snowman19

Eric Webb just got even more bullish, said that if we see TC’s spin up along this record breaking WWB, it will seal the deal for a super El Niño. I think even more telling, is that you have Paul Roundy, who is the furthest thing from a hypester, saying this has a good chance to be the strongest El Niño in history, he also says this is developing as the most east-based/East Pacific event we’ve seen since the 1997-98 super Nino

That’s what I was thinking too….it may take a historic ENSO event to finally flip the unrelenting, stagnant Pacific. It’s been over 20 years (1997-98) since we’ve had a true, “super”, east-based/East Pacific El Niño. I guess the ‘we’re due’ argument would fit here, since 2015-16 was a basin-wide event, not east-based/EP

Yea, if this one ends up discharging all of that record breaking, pent up WPAC warmth….holy s*it. Paul would not be exaggerating, we would be talking a historic level El Niño. This one is also developing as a “classic”, canonical east-based/East Pacific (EP) event like 1997-98 did, which has been a staple of the strongest El Niños we’ve ever seen

All i have to say is wow

This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run

We have had a September sun angle since 3/13

Tomorrow is the Equinox. Let it go

I remember that well. The hype from JB in mid-late February was off the charts that winter. He was calling for a record-breaking cold and snowy March in the east, “March Madness!” and was using 1888, 1958, 1960 and 1993 as the analogs

An anafront at day 10 on an operational model at the tail end of March. ROTFLMFAOOOO!!!

It looks like an early final warming this year, yes

It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too

It wouldn’t surprise me if some areas get into the 70’s on Sunday

Yep and there’s no -NAO/-AO blocking to stop it (ridge/warmth coming east) either