snowman19

The National Weather Service disagrees. Here is the 2:00pm updated disco: “The cold front should move through early Thursday morning, so after a relatively mild Wednesday night with lows in the 40s, winds switch quickly to the NW as a continental polar air mass moves in. High temps in the 50s will likely be achieved in the morning, with temps falling into the 40s after fropa, and then to the upper 20s and 30s Thu night. Post-frontal rain showers could mix with or change to wet snow showers just before precip ends. Boundary temps will be noticeably milder than aloft, so any wet snowflakes will have difficulty accumulating. Liquid precipitation amounts are likely to range from 1/4 to 1/2 inch, with the higher amts from NYC north/west where stronger showers/thunderstorms are expected.” Forecast for Rockland County: “Thursday Rain showers before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Temperature falling to around 40 by 9am. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.”

Winter’s back is broken. All the snowcover is gone, snow mounds/piles are gone. Birds are all back, out singing in the morning. Groundhogs, skunks and chipmunks are out of hibernation. Peepers are back out at night. Flies and bees are out today. Mother Nature says winter is over….

Another period of warmth after next week’s cooldown…

It’s gone already on the 6z GFS. But given those antecedent conditions/boundary layer temps on the Equinox, you would need the off shore coastal low to absolutely bomb out quickly, with very strong UVVs (lift) and strong dynamic cooling to the surface to get any snow out of that

It’s a beautiful, wonderful thing!!

74 degrees, bright sunshine, warmest temps here since October

300+ hours out for late March on an operational model

Winter ends next week. You got your snow, you got your cold from the end of November through the beginning of March. Reality. Let it go, enjoy life. It’s time to move on

Transient 316-3/20 cooldown, then a massive warm surge across the entire CONUS moves in right after the Equinox

Enjoy the transient 3/16-3/20 cooldown. A massive warm surge pushes across the entire CONUS right after the Equinox…..