Itstrainingtime

Must be nice. What little snow I got last weekend was long gone before it even got cold.

If that dude actually punted we might as well quit on snow until about 2025. That guy has a little bit of JB in his genes...

Well, I guess it's something different from calling the tree removal service.

Observation - it's never a good thing when you log in on a January morning and see that it's been 10 hours since the last post.

Maybe we'll watch on the sidelines going forward as a couple of southern sliders bury the Carolinas. Why not?...those good folk have waited years for snow. It's their turn!

Agreed, and that is why I said if you could take the GFS exactly as depicted...which of course we fully understand will NOT happen that way.

With the 12z GFS track you would be plastered in paste. Maybe a bit tenuous for me, but no way that's mostly a rain storm for you. Right?

954mb...mercy.

I honestly don't know what to think about the next 6-8 weeks. I'm equally expecting 2" as I am 30". All we can ask for right now are chances...

Yep, I was born in '65 and have Polaroids of me as a small kid (late 60s) standing outside with huge banks of snow on both sides of our driveway. Dad told me often as I got older that snow rarely melted until March.

Thanks again. I knew it was godawful. I'm pretty sure I had even less than that.

I'll pass this along to him. He's a freaking weather genius. Dude could easily carry a red tag.

Thanks! How much did MDT record in 97-98? On CTP's site I only see records that go back to 1998-99.

1997 I believe was the pinnacle of winter weather futility. As I recall my largest snow that winter was 1.2"...

At least the storm depicted on the 12z GFS valid 2/1 is a beast. To Bubbler's point, there's still no cold air to be found, but unlike this weekend's fiasco it's taking a good track (as depicted on THIS model run) and a 976 low pressure MIGHT deliver enough dynamics for some fun. That's a crap ton of if's though.

Did you see the Walnut Street bridge "event" happen live? I remember watching ABC27. Rick Wagner and Alicia Richards had that amateur video on their newscast. I still get chills watching that thing slam into the Market Street bridge.

Sensei! I love it! As a former continuous improvement (Lean methodology) leader I never expected to read that term used on here.

This! @pasnownut you're not being a deb, you're using logic and being realistic. And frankly I'm glad to read it. You might not "like" posting the way you are right now, but you're posting truth. It's just as foolish to post positive thoughts when the pattern doesn't support it as it is to be negative when the pattern does support it. People that are negative are made to feel like crap at times when the fact is...if the pattern sucks they're going to be (and have been) right. Bubbler...you could not have said it better.

It's good to be realistic though.

Our hope lies on the tail end...sort of like what happened on 12/25/2002. I think you brought that up earlier...:)

Yes, it was. Glad you mentioned that. Probably very similar in scope, coverage and time. Thanks!

Miller B's are like seeing the hottest chick walking through the mall. You (okay, at least I) know that you have very little chance but man if you end up scoring it's a pretty sweet experience.

That's exactly what I see. As I said on Sunday there was very little that was enticing about this setup...admittedly I've already moved on from this weekend. While I don't think it's impossible to win it seems so unlikely that I can't allow myself to get attached (invested) enough on this one.

That storm was the focal point on news outlets for the entire week before the storm. Never seen before or since.

Biggest difference between 93 and 96 is that in March 93 the entire east coast was on alert for a full week in advance. I can't honestly recall any storm before or after that seemed like such a sure thing. The only details to work out locally was how far west the mix line would get and how strong the winds would actually be. 96 was a Virginia special until the final 48 hours. The storm arrived early Sunday morning, and it wasn't until later in the day Friday and especially Saturday that the models converged on a solution that would bring a high impact to most of the eastern 2/3 of PA. It seemed like with every new package the NWS kept raising our expected snowfall on Saturday. Friday night they were calling for 4-8" here and by Sunday morning it was 24-30". I ended up with 18" in 93 and 32" in 96.