Itstrainingtime

Yep...another 50-100 miles south and watch out. There's equal reason to think it could continue south or perhaps correct north.

From what I see so far I'm liking this Euro run...

@Mount Joy Snowman - Mammoth is under a State of Emergency - they have no where to go with the snow and perhaps the biggest storm of the winter inbound in 72 hours. Current snow depth is 224" - also, they can't get the ski lifts going as the snow depth is now over the chairs near the loading stations. Several more roof collapses reported around town this morning. And the next storm will be warmer with much wetter/heavier snowfall which will further exasperate the situation. The town is 8000' in elevation - it's not like they're not used to dealing with a lot of snow. But this is unprecedented territory. There's a sign posted coming into town "Pray For Us...We Can't Take Any More Snow".

Honestly, what model can be trusted right now? Add in a changing pattern and it's March and surprises are sure to happen.

Sun-splashed skies and 51. Warm in the sun sheltered from the breeze, downright cool factoring in winds and if in shade.

Euro/Ukie tandem was unstoppable. Both have come back to the pack.

It wasn't that many years ago that you could take the Ukie to the bank...

Power has been out in Mammoth Lakes since 2:30am yesterday morning from the latest blizzard - sounds like the town picked up another 30-40" from the "scattered snow showers" that were forecast. Looking likely that they pick up another 4 to 7 feet this coming weekend. It's not even fun for them anymore - there's no where to go with it, roofs are collapsing, supplies are exhausted, etc. They're crying uncle but the snow machine won't shut off. Assuming we can make it (starting to wonder) I'm going to see more snow in 10 weeks than I'd ever dream about seeing in my lifetime.

I endorse this post in full. And you make a great point - admittedly, I've been forward focused for the LSV. Best wishes/congratulations to many of our N & NE friends who will get a nice snowfall in a matter of hours.

Hey, I could very well be wrong and every one of you can tell me I was foolish for getting excited. I willingly put myself out there and made a bold prediction. I'll live with the consequences either way.

Meh - we've had ADVERTISED good patterns - I haven't seen anything in a couple of years to get excited about. It doesn't always snow in actual good patterns, either.

I resonate with that. I'm riding this baby through - still insist this is the best chance locally for something plowable since 2021. I haven't had my shovel outside in 26 months. It's going to snow in the east and probably a lot in quite a few locations...

Be thrilled to get something from one of them - we could be too warm for wave #1 and wave #2 could very well be suppressed/off the coast if there's not enough spacing for it move up. Pattern still looks great to me - I mean, we're going to be seeing multiple chances over the next 2 weeks but there's a path to heartache. Potential can't be shoveled and we go on the clock soon...and it'll be a running clock with no timeouts.

"The wave behind the wave". Pattern aligns better with this - colder air is more established than wave #1 so we just need the precip to attack it.

Still time to hop onboard the ITT winter storm window, which opens on Friday and runs through March 20th. Looks like multiple chances to score beginning over the weekend with chances increasing early to mid next week.

Frosty 30 here in Maytown.

59 here as well - another overachiever today with the temps.

EPS looks really good for next weekend - actually about the best it's looked yet...

Where is that located? Love that area and might want to check it out. Up to 56 here. Breezy, but maybe not breezier than yesterday's breeze. LOL

After a morning low of 34, it has skyrocketed to 52 at 11am.

Given my dynamic pattern, I do believe this is a plausible outcome...however, there is a VERY high bust/boom potential with this for all of the obvious reasons. At least this scenario as depicted makes meteorological sense and isn't some crazy model solution that has no chance of verifying. It's going to be a week full of many solutions and wild emotional swings.

Peak wind gust today in Lancaster (MU) was 28 mph.

It's coming...by the 20th I will have shoveled for the first time since 2021.

It is windy...but very underwhelming here. MU currently has sustained winds of 5 mph. Nothing remotely close to Wind Advisory speeds here.

@Blizzard of 93 - great analysis overnight by you in the MA thread for the ITT time period!