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Posts posted by Stovepipe
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10 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:
Mesoscale Discussion 0069
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CST Mon Jan 15 2024
Areas affected...parts of middle and eastern Tennessee
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 151750Z - 152045Z
SUMMARY...An area of heavier snow rates, occasionally approaching 1 inch per hour, may be maintained east-northeastward across portions of middle and eastern Tennessee through 2-4 PM CST, before gradually diminishing through early evening.
DISCUSSION...A mid-level speed maximum propagating across northern Mississippi is forecast to reach the Cumberland Plateau by early evening. This still appears associated with an area of enhanced mid/upper forcing for ascent, which might be maintained through the 20-22Z time frame while overspreading portions of middle through eastern Tennessee. Thereafter, frontogenetic forcing is forecast to generally weaken across the Tennessee Valley through southern Appalachians vicinity, yielding diminishing precipitation rates. Until then, it appears that the area of enhanced lift will include upward vertical motion maximized within the favorably cold mid-level layer (centered around or above 600 mb) for large dendritic ice crystal growth. It appears this may remain strong enough to support continuing potential for occasional heavy snow rates up to around 1 inch per hour, where lower/mid tropospheric profiles are maintained at or below freezing (roughly north of the 0 C isotherm at 859
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A buddy of mine just got rear ended hard on Chapman Hwy. That is not a euphemism. Y'all be careful out there.
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On my excursion to Food City I saw one guy that made me proud. He was in a little late 80s Ford Ranger, loaded down with miscellaneous stuff in the back with CHAINS on the rear tires. My dude was also obeying the stop signs and traffic lights.
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I've joined the 4 inch club. Maynardville Hwy is passable but the brine is losing the battle. I'm actually fairly proud of north Knox as I did not see anyone doing donuts in the road or parking lots yet. Although, for some reason quite a few people stop obeying traffic lights and stop signs in this mess. Yeah buddy, your diesel truck is cool, but you still need to stop at the red light. Anyway, very happy to get a pasting in this area. Might be a 20 year storm before it's over.
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Got about 3 inches so far here, temp at 27.5 and coming down moderately with medium sized flakes. I'm about to go for a drive, my gal forgot to buy butter yesterday so heading to Food City. This oughta be fun.
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17 minutes ago, Brocksterdanza said:
Puking in loudon county now…
.It's common to tie one on during rare snow storms, most of us have been there. Hope you're feeling better now. Also hope you're getting heavy snow!
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23 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:
One other note on using deterministic global models once inside of 36 hours, they don't have the ability to dial things in like short range models as they lack the hi-res ability to do it. But somehow, they still outperformed the mess scale models IMHO. The ultra hi-res, radar based models did well...
I'm stealing this.
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2 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said:
Ripping big fatties in greeneville rn
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It's really coming down here. These chickens don't know what to make of it.
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Well, as the kids say, it's puking snow outside. Pretty nice to wake up to! Roads are covered and it's a got dang winter wonder land outside.
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Non-brined roads covered in Halls with more than an inch on the ground measured, slow but steady rates.
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Just now, Reb said:
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Was just talking with Reb in Seymore, he says they are absolutely ripping fatties over there! So happy for them.
He also mentioned that it is snowing quite heavily.
never gets old
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I'll be lucky if I get any sleep tonight.
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1 minute ago, jaxjagman said:
getting a 30-35 dbz band right now,its picked up some
https://g1.ipcamlive.com/player/player.php?alias=brentwood201173a
Looks to be similar to here. Not a blizzard by any means but a steady dumping.
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2 minutes ago, John1122 said:
It's mostly going to be a slow and steady event tonight. I think I saw MRX or OHX mention 1/4th inch per hour rates overnight in one of their discos. Still, if we get 1/4th to 1/2 inch per hour for the next 8 hours, that adds up to several inches.
As noted, tomorrow we get some gulf connection and rates go up.
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Snowing quite heavily here at the moment, if this keeps up we're in for a big one.
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1 minute ago, PowellVolz said:
There’s a 30dbz blob about to move over us in 15 min
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1 minute ago, John1122 said:
26 here, I'd say the NAM based temp concerns for east TN are gone and ratios will be high. Pulling for the ICON here.
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Not quite dimes, but fatty flakes here, gonna paste up nicely at this rate. Yard almost white.
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Just now, Matthew70 said:
It’s beautiful Clark! Lol.
Yeah, that's gonna leave a mark.
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2 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:
If you would have asked me 3 hrs ago if I could get to 32 without wetbulbing, I would have said not a shot...yet here we are. T32...DP 26
So safe to say that the NAM was wrong with that 540 thickness line?
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
in Tennessee Valley
Posted
Nice tires dude! I'm jealous, been putting off getting new ones for too long.
Smaller flakes but still coming down heavily and oscillating between 28 and 29 degrees. Probably closing in on a half a foot but I've not measured in a bit.