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snowman19

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About snowman19

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HPN
  • Location:
    Rockland County

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  1. snowman19
  2. snowman19
    !!
  3. snowman19
    This is the same twin cyclone progression that lead to the massive WWB/westerlies and DWKW back in April. The SOI has also tanked again. Constructive interference from the MJO, ERW boost, SSTs and subsurface soaring, a Nino standing wave/-OLR has formed, +GLAAM off the charts, budding +IOD….the perfect storm. This El Niño is going to go off the rails strengthening next month, would not surprise me if it goes super in August….
  4. snowman19
    It’s blatantly obvious at this point that this is going to easily be the strongest super El Niño since 1950 at the very least….likely the strongest in history
  5. snowman19
    We are witnessing history and will very likely never see an El Niño event this strong again in our lifetimes
  6. snowman19
  7. snowman19
    Here is the latest sea level height rise anomalies in the eastern equatorial PAC. The only comparable El Niño event since 1980 at this point in time is 1997
  8. snowman19
    Yes. It is extremely well coupled….SOI, OLR/standing wave convection, WWBs/westerlies and GLAAM. Once the +IOD really going the coupling is only going to increase more Record high GLAAM:
  9. snowman19
    That didn’t last long….SOI right back down to almost -20
  10. snowman19
    WWB time:
  11. snowman19
    You almost forgot 57-58 and 65-66 lol Every time there’s an El Niño, no mater what, the weenie’s fantasy analogs are: 57-58, 65-66, 76-77, 77-78, 02-03, 04-05, 09-10 and 14-15!!! As predictable as the rising sun!
  12. snowman19
  13. snowman19
    This TC/MJO progression is going to initiate a massive WWB with a constructively interfering ERW at the end of this month into July. Another (new) DWKW guaranteed to follow. And we have a developing +IOD. I’m more convinced than ever that this event will easily be stronger than any El Niño we’ve seen since 1950 in both RONI and traditional ONI
  14. snowman19
  15. snowman19
    All the January, 1998 -NAO/-AO did was trap Pacific air underneath the blocks
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