snowman19

That storm and the afternoon snowstorm just before St. Patrick’s Day back in March, 2018 were the hardest I ever saw it snow in my life. Both were literal whiteouts for hours

The 2011-12 winter had a +PNA for both December and January…that’s a surprise. I thought that was a predominant -PNA winter

Completely agree. I see the December, 1983 talk by some as being equally ridiculous….volcanic stratosphere from a VEI-5 tropical eruption the year before, +QBO, +PDO

The ensembles are starting to show more of an Aleutian/Bering Sea ridge setting up in early December as opposed to an Alaskan ridge. If correct, that’s going to allow a lot more -PNA/RNA. I know Ray expected this to happen for December….

It’s certainly possible that it goes into phase 8 in December. However, the earlier idea that it would propagate into phase 8 by the end of this month appears to be dead in the water right now. The progression has slowed considerably

Another case of the NAO/AO disconnect that we’ve been seeing more frequently the last 10 years….the NAO/AO used to almost always go positive or negative together and you rarely saw a disconnect between the two

I agree. He’s trying to hype it into a KU coastal storm pattern up the east coast. I don’t know what in the heck he’s looking at

An “energized southern branch” (STJ) in a La Niña with a -PMM? Huh?

The beginning of November through the end of March is totally insufferable on X. The usual suspects are always looking for subscription money, clout, likes, follows, views and retweets from the east coast weenies. Every L on the weather maps gets hyped into the Blizzard of 1996 and every cold outbreak gets hyped into turning the east coast into an arctic tundra like The Day After Tomorrow. Year after year, you can set your watch to it. It’s sad

@40/70 Benchmark EPS is showing your -PNA idea starting at the tail end of the month going into December

FWIW, here’s what the SPV “expert” thinks of what may or may not happen:

I took BAMWX’s word for it. Lol I guess they are mistaken?

The 1989 blocking was started by a combination of an early SSWE and a very strong MJO wave that went 7-8-1-2, which lead to the Thanksgiving snowstorm up I-95 and the record cold December….