dwagner88

HTX radar looks very healthy. Plenty of streamers even down here. Nothing falling at the moment, but I can’t complain about the look. Definitely not a typical NW flow look. 

Knoxville TDOT cameras look arctic. Especially east of town. 

Sun is out here. The door is closing from the west. 

Love seeing these pictures. Keep them coming!

3 hours ago, Wild Weather Monger said:

Does anyone have the EMCF and GFS gust products handy?  Zeta looks to be likely to cause more inland tree damage deep into the SE states than any storm this season given it's fast forward motion once inland.

These products are typically very overdone. That being said, the ECMFW and GFS both depict a significant inland wind event across central Alabama and Northern Georgia from Atlanta northwards. Essentially along and just north of the I-85 corridor. If you want to see fall leaves in the mountains, go today.

On 9/12/2020 at 6:40 PM, Carvers Gap said:

We have been fooled once already this season, but the EPS is showing what I consider to be a significant pattern shift over NA with a big ridge holding out West with a low over the Aleutians.  Not wasting much time going into the details.  Pattern change is now within seven days though.  Maybe those CPC maps are on the money.  If so, we have MUCH cooler temps on the way and soon.

  Not good news for firefighters out west. 

6 hours ago, PowellVolz said:

I was thinking you are in SE Tennessee?


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Yep. Southeastern Hamilton county. Just been a run of bad luck here. Most of the surrounding area has had more rain, but I can’t seem to get lucky with scattered afternoon storms this year. 

23 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

MRX is saying 2-4” Friday through Saturday. This has already been one of the wettest August I can remember in a long time, outside of a tropical system. This should help limit fires come this fall.


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Not here unfortunately. I’m well below normal for 2 months running now. 

The GFS has suddenly introduced heavy rain (2-3”) for tomorrow evening. Likely moisture from Marco interacting with the stalled frontal boundary. So far it is on its own in showing this. Interesting that it has shown up so late in the game. 

Dry here also. This is looking likely to be 2 months on the trot below normal. I think it’s been a couple of years since that has happened. July is normally the wettest month of the year here. I finished with >50% normal. 

With today’s storms I have crossed 6” of rain this week. Totals like that seem to be isolated though. I just got unlucky. I’ve needed to mow all week but the yard is a swamp. 

FFC’s survey will result in the path length for the East Brainerd EF3 being revised to 20 miles. My tenants in Ranch Hills have no power still. CPD and HCSO are severely limiting access to that area. Some horrible people were caught posing as officials and looting. 

Finally got my power back this afternoon. 

Coming from someone who has lived in East Brainerd for 31 years, this is heartbreaking. This thing could not have hit in a worse spot to maximize damage to homes. This area is essentially 100% developed with very little vacant property. A large number of homes are damaged beyond repair. Not just smaller homes either. There were several 7 figure neighborhoods in the path. The area around and just behind my rental house has been decimated. Most of these homes are solidly middle class and would list for 150-200k. This is an economic group that does not need added expenses during the virus shutdown. The width of the path is the most shocking thing to me. This track is far wider than anything we saw in this area during the super outbreak. 

EDIT: We have a official estimate of 12,000 properties damaged in East Brainerd from this storm. I'd wager that this is at least half of the total number of properties in the zip code.

I was finally able to make it over to my rental property. Somehow it is the only house on the street without significant roof damage. Only an aluminum deck awning was torn off. In worse news, all of the fences collapsed and every single tree is knocked over. The main path of the tornado missed the house by about 100 yards. The entire landscape behind the house has been changed. It was jaw dropping. 

The area of damage that the fire department is looking at is nearly a mile wide. Crazy for such a quick spin up. 

5 minutes ago, yoda said:

 

Ugh. My favorite wings come from there. Worst part is that there’s nothing but houses behind it for miles. 

Hearing more damage reports from friends now. 

It came awfully close to my house. I could hear the inflow. No damage here that I can tell, but no power. Looked like Hamilton Place over to Collegedale was hit. That’s a densely populated area. 

1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

If that QLCS holds together, the HRRR suggests that it might be making it straight for the southern/ south central parts of the eastern valley

HRRR and GFS both have a significant flash flood event tonight. 6”+ qpf. 

3 hours ago, Shocker0 said:

Side note, I lived in Southeast Kentucky in 2004 and I remembered a big snow being hyped in mid February that year. They were calling for around a foot of snow and had already canceled school the day before in anticipation.

Well, we went to church that night (I believe it was a Wednesday night or a revival maybe, but during the week) on Brimstone Mountain south of Oneida, TN. The snow was supposed to come in later that evening and snow all night. We were driving South and were seeing cars coming in the northbound lanes with snow caked on the front of their cars, but there was no snow anywhere on the ground in Oneida.

Once we got up to the church we found the snow and it was pouring extremely heavy. Church was canceled so we turned around just to try to get out safely because of how quick it was piling up. By the time we got down the hill, there was no snow again. We went back home that night and woke up the next morning to no snow at all.

I was confused to how it could be snowing so hard in one place and nothing in others. I found out later that somehow the snow only seemed to hit Scott County, Morgan County, and Cumberland County (maybe a couple of other counties but it was very spotty) despite supposed to have been a pretty big event for all of Eastern TN and KY. Does anyone remember that system? I was only 15 or so then so I don't remember all the dynamics, but I know we stayed dry as a bone at my house with no precipitation at all, but the places above really did end up with around a foot of snow.

 

This pic may be from the event I'm thinking of, February 16, 2004:

 

I remember this event. MRX put the whole CWA under a winter storm warning the day before. Big bust. We had a dusting in the eastern suburbs. 

21 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Congrats to everyone who got the snow to stick, was a hard one to watch here..pouring feathers for about 3hrs but never could stick.

I'm surprised you got blanked. We are actually turning white in Cleveland. I'd say we have around a half inch on the elevated surfaces here. Grass is white in most places now.

I'd be willing to say that we have a dusting in Cleveland now. Still coming down pretty hard. I checked the doorbell camera at the house and we have no accumulation there, but it is snowing.

Pretty heavy snow in Cleveland now. Really isn't sticking though. Just a bit of slush on the elevated surfaces.

Looks like we are mostly snow now in Cleveland, but still far too warm. 37.