the GFS the low is positioned where I would often taint with mix, and that usually implies that the QPF shield would extend well back into true Central PA. At least. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CMC with a dramatic shift in a positive way. Has a storm on the coast close enough at this point. GFS has you and me dancing in knee-deep snow. Waist deep to our NE. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes indeed. Like so many things in life, we live in what I like to call "The Information Age". This is really a double-edged sword kind of thing...how many times have we ourselves, a loved one, our beloved pet, etc. started to show signs of something that is concerning to us? All the time. And today, we can go online and read just about anything you want to read on said subject, both good, bad and in between. One thing at our disposal is weather models. If we have access, let's read/use them...it only makes sense. And, when tied to our passion they make a great conversation piece. And that in itself is a great thing. Sharing thoughts/opinions with others sharing the same passion connects us in ways that weren't possible years ago. Okay, I'm rambling... My issue is too many people take any information at face value. And there's the issue. On here, we love to criticize (fairly) the internet hypsters who go on Facebook, You Tube and other places and share a bizarre snow map (like the one that showed 50" over New Jersey some time ago) and people eat that shit up like a lemon meringue pie. Why? It's there for them to see. So, it has to be true. And the person who shared it, who almost certainly knows what he/she shared is a crock of loaded doodoo is laughing their way to the bank. The age of information. What a convoluted world we live in... -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU weighs in on later: Northern MD, southeastern PA and the LSV remain "trapped between the bands," and light snow will be the theme through the rest of the day. A brief burst of heavier snow is possible with the upper low between 5-9 PM, especially south of Route 30, before snow ends by midnight. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm not fully following this but I know for certain that any good met does not rely solely on models. I follow a good met from Millersville U. that will explain why the models are wrong in certain situations. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Models are nothing more than tools that comprise what a good met has at his/her disposal. There were good forecasters in your area that were calling for 1-3". Seems like not such a bad call right now. Models are prone to inaccuracy. The ones who were really wrong? How about the people that slammed CTP for not issuing a Winter Storm Warning for certain areas that only have about 2" on average with not a whole lot more to look forward to? It's not over yet (we'll see what happens later on) but it seems highly unlikely that York and Lanco are getting 5" from this. Seems to me that CTP had our area right. Again. And I'm sure for the next storm, they'll be taken to the woodshed prior to the storm even happening again. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My Uncle in Lewes, DE reported to me that he had 9" when he measured at 9:30am. He had 2" in the previous hour. They live less than a mile from Cape Henlopen State Park. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
@dcfox1 - what do you have up on top of the hill? -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Peter Mullinax Getting light snow in parts of northern MD as we are caught between 850mb FGEN in central MD & 700mb FGEN in central PA. That 700mb in particular sports a deep DGZ & increasingly saturated RH area. It's making for an area of subsidence along the Mason-Dixon & southern PA for now. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Matt (Zwyts) just measured 5.25" in DC with moderate to heavy snow falling. It appears that DC south and east will do well - the area up near Rt. 70 which was forecast to jack seems to be underperforming. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Watching like a hawk, and not to sound like that guy...everything of note is both north and south of me. Still nothing but very, very light snow. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Tons of 6-9" reports from the district and surrounding areas. And the returns moving into that area right now are drool-worthy. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This weekend has crazy upside potential but is admittedly a low-chance proposition. It will require a lot of moving pieces to sync perfectly to pull it off. That's never a formula to count on. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oof. It's hard to call it light snow here right now. More like flurries. Edit: Very time sensitive but you can see the hole over me currently: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh my, I also move snow from place to place to keep full coverage as long as possible. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
22.5 this morning with -SN falling. Just measured 1" on the nose. Beautiful scene. Probably won't be big totals but enjoying what's falling. If I had one wish, let's cover my grass blades today. I did not do my traditional snow mow as the last few years it seemed like it was a curse. Plus, I didn't want to further embarrass my weather friends by padding my total. My grass is about 2" in height. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sterling has 14" lollipops south of Lancaster in northern Hartford and Cecil counties. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep. Said the same a few hours ago. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What was your call for your area? I'm going with 8.5" for you. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MillvilleWx call of 5-9" is looking pretty good for you... -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hershey ruins (haha) wallets and snowstorms. -
Central PA Winter 2024/2025
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I saw this on Facebook: *Attention Palmyra School District Parents* After consultation with the National Weather Service, the decision was made to delay classes by 2 hours on Monday morning. NWS has informed us that as the snow moves east out of Hershey it will diminish to snow showers as it reaches our borough. We will reassess the situation in the morning. In the meantime, we encourage residents who are pissed off to move to an area that gets more than just snow showers. Thank you for your understanding and support.
