PhineasC

Whole lot of nothing on the models through mid-month at least. No bread or butter to be found anywhere.

Cannon was nice today. A really impressive amount of terrain open given all the factors discussed in this thread. I can't comment on how the crowds have been this season as we almost exclusively ski midweek. We had parts of the mountain mostly to ourselves today.

This is really in-depth info, and I appreciate you posting it. I am not trying to call into question the personal work ethic of the snow-makers and groomers, though. LOL I was just talking about the accountants, lawyers, and, in some cases, the shareholders who make decisions at a high level about the investment of dollars. I don't run a ski resort, so I am just making guesses, but from a business perspective it makes perfect sense to me that a smallish place like Wildcat would not want to invest a lot of time and money into such an uncertain season. Rather, they will wait to see what Mother Nature and the governors do. Just my take on it. I'm sure weather has played a role.

From a business perspective, not expending a ton of money in an uncertain season (for numerous reasons, not just the weather), makes perfect sense. I know you are coming at this as an employee of a ski place and will defend their efforts. That's fine. But someone above in the food chain there had to make a call about how much effort and money to dump into this ski season, and it doesn't seem at all outlandish that they decided to play it safe and limited. It seems pretty sensible, actually.

And no rainy super cutters on the horizon, thank goodness.

A lot of places don't seem to be trying particularly hard to get more terrain open. I assume they are playing it safe considering they could be shut down or severely restricted at a moment's notice, rendering the investment in snowmaking and staffing moot. It also doesn't help that the weather has sucked, of course.

Little fluff dusting here. It was more than enough to fully cover the cleared driveway.

Basically NH as primary at this point. but I have things I need to do in MD from time to time.

I’ll be back in MD from the 9th to the 17th. Pencil that period in for something good.

I can assure you they are just as bad. Every single weenie here way overestimates their climo and then melts down when reality sets in. Or, they play the reverse psychology negative weenie routine which is silly and annoying in its own way.

Looks like a very quiet weather week. At least I have snow cover again.

LOL what a thread.

Is the worm gonna turn? Do I need to leave for a while? LOL

Been getting bursts of mod to heavy all afternoon. Really adding a nice fluff to the snow and some weenie stat padding. Radar is totally clear.

Yeah, it's definitely the lack of a decent isohypsotic gradient... good lord I hate when that happens!

Randolph should be around 48" after this storm (we will see exactly how much the CoCoRaHS guy measures). The normal (in the 11 year record) through this time is about 55", but there are some anomalous numbers in the record (like November 2018) that skew the mean with the small data set. Either way, not too far off average so far. The early week deal could get me to average, but it will need to overperform in the upslope department. Seems like the sort of setup where it snows light to moderate basically all week and adds up to 6"?

If Grinch hadn't happened, I would have 15-17" OTG now and would have had continuous coverage since early December. I think that damned storm skewed a lot of perceptions.

Measured between 4 and 5 out there.

Straight from a warning to another watch maybe?

NAM looks better than 12z here. Basically nowcast time at this point.

Missing out on a storm like this down there means your whole winter might be over. The vibe in the MA forum right now is utter hopelessness. I think the bread and butter zone gang sometimes gets a little too high up into the clouds and forgets. LOL

OK, so just some model noise with banding/forcing instead of a fundamental geographic flaw. LOL No worries in that case.

Should I expect some downsloping/precip holes here with the precip coming up from the SW? This is my first SWFE here I think (in the winter at least). Models have a kinda spotty look near here now (more over Whitefield but close enough to have me wondering). Maybe it's just noise.

Euro did it too. Warmer and some dry air punches through here. Still a fine little event but more like 5 instead of 8. We'll see what happens.

The NAM twins have a spot of dry air and mixing that passes over me on the 12z runs. Not sure if that is real or just a burp. I assume it is trying to depict some downsloping or something?