dwagner88

1 minute ago, Uncle Nasty said:

And AccuWeather is showing 2-4" in Chattanooga. Weather Channel shows 1/2".

WTVC local.showing 1/2-2" but David Glenn also mentioned it could all change for better or worse depending on the exact track and how early the cold air arrives.

He's as stumped as the rest and he is very good. He's smart to ay it safe and keep totals low. He mentioned we have almost 2 days for the models to keep changing.

Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk
 

My favorite local met since Paul retired. He’s a good one. 

41 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

The snow totals in valley are rising

Check, please!

FFC has expanded their WSW for all northern counties. Once again, the valley is completely enclosed on all sides by winter storm watches. I wish this was a rare occurrence, but it really isn’t. 

Is there anything still showing >0.5" for KCHA? I'm trying to determine how they formulated their forecast. Seems like things have ticked upwards down here today.

HRRR should be pretty decent for down here with that track, but the thermals are all messed up. I still don't know what to think.

Just now, PowellVolz said:

CAD from upstate SC and NE Georgia is trying to filter into SE Tennessee. Seen this happen before.


.

Yep. I've had a pretty significant ice storm that only affected the extreme southern portion of the metro area. I think it was on Christmas 10-12 year ago.

9 minutes ago, anonymous1968 said:

Alright, I am kind of a lurker on here because I am a teacher in Sullivan County and have a vested interest in snow. Sullivan is a big county that has a ton of different elevations and also has Kingsport (which we all know is where snow goes to die). Let's put this in these terms, does this produce enough and stick around enough to get us a day off on Tuesday?

I don't think anyone will be able to say with any certainty until tomorrow mid day. And we may not even know then.

Like it or not, there is snow in every single square inch of the state on that run. That is incredibly rare. In fact I can't ever remember that happening from a single storm.

5 minutes ago, Vol4Life said:

Is it the track of the 850 that is causing such a discrepancy in totals for the Valley versus Middle TN?  

Gotta be BL temps. 

7 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Here's the 12z Euro for KCHA...let's see what 18z has for us

Mystery solved. All the TV Mets are using ensemble number 19. Or maybe a blend of 19, 36, and 44. 

Not touching this one yet. I've been hurt before. Recently.

We need cold HP in Indiana, not Iowa. Otherwise we warm nose to death.

Wicked Valley snow hole on that run. Accumulations in a circle all around the valley in all directions, even south.

This smells like a March 2009 heartbreak to me. Three strikes in January. Guess that means we are out.

Stacking would be important to Valley folks. A more stacked system is less likely to reform off the SC/GA coast.

Edit: I don’t know why I capitalized Valley. I kinda like it. I’m keeping it.

1 minute ago, Vol4Life said:

To reiterate @PowellVolzthat band coming out of Middle TN is heading SE.  If it can hold together, things could get a little interesting!

HRRR shears it out over the Plateau for most. Could help those north of 40.

PWS's on Lookout mountain are all subfreezing and almost certainly getting significant freezing rain.

15 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

TDot cameras don't seem to be working, not sure if it's just me.

I have a little insider info on this. Server problem. Undergoing emergency maintenance. Terrible timing.

Just now, fountainguy97 said:

As soon as heavy clouds rolled in I stopped at 37. Slowly climbing. Afraid it was 2 hrs too late. 

If it makes you feel any better, I doubt it would have mattered. I stayed cloudy all day and still went from 29 to 36 this morning. We are getting light sleet as the column saturates.

Well I am currently sitting at 29 degrees. We may get a little light sleet before WAAing into a lovely 34 degree rain all day.

I'm a lot less excited about this storm than the last one. I actually think we had better chances of accumulation from the last storm. I strongly suspect this trends to 100% rain for almost all of SE TN outside the mountains. Flash freezing after the rain may be an issue though.

 No go for most of Hamilton county and Chattanooga. Cut offs were Signal to the West and White Oak Mountain to the East. Better luck next time. 

100% snow here. Big flakes. 100% melting on contact since it is still 34 degrees.

Just stuck my head outside to get a feel for things. It’s 35 with wintry mix (bit of everything), and the spring peeper frogs that emerged during our insanely warm December are croaking for mates. Poor things.

I have some flakes mixing in East Brainerd. Temp is dropping very quickly. 37 now.