Itstrainingtime

It's also too far east at this point I believe.

Hour 84 it's starting to deepen rapidly with snow in the NE part of PA but everything has moved out back our way.

Hour 78 off the VA coast with light rain east of the Susky with some light snow in the Poconos. (paweather's map above)

Euro really retrogades today's system and it's not that far off the coast on Sunday - wonder if that has any implications on this system?

Bingo!

At hour 72 it's sitting over the Cape Hatteras lighthouse but it's NOT strengthening. Just some light precip in our area.

Hour 60 it's still moving SE and it's weakening.

During the 90 or so days of met winter, my heat was on a total of 24 nights, AC ran 11 nights, the remainder of the winter I didn't have to run anything. Mammoth is hoping to stay open all year - they currently have a 219 - 263" base (which is growing as we speak) but more importantly, there is over 70" of water in the snowpack. It's not going anywhere anytime soon.

Just now getting the first precip of the day here at work - light rain and 40.

I should have mentioned the caveat to my total - my wife assumed measurements this year as everything fell while I as at work. So it's an official unofficial total. LOL So...Blizz will say that it hasn't been THAT bad?

Good thing we live in the era of the GPS - some out of towners are causing issues with fender benders and such - virtually every business in town is not visible from the road...simply can't see anything other than ginormous walls of snow. At least if you know a specific destination you can plug it in which helps in those cases, but someone perusing for a meal or other venue on a whim is pretty much driving blindly.

Shout out to Roundtop - how they kept going until now is truly remarkable. Whitetail closed for the season in February...

2.1" for me - of which, I've seen 0" while at home. The only times it snowed this entire season, I was at work. I have never in 57 years gone an entire season without seeing SOME snow on the ground at some point at my casa.

GFS is...less than inspiring for the early week threat. Really strung out piece of garbage that strengthens enough to give eastern NE some love. But it's weaker than the Euro, and most importantly...much weaker where it could help us.

Looks more like a Miller Lite.

MU > CTP?

Mammoth picked up 14" of snow overnight - expecting 4-7 feet additional snowfall into tomorow night, than another 2-5 feet of snow Monday through Wednesday AM.

I'm allowing myself one single sports post - Flyers just fired their GM. YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Nothing down here in the rolling hills of southern Manor Township.

Uh...yes it does...

As we try and grapple with the early week storm, it's going to be very difficult to pin down exact details. Even if I was in northern NJ or SE NY I'd still be leery of this thing doing a reversal and leaving them grasping for snow. Someone's going to get knocked out pretty good I think.

@Mount Joy Snowman - I think (gulp) part of the problem (and there's more than one issue) is that looking at the progression, the low itself doesn't "bomb out" until it gets to our latitude or even north of here. Sometimes low pressure will hit the east coast and immediately undergo "bombogeniisis" but in this case, the storm very gradually strengthens before it's too late for us. If it were to bomb out off the NC coast I'd believe it would be dynamic enough to yank those air temps down quickly.

I'll take the moisture - might not be in the form that we want, but we still need it going forward.

Update from MU for Monday...and not a good update: My thoughts on this system remain the same as on Tuesday with one exception. Instead of arriving late Sunday night, precipitation may now arrive as early as Sunday afternoon or evening. Given the high March sun angle and precipitation onset time around or shortly after peak heating hours, this is just more bad news for snow-lovers. To make a long story short, I'm now quite bearish on the prospects of accumulating snow Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, but it's still too early to completely rule out the possibility.