HillsdaleMIWeather

Rotation starting in the line in Calhoun and St Joseph County MI

Lots of run to run variability with this one, small shifts will be the difference between rain, ice and snow for peeps in Northern Illinois and Southern MI

Line looks to be slowly strengthening as it crosses Lake Michigan

Supercell is making another go at it just south of @sbnwx85before the line overruns it in a little over an hour or so

Yeah I could see a TOR-E being needed for Knox

New circulation might nail North Judson

Nasty cc drop over lake village

Kinda interesting how areas further east in IN/MI/OH might have a higher tornado chance than expected later because of where the front is

Not much forming yet on the west end back in Iowa yet it seems

70/60 probs for TORs

Would expect the watch any minute now

SUMMARY...AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO-DRIVEN MODERATE RISK WILL BE ISSUED WITH THE MIDDAY DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. DISCUSSION...PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING 1630Z DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

Union City got raised to 160, sounds like they're debating increasing it more in the future as one of the houses had good anchor bolts

Round two for basically the whole area Tuesday