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snowman19

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About snowman19

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HPN
  • Location:
    Rockland County

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  1. snowman19
  2. snowman19
    Yea, that’s not cold. Solar irradiance from the roaring STJ
  3. snowman19
    IMO, this one is a lock for a top 3 super El Niño event, possibly even surpassing the last 4 super events. I also agree with Paul Roundy and Ben Noll that it stays east-based like 1997, but like you said, the east-based structure may not end up being important
  4. snowman19
    Latest SOI: -35.29 In other news, this El Niño has become severely east-based. There are confirmed, historic anomalies of +7.2C off the coast of Peru in region 1+2, which is a new all time record, surpassing both 1997 and 1982. And as @Gawx predicted, very rapid warming of the SSTs in region 3.4, OISST ONI: +1.2C, RONI: +0.73C. With this major WWB ongoing, it would not surprise me if we are into a high-end moderate/strong Nino (RONI/ONI) by the end of this month
  5. snowman19
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  7. snowman19
    Very good job by the modeling of predicting this big WWB well in advance just like they did back in April:
  8. snowman19
    Since 1980, +QBO/El Nino (regardless of strength) Decembers are an extremely strong tendency for warmth. I believe there have been 6 +QBO/Nino Decembers in the last 46 years and every one of them were warm if I’m not mistaken
  9. snowman19
  10. snowman19
    As a weather enthusiast, I’m actually looking forward to seeing a true east-based super El Niño in action this winter. I was too young to remember 1997-98. Should be fun to watch
  11. snowman19
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  13. snowman19
    No, this does not look like 2015 at all. It was never this east-based Here is what Paul Roundy has to say; @forkyfork
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