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snowman19

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About snowman19

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HPN
  • Location:
    Rockland County

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  1. snowman19
    The EURO is getting more aggressive with the +IOD, now showing a strong positive event come September
  2. snowman19
    +8C is insanity. The closest match: 1997
  3. snowman19
    Out of the last 3 super El Niños (82-83, 97-98, 15-16), with the exception of the obvious +PDO back then, this current El Niño structure, intensity, along with the ++PMM, most closely resembles 1997 at this point in time
  4. snowman19
    The El Niño standing wave/forcing around the dateline has become extremely well pronounced with organized and strong, persistent convection in that area. Negative OLR and negative CHI200 anomalies are really showing up now, indicating the strengthening of organized deep convection and upper tropospheric divergence…. @GaWx Given that the MEI is a measurement of SSTs, sea level pressure (which includes SOI in part of that measurement), surface winds and OLR, my guess is that it continues to rise at the current record-breaking pace on the next update
  5. snowman19
    The Bjerknes feedback started last month. And those typhoons are only going to amplify the WWBs/westerlies behind them, in their wake. We are witnessing a historic event that will be remembered for many, many years to come
  6. snowman19
    Yep. The CFS has started to increase again. With the ongoing surface and subsurface warming, another round of strong WWBs coming up late month, another anticipated -SOI plunge next week and very likely another DWKW forming, the July model forecasts will almost certainly bump up
  7. snowman19
    If the 30C isotherm gets all the way to 140W (like the Copernicus is forecasting to happen by November), you aren’t going to have to worry about it. I think these big WWBs/DWKWs cause that entire WPAC/Indo warm pool to discharge and slosh east this time. This event isn’t playing
  8. snowman19
    Region 3.4 is off the charts for this time of year, region 1+2 has pushed over +3C. And this is with more strong WWBs and DWKWs to come. And there’s +8C anomalies in the equatorial subsurface in the EPAC, just staggering. If the EURO Copernicus is correct, the 30C isotherm gets all the way to 140W by November, which is record breaking, totally unprecedented. The current all time record for that is 155W…..
  9. snowman19
    I don’t think it will. Just posted about it, but we have yet another very strong WWB forecasted for the end of this month. That will initiate another DWKW. I think these WWBs end up pushing the entire equatorial WPAC/Indo warm pool east. The new EURO Copernicus multi-model run has the 30C isotherm pushing all the way east to 140W by November
  10. snowman19
    Region 1+2 pushing over +3C Yet another new WWB projected
  11. snowman19
    And? Your point? You’re another one of the snow and cold obsessed weenie assholes I’m going to throughly enjoy watching squirm this winter. It’s going to be 7th Heaven trolling you and the others all winter long. A dream come true. Can’t wait to see your tears. Have a beautiful day
  12. snowman19
    It’s going to be so much fun watching your snow and cold obsessed weenie ass squirm this winter. Seeing your disappointment is going to be amazing. Not going to lie, I’m going to get immense joy, laughter and satisfaction out of it. I can’t wait, looking forward to it! Lmfaoooooo
  13. snowman19
  14. snowman19
    And this is quite the WWB….
  15. snowman19
    IMO, this one is headed for the history books. I think it ends up as the strongest El Nino event on record
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