Jump to content

Stovepipe

Members
  • Posts

    4,255
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Stovepipe

  1. 3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

    It’s a good snow when it starts piling up in and around your vehicle wheels.

    .

    Nice tires dude!  I'm jealous, been putting off getting new ones for too long.

    Smaller flakes but still coming down heavily and oscillating between 28 and 29 degrees.  Probably closing in on a half a foot but I've not measured in a bit.

    • Like 3
  2. 10 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

    Mesoscale Discussion 0069
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1150 AM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

    Areas affected...parts of middle and eastern Tennessee

    Concerning...Heavy snow

    Valid 151750Z - 152045Z

    SUMMARY...An area of heavier snow rates, occasionally approaching 1 inch per hour, may be maintained east-northeastward across portions of middle and eastern Tennessee through 2-4 PM CST, before gradually diminishing through early evening.

    DISCUSSION...A mid-level speed maximum propagating across northern Mississippi is forecast to reach the Cumberland Plateau by early evening. This still appears associated with an area of enhanced mid/upper forcing for ascent, which might be maintained through the 20-22Z time frame while overspreading portions of middle through eastern Tennessee. Thereafter, frontogenetic forcing is forecast to generally weaken across the Tennessee Valley through southern Appalachians vicinity, yielding diminishing precipitation rates. Until then, it appears that the area of enhanced lift will include upward vertical motion maximized within the favorably cold mid-level layer (centered around or above 600 mb) for large dendritic ice crystal growth. It appears this may remain strong enough to support continuing potential for occasional heavy snow rates up to around 1 inch per hour, where lower/mid tropospheric profiles are maintained at or below freezing (roughly north of the 0 C isotherm at 859


    .

    artworks-000202027626-t54pao-t500x500.jp

    • Like 2
    • Haha 2
  3. I've joined the 4 inch club.  Maynardville Hwy is passable but the brine is losing the battle.  I'm actually fairly proud of north Knox as I did not see anyone doing donuts in the road or parking lots yet.  Although, for some reason quite a few people stop obeying traffic lights and stop signs in this mess.  Yeah buddy, your diesel truck is cool, but you still need to stop at the red light.  Anyway, very happy to get a pasting in this area.  Might be a 20 year storm before it's over.

    • Like 6
    • Haha 2
  4. 23 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

    One other note on using deterministic global models once inside of 36 hours, they don't have the ability to dial things in like short range models as they lack the hi-res ability to do it.   But somehow, they still outperformed the mess scale models IMHO.  The ultra hi-res, radar based models did well...

     

    I'm stealing this.

    • Haha 2
  5. 2 minutes ago, John1122 said:

    It's mostly going to be a slow and steady event tonight. I think I saw MRX or OHX mention 1/4th inch per hour rates overnight in one of their discos. Still, if we get 1/4th to 1/2 inch per hour for the next 8 hours, that adds up to several inches. 

    As noted, tomorrow we get some gulf connection and rates go up. 

    1394028264-this.jpg

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  6. 1 minute ago, John1122 said:

    I'm wondering when I'm gonna stop falling. MRX initially had my low at 18 but they actually raised it to 21. These are the 15-17:1 rates the globals were advertising here. 

    JYG2RZx.jpg

    26 here, I'd say the NAM based temp concerns for east TN are gone and ratios will be high.  Pulling for the ICON here.

    • Like 3
    • Weenie 1
×
×
  • Create New...