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snowman19

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About snowman19

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HPN
  • Location:
    Rockland County

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  1. snowman19
    I mentioned it a week or so ago, but +QBO/El Nino (regardless of strength) Decembers are an extremely strong signal for warmth. Since 1980, there have been 6 +QBO/Nino Decembers and they were all warm, some were all out blowtorches
  2. snowman19
    100%. 1997-98 peaked the final week of November then steadily weakened right through the end of March. 2015 also peaked the last week of November then steadily weakened throughout the entire winter. Twitter kept wishcasting that the weakening was going to somehow “save” that winter and it was going to turn into an arctic cold tundra with mountains of snow the rest of the way. It also didn’t help that JB was hyping nonstop that it was a super “migrating Modoki” El Niño and said the analogs were 1957-58, 1965-66, 1976-77, 1977-78, 2002-03, 2009-10 and 2014-15 for months on end in the fall and beginning of winter. The weenies bought right into that and the DT “it’s weakening!” argument hook, line and sinker
  3. snowman19
    New JMA….FWIW
  4. snowman19
  5. snowman19
    I agree. At the very least, I think we tie the record RONI and ONI, with a very good chance that we break the records on both of them. I also think this one stays east-based (maybe not as east-based as 1997-98 and 1982-83….several more months to go…..verdict still out obviously) but east-based none the less
  6. snowman19
    The normal peak time for El Niños is almost always November/December. That’s the time (November/December) that the majority of models show this one peaking
  7. snowman19
  8. snowman19
    The new DWKW has already started: And wow! 3 TC’s have formed in less than a week in the EPAC. Historic TC season coming up there
  9. snowman19
  10. snowman19
    @bluewave @donsutherland1 @forkyfork @LakePaste25 The projected median (peak) of +3.0C RONI come November would be an all-time record on that index. The projected median (peak) of +3.4C traditional ONI, also come November, would be an all-time record as well
  11. snowman19
    No surprise in the EPAC. Super El Niño/++PMM at work. Explosive setup for a huge TC season….
  12. snowman19
  13. snowman19
    Here comes the EPAC TC season (TD-2 EPAC). Likely very many to follow this summer….
  14. snowman19
    Good old Steve D is going down with the ship this year I guess lol. That clown is insisting that this is only going to be a moderate to “maybe low-end strong” El Niño and that all the models, obs, data and experts are going to be dead wrong. Good Lord, that guy is the worst meteorologist in history. Total buffoon. And he’s an arrogant, stuck up, pompous asshole to boot. I can’t believe people actually waste their money to subscribe to his garbage
  15. snowman19
    The thermocline is about to deepen (drop) big time in the eastern tropical PAC. This very strongly supports this event staying east-based/East Pacific
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