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snowman19

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About snowman19

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HPN
  • Location:
    Rockland County

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  1. snowman19
    WWB time:
  2. snowman19
    You’re a true moron lol @MJO812 1997-98 coming. Deal with it. I’m going to get immense enjoyment watching your weenie ass slither all winter long!!!!
  3. snowman19
    You almost forgot 57-58 and 65-66 lol Every time there’s an El Niño, no mater what, the weenie’s fantasy analogs are: 57-58, 65-66, 76-77, 77-78, 02-03, 04-05, 09-10 and 14-15!!! As predictable as the rising sun!
  4. snowman19
    Leave it to the usual cold and snow obsessed weenies on here and on twitter (i.e. Mark Margavage) to be wishcasting that 2009-10 is an analog for this winter with a raging super El Niño. Twilight zone. I’m literally in awe that people are actually suggesting that this is going to be a very cold winter. Talk about delusional and in deep denial This winter is going to be absolutely comical once the weenie meltdowns start Lmfaooooo
  5. snowman19
  6. snowman19
    This TC/MJO progression is going to initiate a massive WWB with a constructively interfering ERW at the end of this month into July. Another (new) DWKW guaranteed to follow. And we have a developing +IOD. I’m more convinced than ever that this event will easily be stronger than any El Niño we’ve seen since 1950 in both RONI and traditional ONI
  7. snowman19
  8. snowman19
    All the January, 1998 -NAO/-AO did was trap Pacific air underneath the blocks
  9. snowman19
    Nice write up. Been saying it, but in addition to the east-based super Nino, +IOD, maybe slightly +PDO and -AMO, the Copernicus suite is showing the 30C isotherm getting pushed all the way to 140W, which would be the first time it history, the previous record being 155W. If that actually happens, it would effectively end the “split forcing” that we saw in 2015-16 and 2023-34. IMO, given these basically non stop major WWBs and DWKWs since April, which look to continue, that entire equatorial WPAC/Indo warm pool gets sloshed/shunted east (finally)
  10. snowman19
  11. snowman19
    The EURO is getting more aggressive with the +IOD, now showing a strong positive event come September
  12. snowman19
    +8C is insanity. The closest match: 1997
  13. snowman19
    Out of the last 3 super El Niños (82-83, 97-98, 15-16), with the exception of the obvious +PDO back then, this current El Niño structure, intensity, along with the ++PMM, most closely resembles 1997 at this point in time
  14. snowman19
    The El Niño standing wave/forcing around the dateline has become extremely well pronounced with organized and strong, persistent convection in that area. Negative OLR and negative CHI200 anomalies are really showing up now, indicating the strengthening of organized deep convection and upper tropospheric divergence…. @GaWx Given that the MEI is a measurement of SSTs, sea level pressure (which includes SOI in part of that measurement), surface winds and OLR, my guess is that it continues to rise at the current record-breaking pace on the next update
  15. snowman19
    The Bjerknes feedback started last month. And those typhoons are only going to amplify the WWBs/westerlies behind them, in their wake. We are witnessing a historic event that will be remembered for many, many years to come
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